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Everything posted by Allseasons-Si
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Last one from me the control is heading the same way that the gfs was heading with a northerly plunge 18z gefs mean v's 12z gefs ens trending i will keep the white flag on the mast at half full for now -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening,...just got in and i am liking the gfs 18z,...BOSH and cold enough for snow to all levels. it's the crazy pub run antics but i will take it. -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
Allseasons-Si replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Chasbrown Their wording from previous was uncertainty and slightly to be replaced with higher than normal,that's an upgrade but whether it play's that way we will see i do know where you are coming from though so hang fire for now to see if this latest update repeats over the coming days -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
Allseasons-Si replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Norrance This is an upgrade to previous... -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ext'd cpc anomalies look good to me here is last evening's v's this evening's... you can see a better marked trough to our NW over Scandi and more of a retreat of the mid Atlantic trough,...notice the Iberian height's have also vanished. we see how we go towards months end. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Cool drone clip.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Actually the 18z has the low a bit squashed(rugby ball than bowling ball) hence the snowline is further south than the 12z... still some ironing to be resolved just yet me thinks. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Northern blocking gaining foothold to our NW on the latest CPC AO taking a tanking E/NE probability winds also gaining traction mid month. and as for Thurdays low,it is too early to say just yet where it positions but i bet there will be some surprise snowfall for some -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Uncertainty i prefer the NH view,...stunning and what follows i dare say is from the NE a few runs later,...yes it's jff in fl but other models are picking up on this signal. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Keep these whacky charts coming gefs control... and the mean is still very good out to 360... 12z v's 06z. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now this is what we want to see,...happening,the GEM control is crazy and i would think the gfs control will follow... LOL... -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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KILAUEA is now on orange alert!!!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I do like these from the 12th Feb to the 26th on the latest EC46,nice NW +ve height anomalies there. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@feb1991blizzard ,heading in the right direction as per the 18z -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@blizzard81 Thank you mate,much appreciated my OH has been diagnosed with Colitis but is treatable thank god as for the models anom's etc,...things are looking good from the first third of Feb>> but i hold judgement on that until further closer synoptic's El nino's are back loaded winters and with a E based QBO and weak strat,..all to play for as we enter Feb. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Allseasons-Si replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen,..i bring you,...me,hey folks how ya doin the 18z gefs mean is a significant step to cold than the 12z judging by these mean charts by the 7th of Feb have a gander... 18z v's 12z the mean is getting closer to the -5 line sorry i have not been posting for a while because as you know, i have other personal things to attend to ATM with regards to my OH being ill so please forgive me and i will try and post when i can thanks.