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John Badrick

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Everything posted by John Badrick

  1. If there was evidence of that happening what would it be this far out if any at all
  2. Its still winter here and im in Cornwall. Infact last couple of days its been colder than winter, frosts and cold fog, no t-shirts and shorts, still wraped up in coats and scarfs, not looking at all summery in the forecast either, in fact it looks more wintry, with snow potential:-)
  3. Each to their own I suppose, I for one would much rather a repeat of march 2013. Remember it is more likely to snow at Easter than Christmas and March 2012 was followed by the one of the wettest summers on record. March 2013 was followed by a lovely long, warm summer. I know which one I would choose to repeat,take your pick. so I will be checking posters who are still interested and searching for wintry potential in the charts.
  4. The last two posts from Purga and Phil nw totally contradict each other. One is sating no sight at all of anything wintry and the other is saying chance of widespread snow. For anyone coming on here to check what the models are showing its difficult to know what the hell is going on. Who do you believe, how can you get completely different outcomes
  5. Yes aSSW in early Feb perhaps? 6th Feb may herald that Major change as Ed has eluded to over in the strat thread. I think the word for this winter, however annoying it may be PATIENCE
  6. You know the outlook is poor for cold weather when even frosty hasn't got anthing positive to say
  7. I know who is unbiased, but what about the new people to the forum who are not aware of the more experienced and less biased
  8. I know there's cold/mild bias but it's ridiculous this morning, how can you interpret the models so differently
  9. It's very confusing for newbies reading posts on this thread today...one post lots of potential next post no hope...who are people ment to believe
  10. Really? I thought he was forecasting record mild temperatures in December. He said it would be 15 c on Christmas Day. Well it ain't be mild here (Cornwall). It's been cold with wintry showers colder. than the last couple of years. So he was way off the mark
  11. This is good....I always believe in CC s thoughts, even when other people think mil dish
  12. ]If I'm reading these charts correct then they are actually quite good if you want cold.. Remember the colors represent percentage so if you look at the bottom chart ( probability of DJF being below normal temperature) south of the Uk and much of Western Europe has.60-80 % probability being below normal temps. Also the top chart ( probability of being above normal temps) much of the area above uk Greenland, pole etc has a probability of 80- 100 % of being above normal temps! which may imply blocking, so a good update from the Met o if you want cold.....I think, correct me if I'm wronghttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/glob-seas-probTies in with Simon keeling video of a cold blocked December
  13. If I'm reading these charts correct then they are actually quite good if you want cold.. Remember the colors represent percentage so if you look at the bottom chart ( probability of DJF being below normal temperature) south of the Uk and much of Western Europe has.60-80 % probability being below normal temps. Also the top chart ( probability of being above normal temps) much of the area above uk Greenland, pole etc has a probability of 80- 100 % of being above normal temps! which may imply blocking, so a good update from the Met o if you want cold.....I think, correct me if I'm wronghttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/glob-seas-probTies in with Simon keeling video of a cold blocked December
  14. Why will it not allow me to write post even larger teapot POST MODERN
  15. Maybe a new era of forecasting is needed for the new post even larger teapot....
  16. Everything is going against a cold winter....but the colder snap ahead wasn't predicted and goes against all mild signals...so this could be the case for the theme for this winter: a mild outlook but cold Synoptics rule the roost.... overall a forecasters nightmare
  17. Was a bit disappointed when I realized you were a bloke!!!!
  18. Ironic really if some forecasters are looking at low solar activity being a persecutor of cold winters
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