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richie3846

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  1. LetItSnow! It surprised me how little variance there is between the 10 year periods you selected. Taking into account the 7% more rain per celcius formula, that is often cited these days, the rainfall patterns appear to be virtually static, even over the last 3 decades you provided. I noticed the same pattern on the rainfall chart someone kindly posted a few days ago in this thread. While there is a slight upward trend overall, the cyclic pattern is very clear. Our rainfall patterns are pretty well defined over a period of time.
  2. In Absence of True Seasons seeing as you mentioned vitamin D, I started taking a D3 supplement around 12 years ago. I took a blood test at the end of February just before I started taking the supplement - a time when our reserves will be at the lowest, and repeated the test exactly a year later, after supplementing daily from September onwards. Whilst I no longer have the exact numbers, I do remember that the blood count on the second test was substantially higher than the previous year. Now over a decade later, I rarely come down with a heavy cold, my last notable one so long ago I think it was at least 5 years ago. I think I do catch the same colds as everyone else, by now it's like a vague sense of possibly having a virus, with no symptoms that make me feel ill. Prior to supplementing I used to catch regular colds and feel rotten, like many people do. I do believe that D3 has been the main factor for my lack of winter illnesses, which of course helps me get through the winter a little easier.
  3. Summer8906 Maybe parts of the UK will warrant a new classification in its own right
  4. I guess the difficulty with trying to assess if parts of the UK are worthy of a different classification, is we need a few decades of data to look back on. We can only make this sort of climate assessment in hindsight, so it may be quite a while before we know if we are at the beginning of a new classification.
  5. I suspect that Humberside site may not be an official met office station, hence the discrepancy in my earlier report.
  6. I sniff a new record for Xmas Eve, 15.8c Humberside, which would beat the old UK record of 15.6c.
  7. I still disagree with the word confirmed in this context. Confirm usually indicates fact, not projection.
  8. I disagree with the way this professor chooses his words. The word 'confirmed' in the same sentence as 'climate model' is not what I expect from a professor. A single climate model doesn't confirm anything, it gives us more information to make assessments, and his poor choice of words here suggests this is some sort of fact now. I suggest he may be doing this for his ego, because frankly, professors don't need to feed this sort of soundbite through a twitter account, for likes.
  9. In some respects the news feeds should be impartial and not directly connected to the BBC's own forecasts. As a supposedly unbiased outlet, they should be sourcing their news appropriately, even if that involves taking the superior knowledge from the met office, even if that conflicts with their second rate weather data. In this day of live feeds, and constant coverage (and hype), it's much more difficult to keep everything clean and tidy, like it was back in the day of the news at 1, 6 and 9. I believe the issues you raise are part of a bigger challenge for the BBC. They are trusted by many, but not by all. I've seen too many times how the BBC use their power to create bias, and then claim there is no bias. I personally cannot trust them to sensibly take the data available and produce relevant forecasts and coverage of a storm event like this. With constant live feeds, people could quite reasonably think half the country has been blown and washed away. I can imagine they have a mindset in the newsroom, that forces the hand of the editor, to keep pushing the live feed as much as possible, to ensure plenty of ongoing storyline for Joe Public. There isn't much of an option in that one sided world, for the editor to suddenly say, NO, it's time to cancel this feed. The other websites with feeds also, will be stuck in this same thinking pattern, therefore perpetuating the non-news, as there is no feasible or easy way to decide when to change course. I notice these love feeds tend to start ahead of the event - in some ways that reflects the age old story of the media's impact on the Mods and Rockers scenario, where the media whipped up a frenzy ahead of anything actually happening. I do think returning to the MO would be a step in the right direction for the BBC. I don't think it will solve many of the problems that this 24 hour live coverage creates. It's like the news outlets, especially the BBC with all their power, are bent on creating titillating narratives for consumers to relish like a novel. It seems wrong to me, and whilst it'll never happen, I think the days of limited news coverage did a better job of things. As you pointed out, in the past we did receive emergency news flashes where appropriate, and if for example a storm turned bad quickly, news bulletins would interrupt regular viewing to inform the public.
  10. Met Office verdict on Storm Debi as weather maps show new storm | Weather | News | Express.co.uk WWW.EXPRESS.CO.UK EXCLUSIVE: Weather forecasters have argued that incoming soggy bluster following Storm Ciaran won't be the next named storm. Probably for the first time in living memory, the Express actually state clearly the truth, and make it clear that the Met Office will probably not be naming this storm.
  11. They are spot on including the rain, which is problematic for many. We've some localised flooding for the 4th time since September, in Swindon and surrounding rural areas. A yellow warning was well deserved. We haven't lost the trains through Swindon this time thankfully. There has even been a landslide in Liddington near Swindon, but I don't have any more details yet.
  12. We survived the bubonic plague, modern outbreaks are much less lethal with modern medicines etc, and also allows us the joy of not having most of our friends and family killed by disease. These disease controls are probably similar to weather warnings in a way. A more pleasant way to enjoy life, with all those we love still with us, living and breathing, instead of squashed.
  13. On a recent broadcast by the met office, they said it won't be as wet and windy, so less of a concern.
  14. Yes of course, but without warnings, people will not be aware there is a danger, and then the death toll would be much higher. The red warnings with Eunice undoubtedly saved many lives. Many trees came down, that's the fact. The more people under those trees there are, the more will die. Those warnings give people a chance to assess the risks, some may do a better job than others of course, but overall, the warnings for the more severe events, will inevitably save lives, with the only costs being a small amount of disruption, normally for a single day of missed school or work.
  15. I'll just remind you that 17 people were killed by Eunice, and that was with a lot of people not going out. There's a statistical chance that if we all went out in big storms, more people would die for no reason other than trying to be brave or strong, trying to Impress, instead of authentic and smart.
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