Kelly
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Posts posted by Kelly
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We just had a mini snow shower HC, but I'm house sitting and am 150m ASL compared to my usual 19, so maybe that's made all the difference! It settled immediately, but don't think we'll get anymore now...
Yeah I saw RJS' post too and vaguely remember him being badly stung last winter... Still, nice optimism!
Crikey, this is a poor show of a winter for the Black Isle so far. Even this (albeit brief) northerly looks like delivering nought.
Young HC was shown the weather-stone forecasting (well, nowcasting) method this evening. Very entertaining. If your stone is warm & sticky, it probably means it's night, you're drunk and THAT'S NOT YOUR STONE.
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Am I allowed an IMBY post seeing as we still have absolutely zilch here? I'm not holding my breath for tomorrow either! What are my chances?
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Ahh so frustrating! Showers seem to be stalling before they get here
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Morning morning!
Wasn't expecting any snow yet but a shower that lasted about an hour has given a very thin covering to Inverness and the Black Isle - HC the shield is down!
Odd that radar isn't showing anything, or any of the forecasts for my local area. Hopefully the showers are being pushed inland earlier than expected!
Hope everybody gets to see some snow today.
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Haven't been on for a few days so thought I'd pop in and see what's happening - how's things looking for the weekend?
Just looked out the window as I'm typing and it's snowing in Inverness! Wee tiny flakes but still the first I've seen since this cold spell started. Maybe the Black Isle won't be so black by the end of the week. Hope so!
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Hey Kelly, where about in the Inverness area are you?
Edit: and between you and I I think HC is wrong in this respect
I'm actually on the Black Isle, was trying to be 'safe' by not giving my exact location away...
HC, it's snowing in Culbokie according to my sis, not too far away from us (from your pics looks as though you are in my neck of the woods)!
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Ok. Good job gambling is just about the only vice I don't indulge in or I'd offer a bet that most of Inverness won't wake up to snow!
Come on HC, positive thinking and all that
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Power out on Skye! Visiting family for the night. No snow though - maybe on the way back to Inverness tomorrow..
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Getting wild out there now... Wheelie bin down! Feels balmy in the milder air.
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Snow here - a thin covering from a heavy shower earlier!
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https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/16899-/
Cloud pic from yesterday.
Can I upload pics straight to forum without having to add them to a gallery?
Gorgeous day here, nice to see the sun. Maybe some snow on the way for later? -
Mammatus clouds over the black isle - will post a pic later.
Merry Christmas to all!
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Snowing in Inverness! Pavements turning white, hope its also snowing at home! Very Christmassy.
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Since joining this forum I have become a little bit obsessed with the weather! I actually imagined I was seeing snowflakes last night...
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Snow on the Black Isle this morning, even at my 20m ASL. Beginning to melt/turn to drizzle now
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Ok, sorry Norrance, I was looking at the 00Z for the ECM rather than the 12Z
So here goes the ECM again:
Cold but relatively slack north-northwesterly flow on Friday through the day, uppers around -5C to -6C, some wintry showers around though only settling snow on higher ground:
Saturday: intensification of the flow, more snow showers, probably marginal once again for the Black Isle but falling as snow more widely with some troughs perhaps forming further north pepping up precipitation:
Sunday: very cold, uppers widely -7C with temperatures around freezing for most of the day, very icy though mostly dry, front approaching from the west later...:
For some reason the wind direction has to be just right for us to get decent snowfalls on the Black Isle. I think that is how it got its name? LS the charts you posted earlier from December 2009 were some of the best snowfalls I've seen. Especially New Years eve! My neighbours shed roof collapsed the next day from the weight of the snow!
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Currently 0.7C with some wet snow. The nearby Slochd which has about 500ft on us has the proper stuff * see Cheggers Tool (that sounds wrong!?)
Pretty rough today, might take the dog for a walk to try shake off some of the pain. I feel like a pig shat in my head as a certain drunken eccentric once said Ps. Welcome along Kelly, good to have another from up this way
edit* If you don't mind me asking where abouts near(ish) the Sneck are you?
I'm on the Black Isle - recently moved closer to sea level than I was before so hoping I still see some decent snow! Couple of pics from New Years day 2010 just to get us in the mood
(credit has to go to my Dad for these - he takes a good pic).https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/16702-/
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Hi Kelly, great to have another newcomer to the thread for this winter.
There were 2 key elements to that winter: a very weak polar vortex and a Greenland high. The polar vortex is a large upper air cyclone situated near the north pole and pretty much all the very cold upper air needed for snowy setups is situated within it. Normally it sits over the polar regions, particularly towards Greenland, and when this happens we end up with bog standard mild westerlies with a lot of rain:
However, through a combination of a warm stratosphere possibly linked to solar cycles in December 2009, just like in most of the other coldest winters on record, it was very much fragmented, and a stable high pressure system instead set up over Greenland:
This kind of set up is the holy grail for snow lovers: a Greenland high is very hard to shift and almost always results in a very cold northerly or easterly flow.
It also tends to reload again and again throughout the winter once it's first established, and once you get snow cover on the ground and the cold air embedded at the surface it takes a very mild airmass or very strong coastal winds to shift the cold air. As for this year? It's hard to say, but at the moment all indications for the first week of December at least are for a similar pressure pattern, with the polar vortex similarly weak and high pressure situated towards Greenland:
All of the longer term factors at the moment also seem to favour this kind of pattern repeating itself and potentially the cold lasting through the winter. As for specific snow risk, that's a much harder thing to forecast, and most of it is speculation until about 2 days out when the high resolution models come into play. I would add that if the current models there's likely to be some snow falling around Inverness in the next seven days.
If you open the file in paint and hit on the resize button that should do the trick.
Thanks for that - great explanation. I loved that winter. People talk a lot about winter 10-11 but 09-10 I think was much better (especially for snow)!
Exciting to see how things are panning out.
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I've finally found the right forum for me! Weather for the next week looking promising
Would love to see a repeat of 2009-2010 Winter, wonder if anyone could tell me why we had such prolonged cold and how likely this would be to happen again?
Having trouble uploading a pic, how can I get it small enough?!
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Hi everyone, am new to posting but have been a lurker for a little while! I have my fingers crossed for a cold winter but I was wondering if anyone could tell me why winter 2009-2010 was particularly good for my location - just north of Inverness - or North East in general? We had an accumulation of almost 2ft of snow by January 2010.
Everyone talks of the Northern Blocking in early Dec 2010 but this provided little snowfall for us and also we didn't have prolonged cold as with 09-10 (we had lying snow until the beginning of Feb 10!)
I am very much an amateur so nothing too complex please!
Pretty rough today, might take the dog for a walk to try shake off some of the pain. I feel like a pig shat in my head as a certain drunken eccentric once said 
Scotland Regional Discussion 26th January 2013
in Regional
Posted
Heavy snow showers here this morning (even at 19m asl so hope for coasties), beginning to settle. Still pretty gusty when the showers get going. Have today and tomorrow off so i'm looking forward to gazing out of the window all day!