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Everything posted by karlos1983
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Model output discussion - late November
karlos1983 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the term "proper Eastetly" is pushing the envelope somewhat! Proper Easterly 00z ICON 26/11/2019 -
06z GEFS look good, pretty much all of them go for a Major warming event at 10hpa, the Op probaly the worst of the lot and a slight step back from the 00z. Op/Mean/00z Op onto the 12z we go, afterall the 06z GFS is only worthy of the Bin
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But it's not often we see a SSW in December is it, as we enter winter proper? along with entering Solar minimum and a QBO in a W to E phase.. I think what's key is that each SSW is different. Fascinating viewing!
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Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
karlos1983 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or your 2nd name is Gordon..... The heights to our North east are extremely encouraging on the pub run... -
Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
karlos1983 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh boy! shaky I fear for you this winter if you are disecting each run, full credit to you if you can keep that level of enthusiasm up for the next 4-5 months! That said, the GFS 06z although not nearly as good in deep la la land as it's 00z (hardly surprise of the century) is not a bad match at D8. Not Sure what the ECM was smoking..... or was it? Hope eveyone is keeping well? -
Awwww thanks DB, I know you must have missed me through the tough summer months. just thought I’d log in and say “ello”... found myself a new app recently called rain alarm..... I’ve jumped out my skin on several occasions Today as it warned me a shower was nearby, with its dramatic clap of thunder on full blast