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East_England_Stormchaser91

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East_England_Stormchaser91 last won the day on May 18 2016

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Peterborough, N Cambridgeshire
  • Interests
    Spanish Plumes, Heat, Thunderstorms, Snow, anything else that is extreme!
  • Weather Preferences
    Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy

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  1. March 2018 and 2013 left snowdrifts that I’ve never seen before in any other month, not even january 2010 or Feb 2009, which were amazing months for snow by U.K. standards.
  2. It’s December. Hardly a month renowned for bitterly cold weather, snow and ice. March is by far a better month for getting the goods, despite having more strength from the sun and longer days. You’ll be hard pushed to find a December with a real vicious dosage of winter. The only ones that come to mind are 2009, 2010 and by the reports and hearings, 1978, that’s about it!
  3. I know it’s the far reaches of FI, but the last timeframes show what would be the cusp of something exceptional building up. A Svalbard high intensifying and the NAO about to be sent tanking down. A 1947 poster chart at 384. Let’s hope it’s a trend of things to come.
  4. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Incredible. To my eye, that’s a fetch of cold that is over 3x the entire breadth of the USA !! Many people, including most of my friends who are more or less oblivious to the weather and have no knowledge at all of past events such as 1963, 78 or even 87/91 were alienated and gobsmacked at the copious and drifting snow back in February. That was only really a 3-5 day affair too. So it would be very interesting to see how they would cope or react to a full month of winter brutality! This December could well be the month that delivers the test! We shall see.
  5. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Can already see the model fatigue creeping in amongst some, the same as what happened during the beast from the east! Conclusively, there looks to be a cold shot nailed on. As ever, the devil is in the detail. But I wouldn’t be chucking toys out of the buggy, when it is approaching December and charts that seem like a real dream coming into reality!
  6. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Uppers of -10 to -15 would generate some big amounts of lake effect equivalent snow. Thundersnow would be aplenty like 2010! Even back in February when sea temps were only 4-5c, it caused drifting snow all along the east coast. The conversion rates here would be possibly nothing like I’ve ever seen before!!
  7. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Snow for us, but some very serious blizzards for the Alps and the balkans in this one. This would help further down the line in intensifying possible further cold pools!
  8. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Snow & Ice coverage in the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2018/19

    Very interesting. This also may be why the jet stream is well to the south and could implicate things over this side during next week. Worth noting that Texas and the Gulf of Mexico regions were repeatedly noted having a very cold winter in 1963 aswell, of course happening at the same time Britain experienced that historically cold winter.
  9. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Indeed it would. Scandinavia will be utterly buried from that, given the relatively warm Baltic Sea and Atlantic temps, and Europe will quickly start to see some potentially record breaking cold once it sets in and settles. Quite astonshing charts for November really. The Christmas markets around Europe will seem that bit more magical too as a result
  10. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    What impressed me about the end of this run, is the endless feed of cold, and I mean brutal cold -15 to -20 uppers behind what would be a channel low to kick things off. The whole PV is literally locked and loaded aiming directly at us and Central Europe. If only...!
  11. East_England_Stormchaser91

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    Looks like I wasn’t imagining it as a rogue flash then about an hour ago on the A10 heading south in Cambs. Definitely lightning from those showers near London! A good 70-80 miles away!
  12. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    A real corker of a run setting up once again! Slowly edging ever closer to the more reliable frames too.
  13. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Continuous signals for deep deep cold heading into W Russia in the latter frames, and that Eastern Europe cold pool. May not be ideal for us just yet, but it will sure get the goods prepped if we do end up with an easterly.
  14. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

    End of 2019-2020 should be the rock bottom of this solar minimum I’d say, as 2009 had the most spotless days during last minimum.
  15. East_England_Stormchaser91

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    The thing is, we’ve seen how things can develop and occur very quickly! The cold back in February was very sudden and as I’ve said before, it was weirdly still and quite warm a couple of days before the easterly onslaught. It’ll probably look different come next run, but that high on the last few frames looked to be a retrogresser, often the case when you get an inverted setup with cold cutting under westwards beneath the high.
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