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legritter

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Posts posted by legritter

  1. Good morning gang. Certainly a very turbulent week or so looking at this mornings charts , no BOOM charts to get me excited but as ever with a bit of tweaking on the ECM IN Its later stages we could get there with some colder 850s dragged further south .So over to the GFS For some eye candy ,its all frustrating but we do have some  ery interesting synoptics around and this can throw up surprises for the UK , take care gang STellas all round .

    • Like 8
  2. 2 minutes ago, fromey said:

    This not what you want to see!!

    It’s only a forecast but if this came anywhere near, I don’t like our chances of any cold weather 

    4404D426-A865-4A1E-9C84-F510649A0C6E.jpeg

    Crikey ,just had a look at this ,right then I'm off ,  cant find the prozack ,im taking up mild mush spotting instead.    Right I'm back ,great posts today on  wards to the big guns at 7pm , very interesting synoptics looking ahead gang ,cheers .

    • Like 5
  3. 18 minutes ago, Norrance said:

    Here it is thoughI lost the format. Sorry.


    legritter

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    Location: winscombe north somerset

    Feb 1st 2019 ,7.30 am ish .then another 10cms at 9am till mid day .got about 2 hours sleep that night .as for tonights models, good to see some interesting synoptics ,and things could be very newsworthy next week weather wise, but only at this stage looking ahead 144 hrs ,beyond that we have things kicking off with the polar vortex becoming angry looking ,and some seriously cold temp plunging south across the pond .interesting times ahead gang ,lets shift this grimey grey weather ,Stellas on me  cheers .

     

    image.jpeg

    Thanks for finding it cheers .

    • Like 1
  4. 22 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

    Morning. ? 

    So the GFS sticking with a drier interlude for the first half of next week but there is a fly in the ointment and its an area of rain that may skim Eastern England for much of Monday and be very slow to push back out into the north sea with a strong chilly northeast wind.. This is courtesy of a low pressure system set to move north out of central Europe into the north sea on Monday but whether it stays far enough east to give Eastern England a dry day or is west enough to push rain into particularly east anglia and the far south east is currently a little uncertain given the high resolution models keep it away then its more likely to stay east of eastern England for the most part but nevertheless should keep an eye on it but..elsewhere Monday is looking mostly dry with just a stray shower. ?️

    Monday night/Tuesday.. 

    13fc25bc-7a93-422a-99de-70058159d269.thumb.gif.7c63c8f424e903674bae3d805eb04de1.gifd12fb9ab-100d-42f4-8085-c1e3bddfae22.thumb.gif.3fe8c98323eb4b00f6c97311266c8531.gif

    Just thought I'd add that tree animation.. ?

    51b7a937-dd2a-4cca-bdc8-ab0a804cc0e1.thumb.gif.3f4a30e9e7766ac11e2f18365228ff2e.gif

    It starts mostly dry for Tuesday until a weak frontal system tries to push in from the west later but looking like falling to pieces as it makes inroads into more of the UK this because of a very strong blocking high developing out east. 

    Wednesday could be mostly dry so gives the rivers more time to recede to an extent but by Thursday the gfs shows more energised weather fronts making much more progress into much of the UK bringing heavy outbreaks of rain in places clearing to then be followed by more areas of rain from the southwest through the second half of next week but breaks in between a little hill snow for Scotland too. 

    Thursday and Thursday night.. ?

    eaf0a937-e47d-4b52-a4dc-653522247963.thumb.gif.a993a6eaa278e373055bdd6f9304c0f2.gife780aaf1-6dbf-4b9f-a455-8a158646ea26.thumb.gif.1f5679cf239fadb8ea3adf99d598c2b1.gif

    But then whats this? Yes a more traditional set up beginning to take place with heavy rain pushing into Ireland/northern Ireland and western Scotland by day 9 with higher pressure to the south and east.

    Monday 25th.. ?

    f9246242-7ce1-4cf7-bd60-5c98e0a4b9d9.thumb.gif.58517687d6afd6fe00b5eab8b004d76a.gif

    Its worth bearing in mind that a small shift east with the overall pattern next week particularly later next week and beyond ie blocking high further away to the east.. *could* cause us to have frequent slow moving weather fronts giving large amounts of rainfall once again to many parts of particularly England and Wales but alternatively less wet if the high pressure is stronger out east and that would mean wetter for the far northwest. 

    Gem for example was a pretty dry run last night but a complete flip to the deluge once again this morning because of that subtle shift east of everything.. and with the Gem this morning a more powerful jetstream with the majority of the rainfall shown on the chart below because of a deep low pushing northeast over central and southern Britain.

    Sunday 24th..?

    355288473_EUROPE_PRMSL_RAIN_192(1).thumb.jpg.b2f81f136f1b8b019c5515b4e722f82a.jpg

    That's almost certainly going to change but worth a mention. ?

    Yesterday afternoon's accumulated rainfall forecast.. 

    1792567981_EUROPE_PRMSL_RAINACCUM_240(5).thumb.jpg.c4b902a3338df29cdb1f5648e9b8739e.jpg

    Compared with this morning's Gem 10 day accumulated rainfall. 

    688468416_EUROPE_PRMSL_RAINACCUM_240(6).thumb.jpg.0d717d56f69a74ce8a0ef68855c3fed2.jpg

    Update you all later. ?

    Fantastic post ,Thanks .

    • Like 4
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