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Chris K

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Everything posted by Chris K

  1. Indeed..but still closest to current radar obs in my view (compared to the others). Different resolutions though.
  2. Definitely been a repetitive theme past few years now...best storm activity seems to initiate further North over, rather than South of the UK during plume type setups.
  3. Not as optimistic as earlier for here, unless the showers West of the channel islands move up towards us and develop further into storms. Anything that is approaching the W Country seems to keep fading away. A recurring theme in recent years is of activity kicking off in the morning to the N/NE, so my bet is on that happening
  4. Keeping my eye on these that have started to develop for later in the night. Met office had it crossing right over the W country in the early hours, but not sure if it'll just be standard showery rain behind the band moving in front.
  5. I wouldn't take precipitation charts too seriously and just watch the satellites and live radars instead from later today to watch developments. Countless times I have had rainfall from storm forecasts shown right above me but ends up missing me 100 miles to my West or East. How well do models pick up elevated storms? Am I right in saying rainfall is often less with these types of storms, as it evaporates before reaching the ground? Is that common here?
  6. I'm sure this has been a regular occurrence in recent years with regards to bad timing with overnight storms...may be my subjective memory though!
  7. A couple of rumbles of thunder to my North from that shower band. Another band to my South. Sunny here inbetween haha....
  8. Just saw a couple of flickers of lightning to my North looking towards Gloucester direction.
  9. I live about 6 miles north and haven't heard anything. Hopefully spot a flicker as it drifts by to my east.
  10. Few more developing off the S coast a tad west of the previous ones, so may head towards Bristol directly?
  11. True and it looks like showers developing across some C/S areas could develop as they trundle North?
  12. Noticed those showers cropping up - might get lucky as they drift by!
  13. Seems to be some showers developing in the channel that may have parts of the W country's name on it. We were just outside most warnings but unless steering winds start shifting it more east (or they fizzle out), they look to be heading this way later.
  14. Shame it's just that bit too far North and East of us today by the looks of things! Guess I can't be too greedy though after Tues night.... ?
  15. Does anyone know where I can generate a lightning strike animation of, for example, the last 24 hours? Can't seem to find anywhere that lets me download it.
  16. Night time storms really are worth the bleary eyes next day in work. Was a good view looking north with forks darting across the sky. Wish i could take decent shots! Perhaps a little more storm activity rolling in on the tail end from Somerset. Haven't had a storm like this for quite some time!
  17. Lightning now starting directly above and closing the gap as it heads off - looking good for Gloucester area soon.
  18. Gah the usual split opening up for Bristol ? But on the plus side I can see some distant flashes from the storm in Wales and soon from the one near Bath which may drift just to the east.
  19. Someone plug that gap heading towards Bristol with more lightning....
  20. I would expect more storms to start initiating across the W country fairly soon with those showers moving in....hopefully....?
  21. Most models don't suggest the main bulk of storms to initiate for another hour or two yet, where it shows them exploding to life across parts of S Wales, Devon, W country and C/S England, before expanding N/NE eventually swinging NW towards Scotland. Plenty of time yet.
  22. Rain radar seems to show tiny 'cells' beginning to pop up in an area of the Channel NW of the channel Islands? Could be a go soon?
  23. There are showers approaching Cornwall and Devon and West of Brest - I think it is these that will develop as they move North/NE.
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