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Gavin Hannah

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Gavin Hannah last won the day on October 9 2013

Gavin Hannah had the most liked content!

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    High Wycombe
  • Interests
    Gagdets, Consoles, and snow....
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow and Cold.

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  1. Back again for the 8th winter in a row. Love seeing this thread each year as the winter gathers pace. Usually I am back in much earlier but seem to be busier than normal at the moment with work and family. Had a dusting of snow this morning at work here in Stokenchuch (Bucks). Do we know if science has found that concrete proof of a link between the SAI and our winter prospects yet??
  2. Judging my the outputs I've seen, the word 'Zonal' has no place in the mod thread atm. Certainly nothing like last few years where we had not a sniff until the new year for a fraction of the cold and snow we've had the last weekish. Bring on the pub run.
  3. See y'all back here when then 0z restores some sanity to the output.
  4. Gavin Hannah

    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    Despite what a few of the Pros and experts believe, I can guarantee that the rest of December will be dominated by Northerly incursions. January will see the return of the Beasterly. And we will all have a merry Xmas!
  5. This is why we should tow the UK 100 miles further north and nudge it east a tad.
  6. I believe they do see as it rolls out. We will see if it is the12Z in a couple of hours.
  7. Gavin Hannah

    Snow on the Scottish Mountains.

    Cairgorm mountain taking a beating today. http://www.cairngormmountain.org/webcam-overview
  8. In short, it's a Best Guess scenario. If the Op and Control are on the same / similar page, would one not prefer to follow the op / control rather than any of the members?
  9. Aren't PPN signals based off what patterns the models are generating? Thus it would follow that the PPN signal follows the models, not the other way around.
  10. Snow may be limited away from the north and high ground. But cold air is key to keeping the snow in place where it has fallen for the periods when milder air does make a return.
  11. The difference in pressure over Greenland is noticeable. 1045 on the GFS.
  12. There's only one way to describe what the GFS produced on the 00z.... Utter Filth. FI evolutions are obv chalk & cheese and so I wouldn't look much past this weekend. But what's nice to see is consistency from the GFS Re. a Northerly reload next week. By this weekend, we should have a decent amount of high ground snow. If we get that quick reload next week, with the increased snow amounts progged, it should be a rather decent ski season up there. Fingers crossed for the GFS to keep any blowtorches well away from us!
  13. Bit of a difference now in the LP in the Atlantic. Tripple pronged with lope heading east and putting a bit more pressure on the HP to our west. Overall, the pattern is broadly similar, but this is where it will start to veer in a slightly different direction.. Will it upgrade or downgrade??
  14. So far the 12z is showing minute differences to our NE ( Canada / Greenland ). Now comes the interesting phase of chart roll out. What happens to any shortwaves...
  15. My money is on greater amplification and a cleaner flow as you have highlighted. Time and again, the models are being stymied in the attempt to return to mild / zonal. December is going to be a blocked month. (Wouldn't bet the house just yet). With the output we are getting run to run, I think we can simply ignore anything beyond day 5.
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