[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Seems like another part of the puzzle unfolding on the gfs   now an easterly, where will this all end. Hang on gang we could be digging ourselves out soon .very interesting synoptics for us coldies, over to tomorrow for the Ecm .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Looking at ECM up to 192 hrs goes with what is generally forecast across many weather channels and charts in general, but the last two charts of ecm 216 and 240 look rather odd .im not saying they wont evolve  like that   because like many on here  its a good step towards a pattern change which  most on here are craving for .Could be that when the high gets pushed west at 216 ecm we could see a rush of very cold air s east across us  just like GFS is hinting at . But i think at this range ,there are  many garden paths including one that could Sink , so lets sit back relax chill out ,I'm sure there is a beast lurking ,will report more  tomorrow ,inspection at 7am up the wood shed ,cheers gang STellas all round .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

In all fairness it looks like some light at the end of a very long mild wet stormy mushy winter So far . But at this stage not getting my hopes up yet .Gfs seems to be all over the place ,ecm 8 9 and 10 days a bit like a yo yo , So stormy wet for the next 7 days, but then what ,a toppler out west or a sustainable high hanging around a while ,or even Nothing  ,sorry gang the weather cant do nothing ,but hey ho its only jan 11 th . Cheers gang ,sausage baps all round .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Hi gang   ,i am more confident today that things are gradually  very slowly becoming more Wintry for the UK .a couple of days ago i did say that there was a possible that Atlantic lows would move on a more southerly track and that i was hoping we would see also lows moving south east .not rocket science i must admit , but I'm sure something to get our attention and may be cheer us all up .Gfs is sniffing out the possibility of high pressure to our n east in extended outlook, and Ecm showing an angry North Atlantic attack, but positioning of lows past 6 days will be very critical. Exeter yesterday hints at a cooling down ,wo der what today will bring. Some newsworthy weather on its way and not all mild mush .and its only jan 8th  , take care gang cheers .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Hi gang  ,looking past day 6 on tonights ECM ,It would only need a slight adjustment south with the Lows and we could see some high rainfall totals and if they could just squeeze a tad further east some stormy conditions. I will stop there, as anything else is wishful thinking, go on then ,polar vortex to break away ,record number of posters on line .It certainly is dire at the moment ,but hang on in there gang , thought i would post to keep things running along, no stellas tonight just sausage baps and brown sauce and coffee, cheers .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Not even a 10 day wonder chart from ECM, Unless of course you love it mild .off to buy the Express, but will be back tonight for 7pm , perhaps a miracle will come cheers .

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Hi gang ,Ecm today shows a very active Atlantic in its later stages ,so does the Gfs .biggest question  ,what happens to the high pressure to our east ,does it get shunted away or does it stand up and fight or miraculously goes on holiday to Scandinavia (a nice resting place for an extended holiday ) .So whats LURKING past day 8 ,i have just got back from the woodshed ,and my prediction looking at todays charts is this  ,around  the 12th /13th a very active low pressure system will dive from the north Atlantic moving south east across the UK ,this will introduce good 850 mb temp of around minus 10c  ,what follows is too far out .Just looking at this mornings Ecm was painfull ,but combined with Gfs there is a  very angry Atlantic which looks to me like it wants to do Battle, so we could see the attackers being armed by the polar vortex, i may be Wrong , but i realy think at this moment that mid month or earlier could be very newsworthy and interesting for us coldies, let the future Battle commence, right gang ,Settees out ,fingers crossed, and remember its only the 5th of January, as i always say ,best forum on the planet, and thanks to all who contribute, cheers gang STellas and sausage baps all round. 

[Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!]

Mega horror show from the gfs .gives us a nasty low next thursday (thank you )and another in 10days  ,then mush  when will this end , I'm out of prozack, but plenty of straws   , keep the faith gang its only 4th jan  , ecm next ,wonder what i will find behind settee ,cheers .

