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Allseasons-Si

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Everything posted by Allseasons-Si

  1. Allseasons-Si
    Last one from me tonight as i am pushing it for 5am tomorrow the mean at 192 is a sniff better than the 12z...
  2. Allseasons-Si
    My deep dive of today allbeit short GN you happy bunch onwards and upwards in terms of upgrades tomorrow.
  3. Allseasons-Si
    On a frozen bench but in all seriousness i do hope that the gefs ens follows the op a disturbance running N>S on this run,...a polar low?
  4. Allseasons-Si
    Upgrades all round today and the 18z just tips it,...good old pub classic.
  5. Allseasons-Si
    How many runs have we watched this count down? and now within touching distance because broadly speaking the output has been very good since the sniff of all this the two ingredients,...height's into Greenland and trough from the north,...it has been marked out for some time now.
  6. Allseasons-Si
    This is nice if i am honest
  7. Allseasons-Si
    It is embedded in arctic airmass and formed off the south coast of Iceland and pushes S/SE,i would class that as a polar low anyway,let's move on from this now and i do hope some crop up in the unstable airflow
  8. Allseasons-Si
    I thought that they form in an arctic airmass ?,that is why i posted it because it looks like one to me a snippet from John holmes:- Polar Lows tend to form, in the area of our interest, in a north or north west airflow. It is possible for it to occur in the Norwegian Sea in a north east flow but is less common. One area they seem to favour is just south of Iceland. Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99706-model-output-discussion-into-2024/?do=findComment&comment=5000247
  9. Allseasons-Si
    OK i know i started the polar low story from the Ec control but let's not go down the polar low history Not much in the ICON IMO but the one thing i see is a more squashed neg tilted low in the Atlantic allowing heights to migrate west better.
  10. Allseasons-Si
    I thought that they form in an arctic airmass ?,that is why i posted it because it looks like one to me a snippet from John holmes:- Polar Lows tend to form, in the area of our interest, in a north or north west airflow. It is possible for it to occur in the Norwegian Sea in a north east flow but is less common. One area they seem to favour is just south of Iceland.
  11. Allseasons-Si
    All academic this far out but i would suspect frontal snow as it hits the cold air in place with a slightly milder sector in the core then colder poss back edge snow and snow showers after but it's origins are from the N/NW so could be an all snow maker
  12. Allseasons-Si
    Ec control throws a polar low in the mix
  13. Allseasons-Si
    The CPC is still rock solid
  14. Allseasons-Si
    EPS mean from 168,...not bad...
  15. Allseasons-Si
    Here is the NAVGEM at 180 @Mark wheeler another good looking chart.
  16. Allseasons-Si
    Here you go Mark https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=72&mode=0&map=3&type=0&archive=0 had to edit as that link was not working.
  17. Allseasons-Si
    The ECM has -11 in the SE t24.
  18. Allseasons-Si
    Liking the control Ali Scandi inbound?
  19. Allseasons-Si
    Gem control following the op if not better... 192. mean at said timeframe,...whooooosh!!!!
  20. Allseasons-Si
    A cracking start to the 12z ICON...
  21. Allseasons-Si
    Day ten geps mean,...we are back on track.
  22. Allseasons-Si
    The models will always struggle with setups like this that isn't the norm (aka)zonal we have a firm baseplate on where we are heading now and that's for height's to migrate NW,...then the fun game starts as to how the NWP's handle what's to come next after the initial push of height's into Greenland,this has been an epic chase that we haven't seen for some time,...and it still is great MOD discussion,...and it will continue
  23. Allseasons-Si
    Stronger heights on this run compared to the 12z,....lets go
  24. Allseasons-Si
    The gfs finally looks very good at 144.
  25. Allseasons-Si
    Yes mate,posted them ealier.
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