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Everything posted by Robbie Garrett
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
A lot more convective than forecast. Just has a decent thunderstorm, ball bearing size hail and lightning, two claps of thunder. More bubbling up in the distance. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just checked. That's a shame -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Does @Glacier Point still frequent these forums? His views on the models were awesome -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Part of the long-range forecast not updated yet; Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Sun 12 Nov 2023 Normally done by 1500. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I saw this posted on Twitter earlier; a tripole anomaly in the Atlantic clearly shows a band of cooler waters sandwiched by warmer waters to the north and south. The cold winters of 2009/10 and late 2010 were characterised by a similar tripole pattern in the North Atlantic which produced a negative NAO. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Interesting 06z run - goes for height rises to our SW/W from the Azores. Jetstream starts to buckle Semi reliable time-frame - wonder if further runs will start indicating this? Somewhat similar to the UKMO line of thinking. A cut off low below the high in the Med Wonder what's causing the height rises and the evolution of a Scandi high over the UK towards Mid-End of November. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Considering this is how November 2nd was in 2010 It's not bad 2023 Things can change very dramatically. End of November 2010 -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Robbie Garrett replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS in FI now hinting at what the UKMO was suggesting on Long-range forecast... 360hrs NH 384hrs EUR -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Something happening Biggin Hill way, these aircraft are holding and then changing it's pattern very quickly. Must be explosive development. -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Gunshot thunder just now. -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Lightning and booming thunder to my SW (London) out of nowhere. -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Few cells firing over London behind that main band. Presume nocturnal cooling. Sporadic pulse cells it seems. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Multiple thunder booms. MCS I presume? 20230918_003427.mp4 -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I can get hear very distant rumbles to be fair. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Flashes in the sky at the moment in London. Mostly distant. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Wow! -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Robbie Garrett replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Rinse repeat maybe? But definitely a hint from the UKMO long-term of settled weather. -
European Storm & Convective Discussion
Robbie Garrett replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
So is this a "Medicane" or a "Derecho?" -
European Storm & Convective Discussion
Robbie Garrett replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
SIGMET Showing TOPS at FL400-FL430 in those two cells. Almost tropical. -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
From the Royal London Hospital Helipad earlier -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Robbie Garrett replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather