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Froze were the Days

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Everything posted by Froze were the Days

  1. ?...not sure about that, felt quite mild even in the wind, sunny here but the continuous wind is getting on my nads now!
  2. This wind is more continuous than that winter of 2013/14 (which arguably was one of the longest winters I can remember, for all the wrong reasons)...yes there were wind storms and copious rainfall but that was in the winter months not early spring and after a fortnight or so of calm warm February weather - that's what's making it annoying presently - if this was either October or November then more par for the course!
  3. Amazing how the weather has gone from the sublime (back in February) to the ridiculous (this spell of miserable wet and continuously windy weather) - what is causing it?
  4. Just went on the Mod thread for the first time in weeks - STILL a few on there believing we're going to get winter proper from the odd rogue run, never fails to amaze me.
  5. Cheers for your input...wowzer! been on YouTube and seem some mighty crazy ones and appears the majority of the 'bigguns' form around Moore near Oklahoma City and appears earlier in the season (March/April) Alabama/Arkansas/Missouri/Tennesee/Kentucky/Georgia are the States more effected but as mentioned as weather is a fickle beast Tour 5 could be as good as Tour 1 but May is the month for the 'action'... Currently going though probate so next few months not sure what bills I'll be shelling out for, are there quite a few spaces available for 2020? (I can't see availability on the tours anywhere). Cheers Tim
  6. Hi there thinking about booking a place for 2020 tour - can anybody tell me statistically (for tornadoes) whether it is better to book an earlier tour (Dallas Fort Worth) or later tour (Denver)? - if you book an earlier tour from Dallas does this mean a tour of more eastern/southern States i.e. Texas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Alabama etc? ...basically historically what has had the more success. Many thanks Tim (sorry probably wrong thread)
  7. hhmmmm....going by the 1981-10 series skew's the figures somewhat e.g. 2008/09 would have have not be anywhere near -3.1 going by the 61-90 series, probably from the millennium the series is more applicable.
  8. Just noticed I won the winter 2018/19 CET comp...I really should do a winter forecast but I keep backing out at the last minute, I know easy to say in hindsight but my thoughts were for a largely disappointing winter in terms of cold but with 1 noteworthy spell (not sure the end of January merited that though some parts of southern and south western England did briefly get a good dumping). Maybe this winter I will do one but I won't go as far as week by week which to be fair is almost impossible.
  9. Yep looks like we're going from lovely clear blue skies and calm conditions to just the opposite (thanks Atlantic)...what ever happened to Pm and Am incursions from some point of a northerly direction?
  10. Local forecasters 'wetting' themselves on just how much colder the temperatures will be from tomorrow on wards and mentioned 'highs of just 11-13c' really!?! - have they lost the plot? still a few degrees above normal and believe in this part of the world at the start of March max averages should be near 9c!
  11. That's what I've BEEn thinking too...saw a few butterflies and bumbles yesterday but haven't seen any birds with nesting material, sod's law it will happen!
  12. I'd be surprised if we do...haven't had a bad summer since the Olympic year 2012.
  13. Not of recent February's not to sat they haven't been mild - March's of the 00's and 2010's have often had spells like this though (lasted at least a week) which goes unnoticed behind the cold facades of 2013 and 2018. 16.4 degrees of pure British Fahrenheit - to quote the great man!
  14. You're talking as if we don't see this type of weather often...from the majority of April though to mid-October last year we experienced a lot of sun and dry conditions, don't get me wrong this is better than wet, cloudy stuff but we shouldn't be having this in February!...and synoptically when there is still 'room' for cold weather do get a high anchored to the east or south east without a change is boring. Only my opinion of course
  15. The continuation of low pressure ALL the time in the Atlantic is another reason...look at the write-off month of December 2018 and look to our west, day after day all you'll see is low pressure but this time not with the defined strong jet that we associate with mild conditions.
  16. By the Gods this weather is boring - looks like a slight pattern change come later in the week but still looks pretty boring. Where is the cool/cold Pm/Am air from northerly's or north westerly's between the low pressures that we don't get any more? or the lack of cold high pressure that we see less and less of? Yawn!
  17. Yes it's begun early and no doubt last through to October and then from November to March we'll experience a prolonged Autumn.
  18. haha!...98% aren't bothered with warm synoptics and I'm not one to chuck the proverbial sindy doll out of the pram. Hope you keep your melons to your own confides and not down the local allotments...otherwise there's going to be some jaws hitting the compost
  19. Always seems to of recent years soon as we get into late March...look out for those building blocks (as per last year) for increasing warmth such as firstly high pressure throughout southern Europe and then building north towards Scandinavia followed by the Azores HP ridge extending towards the UK = built in heat from April onwards.
  20. I don't know, who?...but yes fully concur with what cheeky_monkey. Remember the ridicule I received back in late January when I said it looks like the models were picking up on a mild south westerly signal at day 9/10 and posters replied 'well this is the hunt for cold thread' and other silly remarks yet it's a completely different story with some who have a cold bias who frequently post in there and have been to put it 'mildly' wide of the mark when it's come down to day zero!
  21. Exceptionally mild?...well don't know about that, I could reel off a number of winters since the millennium that has been milder than this but in regards to 'background signals' (yes those words again) coming into this one it has been very disappointing, no doubt!
  22. Hardly looked at the models the last few days as it looks a real struggle now to get any cold in (as it basically has this entire winter)...looked at 12z ecm at 24z and then skipped out to 240z and guess what hardly any difference! ...I'll come back in a few days time when in all likely hood they'll be no change again.
  23. True!...he keeps coming back for more even though there's been so many 'game over's' this winter.
  24. Don't we say this after (even though we've got 20 days of winter to run) most disappointing winters?...have to say this one has been particularly frustrating considering all the 'positive' background signals and seasonal global models and MetO/ec46 outlooks, and putting this into regard could be the most frustrating since the millennium...
  25. I think you'll find it was more than 3 days...and the anomaly chart actually showed the warmest anomalies in central parts up to Michigan/Illinois/Minnesota/Iowa etc where it was coldest but yes agree that parts of the mid-west/west coast and towards eastern seaboard were largely mild throughout that month. Anyway all water under the bridge now. 12z maybe offers some hope moving forwards but once again looking into the far reaches...
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