DavidHB
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Posts posted by DavidHB
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33mph sustained, gusts - 53mph 995mb
its blowing pretty good out there for this part of the country at least, it certainly the highest winds we have had down here in a long time
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apparently the roof has blown off epsom race course
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ya the Squall line was pretty intense broke my guttering, was like a fire hose on the windows,
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washing machine outside, wont be popping my head out again that's for sure, when is this next LP supposed to be moving in?
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The peaks in the graphs for these levels in the atmosphere are greater and for longer than the action at the beginning of this week. I know they are a long way away yet, but i need to go and understand what they would mean if it panned out. Anyway as Corporal Jones says:
Interesting, i'm not to familiar with these sorts of charts, still learning...
So basically we could see some more decent LOW LPs moving in?
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Afternoon David
We have a thread over in the weather discussion forum which looks at the weather conditions and the prospects (if any) of the UK seeing a white Christmas.
Good afternoon
Brilliant liam thank you very much, i'll grab me coat and head strait on over...
What did you mean by ***Something not right about that period around the 22nd!!*** ?
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Ok last night storm wasn't as bad as expected, i watched it in last night i had a feeling this was probably the worst of it all,
So moving on, what the possibilities of a white one then folks ?
Those charts look like a similar scenario to this mornings snowfall
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This hasn't really developed a classic low at all yet, there is no circulating cloud, I was expecting this to happen suddenly in explosive cyclogenisis by the time it was in the channel
I was expecting to see that before it even got close to Lands End, developed way to late, i would have expected to see the coastal regions of France to be seeing higher winds/gusts then 60mph, they have dropped of a fair bit in the past hour to, inland France seeing 20 - 30mph sustained with gust of 40mph, what happened to the 70-90mph predicted?
All tho its probably an unwise thing to say at this point, with plenty of time for change, but its looking more & more likely France dodged a bullet to LOL, its probably going to get a little bit worst but nowhere near what was predicted, some News papers were saying 90-100mph LOL,
thank You for posting that chart.
This could be interesting no?
Hmm
This storm has been another complete let down, not only has it gone over france, it looks pathetic on the radars with no definition or center, im off to bed soon, have got better things to be doing than watching this dull event
LOL couldn't agree more
What a major major let down, even the snow has flopped, well not totally but, as always the more the better, been sleeting outside for a few hour now what a waste especially when you're 2C of the mark, could be a good fe CM out there laying waiting for a top up in the next few hour on the back side,
Sums up my year really
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don't you thinkk that it may come down across northern Ireland and into Scotland AND UK . ?
A very basic air current model, from a website i link to previous :
Looks more likely to come down over the south of Ireland and then maybe following a track similar to the LP in the channel once it hits the jet, as i said, T+36 puts it over Scotland, really can't see that happening now, in the past few hours its taken a good nose dive south, http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html i couldn't say for sure what it was going to do as i'm not expert, but if it does, it may top up some of the snow levels predicted for tomorrow, as the the cold air get dragged down from the LP moving over France, "with" the rain band still coming in of the Atlantic to,
Anyone?
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Take alook at this recent sat, the low i have circled has a hook development? (this is not the storm now)
Yah looks nice, that LP has come down from Greenland & recently past Iceland, the hook has been developed since yesterday now, was more defined in fact, not entirely sure on the track of that haven't been paying much attention to it but T+36 SPF has it over Scotland in the next 24h, looks like its going further south then projected tbh, looks as if its getting pulled into the backside of the current LP in the channel,
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Some over exaggerations, going by the current observations at least
I was expecting far higher winds to be honest, that said i can't see how its going to be much more then that over Paris come early hours/morning, generally these LP significantly weaken over landmass,
LP is currently at 984mb, i'm sure the models had it around 970mb at this point, and 950mb had it tracked north, initially the FI charts had it at 920mb a week ago, now there was something to worry about LOL, that would have been a great one to watch, once in a lifetime
There is hardly a breeze out there in the channel to speak of really, 20 - 30mph along the south coast and 66mph being the highest wind speed recorded so far... along the french coast, (Lann Bihoue)
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some are saying it is tracking further north ?
