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December 10, 2017
December 30, 2016
See all updates by Sainsbo
Hearing lots of talk this morning that this El Nino is likely to beat the 97/98 El Nino...Is there actually any truth to that?
The MJO is suppressed during El Ninos, SB. The 1 and 2 regions underwent temporary cooling from the last upwelling wave, but there's still anomalies of over +7C waiting just under the surface.
I thought Nino was the reason for the huge MJO phases in March and July.
I think the strong MJO helped boost the relatively weak Nino at the time. Right now we should be looking for continued westerly anomalies along the euatorial Pacific and for the IOD to go positive, both of which appear to be happening.