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karlos1983

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Everything posted by karlos1983

  1. B-E-A-UTIFUL!! it's being modeled, so it most certainly IS possible. What a run from the GFS. Likey likey, come to Blighty!!
  2. In some respects this year is more frustrating model watching than last year, I mean at least we had a fairly good idea consistently of what might be happen in 5 -10 days time One thing we do know, the lack of an organised PV! So don't worry it's not nagative. Quite a majority of the members head sub zero later in the run. Let's hope that becomes a trend!
  3. LOL watching the new ECM and it got stage fright from 216 to 240, I would have bet my mortgage on that delivering a northerly at 240. Kind of sums up our luck at the moment. Even when it seems impossible to not get cold, we find a way. I have a feeling in my bones though that our patience will pay off big time at some stage in December! Bring it on! Still a fairly impressive chart at 240 it has to be said if blocky is your thing!
  4. Yes I get that, but African air isn't something I would associate with cold was more where I was coming from
  5. North Africa origin air isn't a preceder to cold I'm aware of, come back in may! Posted before I saw your post ba, everydays a school day then ha ha
  6. Where has this FIM come from? Not heard of that model before. Any good?
  7. Fantastic 12z all round, look forward to seeing where the ECM sits in the ensembles later. This certainly would be a timely moment for Ian to drop in and give us a heads up on whether this scandi high has any support from a Met O point of view.
  8. Oh good, cats and dogs just in time for the school run.!
  9. Watch out Isle of Wight, star fish inbound
  10. Met office have now put a wind warning out for my area for overnight into Tuesday morning. Storm will be named then I presume?
  11. ECM Mean still looking good to me. PV well away from its normal location, so it's very much as we were. I committed the cardinal sin this morning of over reacting to one chart, I should know better
  12. Bone dry here, most unexpected looking at the radar, that will soon Change
  13. Well actually it could have ramifications at trop level, so I disagree. let's just hope it's the result of one poor run.
  14. Well I was expecting to wake up to pouring rain. Good Job it's not snow we are missing!
  15. Nice too see a couple going off the chart!! That can only be from heights to our NE surely
  16. People complaining about lack of snow in the mod thread. They should try living in our region
  17. Seriously people, it's not even winter yet! We are in with more than just a chance of decent cold. we have a frustrating few days yet of model watching ahead imo, output will vary. One gfs pub run certainly won't decide a winter that hasn't started yet.
  18. Devon, Dorset, Somerset, wilts looking at a real soaking through tomorrow. Up to a couple of inches possible in places
  19. Ha fair enough Ali. Model fatigue perhaps ECM mean looks ok to me as wel! Considering that's the end of autumn, very optimistic heading into early winter
  20. looks pretty negative to me Ali? I'll take that for the time of year!
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