It appears so, i think we can push the MetO's snow warning more north, just the general area they outlined, some southern parts will still see some of the white stuff as this system pulls down colder air from the north, if we look at the wider infrared sat, this cloud bank is quite large most of it is still out in the Atlantic, so lots more of the cloud to come in yet while the temps are dropping away,
Looking at the Radar this system has pushed as far north as Sheffield, i don't think it was meant to track that far north initially,
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@WhereTheSnow
Watford is 71 - 80m above sea level,
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Hmm i wonder if its going to shift north LOL sorry, i just see that 105mph and looked at the location of the so called "eye" and thought what if
Anyone notice the temps going right up right by that too, 10C - 7C
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Hi, It was fantastic thank you, Paul Burling who played Wishee Washee was hilarious, I really liked him on Britain's Got Talent !
Light Drizzle here at the moment -
Temperature 3.4 °C
Dew Point 2 °C
Pressure 991.8 hPa (falling)
Pleased to report my lamp post is fully functional
Probably not as high as Luton but higher than Bedford, I guess ?
Not in residential area's they haven't, only on the grid roads and then not on junctions or roundabouts or on redways (a network of over 270 km of safe paths generally surfaced with red tarmac that criss-cross the entire city of Milton Keynes used by cyclists and walkers)...and defiantly not outside my house...they wouldn't dare !!
Something like that yah,
Watford is definitely lower ground then Luton just not sure what, Luton is 160m, then we drop back down en route to Bedford & MK, saying that Bedford is reading similar temps, further north slightly etc
Currently 3C /2C dew point 991mb here
The lamp post out side says sleet with the odd flake still, come on cold air where are youuuuuuuuuuuuuu
Should my lam post go down i have a trusty floodlight back up system out the front & back, the last resort will be to actually move from my comfy chair and actually go out to check, god forbid that ever happens tonight, i will not be happy at all
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imagine what would happen if we had winds of 525 mph lol
No thanks!! We would be blown into oblivion, your house would be flying through the sky faster than Dorothy's leaving Kansas!
It would certainly be on par with Hiroshima & Nagasaki, that's for sure
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Would you say Watford is on high ground, lol, im sure this is a silly question, but really, I dont have a clue.
Erm i'm not sure what sort of elevation Watford is?
I think the chances should be better come early tomorrow morning once the colder air is dragged down from the passing of the LP,
LOL at the Lamp post watcher guy hehe,
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No problem mate
Looks like a malfunction has occurred with that 105mph wind, During the storm on Tuesday the M4 buoy off the NW coast of Ireland reported a gust of 525mph!
Yeah I heard about that one LOL,
Does look odd, abit of a surprise there to say the least,
Down to 992mb temp still 3C /2C dew point
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Here's the latest surface analysis chart, it shows the centre of the depression over the tip of Cornwall roughly in the last hour.
Thank you Liam
So it is then, i wasn,t sure but it appears it is
WOW
105mph recorded of South west coast above Cornwall
http://www.ukweather....co.uk/LWUK.asp
Turbot Bank Buoy
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I thought there was a few snowflakes here although St. Albans is on higher ground, Hughsey Im not sure weather station details, where do i find them? Also if the models have edged it further North, is that a better set up for ALL of our region?
Id say so because the temp generally stay colder inland then around the coast, and obvious were on higher ground, so the further this rain band pushes into that colder air the more likely were see some snow up there to, i think the cut of point for the snow tonight will be probably anywhere north of where i am really,
But i wonder how much warmer temp will go when the low come through initially? temp are rising along the southern coastline as it drag in warmer air from the south, but then when it heads into and over France they will drop away again below 0C for much of the UK
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Yup, deffo the odd flake in the mix here, all tho at this point the showers are light, a few vertical falling sleet drops & a few slowly falling flakes,
Temps reading 3C - 2C dew point
Pressure 994mb
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Temps Dropped again 3C /2C Dew,
Pressure dropped 994mb
This cloud mass is pushing further north then projected, would this be correct? also does anybody have a decent live chart for Pressure/Isobars, one which cover a large area then the XCWeather, thats not our LP coming in yet is it?
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Sleet with the odd flake of snow here in Luton, (light)
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Dew point a bit to high atm David, not to excessive though and evaporative cooling could come into play.
Temps risen to 4C /2C dew, sleet falling outside, some flakes mixed in (very light)
Pressure dropped of to 995mb
Atlantic Storms - January Part 2
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
whats the projected path of this next LP out in the Atlantic? looks like that could be another trouble maker