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

The only place we can go , take up round about watching , drive out and take photos of our  roundabouts, No thanks ,think we can write off first half of January, but come on gang keep the hope alive its only January 1st, no STellas tonight sausage sandwiches and brown sauce, ECM in the morning to bring us cheer . Amazing mild across a large range of the northern hemisphere,  but mother nature occasionally flips that to Arctic bliss ,cheers .

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Hi gang ,hang on in there , a lot of uncertainty past day10 .seen this type of dank high pressure many a time change to Arctic bliss .many long range forecasts past 10 days are currently uncertain of synoptics, so tonight folks we may see some BOOM BOOM charts ,never give up ,and giving up on the first of January is complete defeat with many weeks of winter left. Loads of very cold Air to our north, and hints from models today that the jet is trying to move south again .Happy new year to you all, Stellas all round gang, cheers .

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Hi gang , certainly very frustrating for us snow and cold lovers but we are at the end of December if it was late february i would be looking at the prozack cupboard. My hopes now are looking for a possible onslaught of deep lows heading to our East at around 10 days from now .we all know that the weather is so hard to predict ,nothing can be ruled out over the coming two months of winter ,so gang chins up , i wish you all the best for 2020 , fantastic forum, great mates ,let the hunt continue STellas all round cheers .

 

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Hopefully, all the slugs ,azores spoilers, flat pancakes, drunk ops ,raging vortex in the wrong place, and unwelcome bordom will DO ONE , great forum  our time will come gang  STELLAS  All round , cheers gang ? .

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Is tonights GFS  On to something or on ONE  , looks good , hope all had a good Christmas, roll on snow and ice cheers gang. 

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Good evening Gang ,wish you all the best at this festive time .we have a great forum, great team of knowledgeable posters what more do we want .SNOW ,DAM 492 ,SLiders , channel lows ,streamers ,Polar lows , Baltic cold wave  ,frozen thames  .on to the Models, tonights ECM run is all wrong, its bound to be its xmas  there must be a data problem with lack of data ,i have just Cracked it ,the high pressure is going to Migrate North , Boris johnson will summon Cobra in the new year and later in February we will be connected to Europe  via an  ICE Bridge ,Not a drop of alcohol as passed my lips today I'm just MAD ,give me SNOW ,i have rhubarb sprouting,  take care all, The advance guard of winter is on its way at day 10 ,STellas on me ,cheers gang .

 

 

[Model output discussion - into Christmas]

Hi Gang, last nights GFS certainly put me to sleep with lovely dreams of Arctic mayhem, and snow by the bucket. Todays runs ,well i am only looking at  the most out to 168 hrs ,as i expect plenty of twists as there is a lot going on as i expect a major change to the northern hemisphere pattern come new year ,yes new year gang .not only can i feel it in my water but the way the charts are changing tells me something is LURKING , my fridge magnet of Michael fish fell off  overnight , the last time this happened the beast turned up ,cheers gang STEllas on me .

 

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived and the hunt for cold is on]

Good morning gang .TWEAKING ,  i have been Tweaking whilst looking at the charts so far this morning, tweak here and a tweak there .certainly some eye candy showing today  ,ok all way out but we have moved on  from the last couple of days of total gloom. Looking at current charts and a very stormy wet 5 days to come ,maybe early next week things calm down ,then i wonder whats in store for us all , looks very likely we will see pressure rise to our east but exact location is going to be critical for Cold Hunters amongst us .Did see the local Squirrels up the garden chattering a few minutes ago  ,think they were saying Ecm as smelt the coffee   ,great forum ,Stellas on me,cheers roll on tonights runs , All aboard .

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived and the hunt for cold is on]

Good morning gang. Certainly a very turbulent week or so looking at this mornings charts , no BOOM charts to get me excited but as ever with a bit of tweaking on the ECM IN Its later stages we could get there with some colder 850s dragged further south .So over to the GFS For some eye candy ,its all frustrating but we do have some  ery interesting synoptics around and this can throw up surprises for the UK , take care gang STellas all round .

