feb1991blizzard
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Everything posted by feb1991blizzard
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
damianslaw Tentative signs of something a bit better than polar maritime entering March, can't see any proper sustained HLB until further into March but maybe a bit better than PM, Arctic maritime / topplers / polar lows / runners etc possible -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Met4Cast There used to be epv charts on ECM op runs on the Berlin site but they've ditched them a few years ago. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Met4Cast I must admit (although haven't viewed this run (fully)), on previous SSW threshold meeting runs, the EPV flux has looked more equatorward than poleward, that is one concern. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
bluearmy Yes, although the trough is sinking into Europe a bit towards end of suite, giving us just a smidgeon of hope of a N'ly end W2 beginning W3. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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February 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
feb1991blizzard replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Summer Sun Couldn't believe it when i saw this! - obviously wrong now i saw your post. EDit - its the maximum my browser gave me when i searched! - never had that happen before. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Duane S. Yes, although a little disappointed with EPS as they flatten again right at the end after briefly threaten the ridge gaining lattitude, GEFS are good, also Yesterday's 12z ECM shows a strat split (of sorts) with questionable longjevity. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You couldn't make it up! just as the met office texter changes to mild until way past the timeframe the mogreps cover! -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Strat charts are down again annoyingly at just the right time! -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
blizzard81 Yes, it's turned into a cracking suite, unfortunately the EPS didn't build on the great st yesterday, so we need that tonight. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mike Poole Perhaps the mean re-builds the ridge in FI instead of collapsing it as i feared, we'll know in a while. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lukesluckybunch The 12z eps are a massive downgrade on 0z, that is undeniable. Met4Cast They don't look as bad as i feared, above comment referring up to 240. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
joggs Trough now replaced it, -12c screaming NE flow inbound with snow showers, that ridge trying to take a chunk out the lower strat vortex, absolute stonker. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEFS starting to show a stronger cold signal this suite and last. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
bluearmy I'm not Daniel but just haunch if that if it went a bit further it would have looked like yesterday's 12z in the strat, also blizzard81 might mean dire as in poor model performance instead of crap for snow prospects -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
See your point but that standoff could result in a coupled vortex buster and we could be right in business in about a month. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
feb1991blizzard replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion