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Everything posted by CanadaAl

  1. That is one raging PV! even the persistant feature of the last few years, the aleutian/NE Pacific ridge is nowhere to be seen.
  2. I wouldn't get too downtrodden. There will likely be a string of cold winters again in the next years just as they were in 2009-2012. I mean just look back at 1895-1928. It probably seemed cold winters wouldn't return but they did. Global warming will change things but not as dramatically over the next few years.
  3. Well tickle me silly.. what do we have here It's not over yet folks
  4. It's a wonder the GFS ever bothers going out to 384 anyways...Entertainment value at least
  5. I've noticed a garden path emerging from the 11 onwards. Even a scandi high a couple runs back
  6. Firstly, Merry Christmas to all perusing the forums this evening... Secondly, It is disappointing seeing those height rises further south from a cold seekers perspective but it is so desperately needed. Ideally a high sat over the UK would be even better. Eyes down for the 18z...
  7. Amazing to see this ridge building only a few days out now where we didn't before. beyond 25/26 is anyone's guess.
  8. Definitely been a while since this type of huge disagreement. ECM not looking to back down so let's hope GFS falls into line. Would be a very nice frosty christmas.
  9. Leaving from the UK tonight. Leaving behind a good 10cm snow here in Calgary. On the plus side I guess it'll be much warmer in the UK. Shorts, maybe?! ?
  10. I'm taking anything past Dec 15 with an enormous barrel of salt at this point. It makes for entertaining viewing at least
  11. Yes, It's also sending that low SE instead of E on friday (96H) which could bring some brief cooler air and maybe snow even to lower levels on it's back edge.
  12. Thank you. Safe to say the models are making a hash of anything past the 14th. Some building heights, some not. What appears to be a weakening PV over greenland. It's still game on. Plenty to keep positive about.
  13. So we've been doing this road before haven't we.. But it's interesting to see how thicknesses are lifting near the UK around 17/18. Both on ECM and GFS. I don't know if others have been following the CFS 9 Months but theres been a consistent pattern of settled and colder conditions around Christmas and beyond (Those that watch GavWeatherVids xmas updates will know what I mean). Could GFS be picking up on something past 300h? It's unlikely given how things are but interesting nevertheless. Never a dull moment CFS for Christmas Day ECM 240 - Note the lighter blues and less purples near Greenland: GFS 348 - Height rises N+E Interested to hear peoples thoughts...
  14. I agree. I'm waiting until Sun/Mon to see how this evolves. Sure it could be that the cold snap gets snuffed out but we shall see...
  15. From a personal perspective I'm curious to see how next week comes off. I'm landing in London on Saturday (14th) and it could be messy if there ends up being widespread snow on Friday. Watching closely. Far from a "typical" December pattern coming off.
  16. Yes what a terribly ironic twist of fate. The only day we really don't want to see widespread snow. I was hoping for a cool, clear and frosty election with minimal disruption so everyone can get out and vote safely. Perils of having a December election I guess...
  17. Yeah i'd semi agree with that too. Difference was December 2012 started off a lot more promising. I was thinking Dec 2014/Dec 2017 as being more similar personally
  18. My biggest concern is that it's not really interacting with the PV as it does in some other runs. Ideally we want it nudged away from the pole and even better if we can see a split.
  19. -8 Uppers over a good swathe of the country by 11 Dec. Of course it's just for fun but it makes for interesting viewing nevertheless
  20. I agree. If we can get enough negative tilt on that low SW of Greenland it could be game on for some WAA going up Eastern Greenland. One can hope I guess lol!
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