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived and the hunt for cold is on]

2 minutes ago, fromey said:

This not what you want to see!!

It’s only a forecast but if this came anywhere near, I don’t like our chances of any cold weather 

Crikey ,just had a look at this ,right then I'm off ,  cant find the prozack ,im taking up mild mush spotting instead.    Right I'm back ,great posts today on  wards to the big guns at 7pm , very interesting synoptics looking ahead gang ,cheers .

[Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat]

18 minutes ago, Norrance said:

Here it is thoughI lost the format. Sorry.

legritter

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Feb 1st 2019 ,7.30 am ish .then another 10cms at 9am till mid day .got about 2 hours sleep that night .as for tonights models, good to see some interesting synoptics ,and things could be very newsworthy next week weather wise, but only at this stage looking ahead 144 hrs ,beyond that we have things kicking off with the polar vortex becoming angry looking ,and some seriously cold temp plunging south across the pond .interesting times ahead gang ,lets shift this grimey grey weather ,Stellas on me  cheers .

 

Thanks for finding it cheers .

[Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat]

Hi gang ,think my post along with others was removed  because of being off topic ,But where did it go ,a mystery like 10 days time in chart watching ,any one seen it ,cheers .

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived and the hunt for cold is on]

Morning gang ,ok charts for coldies a bit less mouthwatering this morning. I did glance at my supply of Prozack at 7am today , but had a walk up to my wood shed, crikey 9 squirrels all chattering away think they were saying , big upgrades later ,that forum on net weather is in meltdown. I am posting a couple of charts which i like ,think they are what coldies crave for .The HUNT IS still on , And i for sure am happy, sausage baps all round ,and here we go on Gfs  ,met update ,Ecm tonight, Stellas all round cheers .

 

[Model output discussion - late November]

Hi gang ,i am pinning my hopes on a good Arctic sourced air mass arriving in about 8 to 10 days .ok the ecm shows a root to this is possible ,the gfs is hinting ,awaiting exeters outlook with interest as this could give us some clues. Apologies if i post the wrong chart ,i can only see a stamp sized down load, should be ecm 10day .setting up my new computer today ,big fingers with mobile phone doesnt work for me .Back to model discussion ,wouldn't be surprised if this afternoons gfs goes cold quicker ,tonights Ecm i am awaiting probably behind settee with the dog .Great forum gang ,we are on to something, and winter wonderland is gradually showing itself, moderate frost today ,and of course that day back a few weeks ago when i had snow falling, a good start for us weather addicts, cheers gang .

 

[Model output discussion - late November]

Hi gang ,great to see posters are in a happy mood tonight .Tomorrow is Winter, HOORay ,charts will realise this and some will be real CORKERS, AT DAYS 9 and 10  .well before i get removed tonights models are showing a much more mobile spell incoming after next  Friday ,with many twists and turns and hopefully some Arctic incursions. Over the next 13 weeks or so we have 182  runs of the Ecm, same for uk met and 364  for GFS  , Are you ready for the chase Gang ,STEllas all round ,and a toast for us hardened weather fans .

 

[December 2019 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests -- start of the 2019-2020 competition year]

4.8c ,129mm ,please .

 

[Model output discussion - late November]

1 minute ago, markw2680 said:

Some excellent posts in here as usual but one wonders how some find the time for posts that must take ages to do. Think my mrs would shoot me if I spent anymore time on here. Let’s just hope the next runs and so on upgrade the cold potential rather than all this choppy stuff

My beautifull late wife used to say to me  ,on that computer again ,stop dirtying the curtains, look in the morning when you wake up ,if you want to measure the snow take the dog out  ,but overall knew i was bonkers if snow was about ,i shall be behind the sofa tonight with the dog waiting for ECM ,cheers .