Jonathan Lang
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Everything posted by Jonathan Lang
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Raining moderately here now. Odd flake or two.
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Just had a light sleety shower (mostly rain but the odd wet flake and snow pellet) so temps must be getting there! There was also a snowy looking shaft of precipitation coming from it, appearing to end just above the hills after it passed. I suspect I got a glimpse of where the snow line is.
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Getting gusty again
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This wind is strange. Its coming is small intense puffs causing hanging plant pots to swing and push empty wheelie bins. Raining lightly too.
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Too late for snow to fall if any showers develop. Its already 5c here.
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Some cirrostratus is just coming over the western horizon now. Running out of time!
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Heavy snow shower has increased the snow cover from dusting to 1cm
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Wind seems to be turning more westerly, should bring the showers south a bit.
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Had a dusting here but it has melted. Only the cars are covered now
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Very heavy graupal snow shower just gone through.
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Just had an impressive pellet snow shower.
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Same here
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Some showers just popped up on the radar in my locale! Getting excited!
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Clear sky at the moment.
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Little bits of snow in the wind but the sky is completely clear. Very strange.
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It has just begun to 100% snow lightly here although it is melting as it hits the ground.
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I'm below that yet I've had loads of little snow showers. Even a brief covering. I'm at 120m asl
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Another snow shower. Temp is 1c
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Just had another snow shower at 7c! Dropped briefly to 2c. Quickly after though. I possibly just have a slow thermometer
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Just had a little light 100% snow shower (is that what a flurry is?). Didn't expect that at all.
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Model Output Discussion; into 2015
Jonathan Lang replied to martthefart's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For those of you who criticized what I said yesterday regarding the high linkup. The chart IDO posted clearly shows what would happen if the high wins. The fact the charts are showing this (and have been for a fair few runs now) shows it isn't impossible. Still unlikely to happen but relatively speaking the chances have increased drastically for it to in my opinion. -
Heavy rain here with the odd sleety flake here and there. Not surprised in the slightest really and don't expect anything better for here.
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Model Output Discussion; into 2015
Jonathan Lang replied to martthefart's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But if you see my second post, this is not the only attempt the high makes of this. It happens more than once and we may prove lucky eventually. Low chance of happening but I think its something to watch. -
Model Output Discussion; into 2015
Jonathan Lang replied to martthefart's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But if the low was weaker, with weaker heights, wouldn't the high simply break through and cut off the aforementioned low? Also the amplification evident in the chart you showed means the high should have an easier time breaking through? Please bear with me as I am no expert and still learning. -
Model Output Discussion; into 2015
Jonathan Lang replied to martthefart's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it's also worth noting it nearly succeeds in FI on the GFSP. Wouldn't take much to make that succeed I think and I believe it may do on future runs.
