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Robbie Garrett

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Everything posted by Robbie Garrett

  1. Personally, the EU need to close the whole entire airspace for at least two weeks. The ashcloud did it, this time it needs to be done.
  2. I got the Flu with Tonsillitis on top of it. Can't say it was nice, waking up with a pool of sweat and feeling absolutely destroyed and shaking to the core. This was 2013. However this was a few months after ending up in hospital with something (8 blood tests later) and still no idea with just inflammation of the intestines showing up. Temperature +39.9*C with dosage of paracetamol, ibuprofen and aircon at +18*C. Had a cute Spanish nurse looking after me in good ole General del Muro. So I can honestly say, getting xyz on top of each-other is probably possible but no thank you.
  3. I was on the Northern line a few times this week.... Along with the Chelsea Match, a few restaurants, bars, clubs and pubs.
  4. The Aviation Update is an interesting one. Deep low pressure (central pressure 936mb) centred just to the N of the British Isles, bringing SW gales to NW Europe. Sustained winds for the British Isles, northern France, Benelux, Denmark, northern and western Germany 25-30KT. Gusts 45-60KT inland. Peak winds 12-18Z across the UK and in the evening over N mainland Europe. The winds will ease during the early hours of Monday as the low transfers eastward to central Scandinavia. All airports in these areas are likely to be impacted by strong gusty winds conditions with possible local heavy rain
  5. About two weeks ago I had a Viral Infection, about the same dates when the Corona-virus would have been landing in the UK. I work in an international setting where I would interact with a lot of people travelling. I haven't had it that bad since 2014, so how does anyone know that they haven't had it and gotten over it? It took me roughly 14 days to get rid of it, and I am still feeling it a little bit now.
  6. I am very intrigued as there's a lot of energy involved here. Last Saturday was biblical rainfall, same on Sunday then this cell.
  7. Rather odd how you can get a Supercell in the winter and not much in the Summer.
  8. Very interesting over at the WPC Extended Forecast Discussion. Models are struggling somewhat post Day 4, as I said last night - taking anything post 96 hours with the finest pinch of salt. Anything after this period I think should be looked at, but not through rose tinted glasses. Appears to be some variability regarding the Alaskan ridge and the cutoff low which assists the building of a ridge to our west. Either way, it's an interesting period for sure. The next 96 hours look relatively straightforward, but with the prime concern the evolution of
  9. I have been watching this Model Output Discussion the last few weeks, and have seen a lot of back and fourth's with the outputs. I am a firm believer that November-December 2010 was not a one off as we go forward in time. The cold periods we had after this 100 year event really did support that one day we might see something similar, and without a doubt I think most people expect that this is the case, of which I am one of them. Interestingly I just had a read through this, and pre that big cold spell was a lot of flooding. Which is not too dissimilar to the pattern we have had recen
  10. Interesting jet profile too, need to get that into the more reliable timeframe.
  11. I suspect Dec 2019 will follow Dec 2009, Jan 2020 (Ala 2010 will be interestingly.) There's something in the background that the models are picking up.
  12. There's one thing that strikes me on the latest MO updates, and they've put one interesting caveat on it. "Through the second half of November and into December, confidence remains low." Either way, interesting pattern building next week. The jet seems to be pivoting under the high over Europe, and surely that's what you want? Be interested to see if the models can get to grips with that Afghan/Euro High.
  13. I believe this is the discussion from NOAA/NHC. "It is likely that cold upper-level temperatures have allowed the cyclone to maintain deep convection and lead to the formation of a warm core, while Pablo continued strengthening over cool water temperatures where tropical cyclones normally weaken. Still, the current SSTs underneath Pablo are so far below those usually needed for tropical development, that Pablo must be incredibly efficient at extracting heat from the ocean surface below (as well as low-level surrounding air, probably)."
  14. Massive thunderous cell over London, with aircraft still flying through it. Literally.
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