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feb1991blizzard

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Everything posted by feb1991blizzard

  1. damianslaw Tentative signs of something a bit better than polar maritime entering March, can't see any proper sustained HLB until further into March but maybe a bit better than PM, Arctic maritime / topplers / polar lows / runners etc possible
  2. Met4Cast There used to be epv charts on ECM op runs on the Berlin site but they've ditched them a few years ago.
  3. Met4Cast I must admit (although haven't viewed this run (fully)), on previous SSW threshold meeting runs, the EPV flux has looked more equatorward than poleward, that is one concern.
  4. Huge SSW reversal. Right from top to bottom. Potential for Dec 1990 event.
  5. bluearmy Yes, although the trough is sinking into Europe a bit towards end of suite, giving us just a smidgeon of hope of a N'ly end W2 beginning W3.
  6. Make of this what you will. SPV looking stretched split more at the top now than the bottom!
  7. Met4Cast Yes i must say it looks like we're abuggarred now, you called it right the other day.
  8. Summer Sun Couldn't believe it when i saw this! - obviously wrong now i saw your post. EDit - its the maximum my browser gave me when i searched! - never had that happen before.
  9. Duane S. Yes, although a little disappointed with EPS as they flatten again right at the end after briefly threaten the ridge gaining lattitude, GEFS are good, also Yesterday's 12z ECM shows a strat split (of sorts) with questionable longjevity.
  10. You couldn't make it up! just as the met office texter changes to mild until way past the timeframe the mogreps cover!
  11. Strat charts are down again annoyingly at just the right time!
  12. blizzard81 Yes, it's turned into a cracking suite, unfortunately the EPS didn't build on the great st yesterday, so we need that tonight.
  13. Mike Poole Perhaps the mean re-builds the ridge in FI instead of collapsing it as i feared, we'll know in a while.
  14. Lukesluckybunch The 12z eps are a massive downgrade on 0z, that is undeniable. Met4Cast They don't look as bad as i feared, above comment referring up to 240.
  15. joggs Trough now replaced it, -12c screaming NE flow inbound with snow showers, that ridge trying to take a chunk out the lower strat vortex, absolute stonker.
  16. Wonder if yesterday's ECM 12z op would split if it went further.
  17. GEFS starting to show a stronger cold signal this suite and last.
  18. bluearmy I'm not Daniel but just haunch if that if it went a bit further it would have looked like yesterday's 12z in the strat, also blizzard81 might mean dire as in poor model performance instead of crap for snow prospects
  19. See your point but that standoff could result in a coupled vortex buster and we could be right in business in about a month.
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