smith25
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Everything posted by smith25
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
smith25 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
has anything been predicted for the essex area or will we miss it all? -
Im sure we can find a way to blame trump for it!.
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To be fair i thought the main chances of wintery weather was going to start early feb and anything before then was a bonus.
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Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
you wait.. the ecm will switch back to the colder outlook while the ukmo switchs to less cold again. -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it will be sunday morning it will turn around... just a hunch. -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I've seen this drama happen a few times with the models flip flopping just before a cold spell and usually over a weekend. This drama wont stop until late sunday and i bet things will be much better for coldies then... Try not to panic! -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd be more worried if the ukmo changes. ive noticed in the past that on the run up to a good cold spell the models flip and change right upto the last minute... for some reason it was at the start of and during weekend when it happens the most... just my opinion. -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now you've done it!! you had to mention " That ECM" .. you've damned this entire cold spell! -
i really don't understand what we have done wrong thats made it extremely difficult to get a good wintery outbreak... we have a really good ssw event yet somehow a poxy HP to the southwest of us just wants to hang around and spoil the fun so places like Turkey can get a pasting.
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cheer up folks as we all know this is a rapidly evolving situation and the models will playout all the possible outcomes and some runs will be better for cold than others. it doesn't mean the last runs are going to happen and the next set will show a different outcome. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That's the dogs danglies of a chart. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Blimey you'd think winter was over going by some posts this morning. Remember folks until the models get a grip of this potential SSW event then take all outputs with a large bucket of salt. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Anyone know where Mr murr is? I enjoy reading his take on things and he's been very quiet recently. -
East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Well I've woken up to exactly... nothing as I thought and by the sounds of a post above then I'll be getting nothing this Friday either. -
East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
well no point doing a night lamp post watch in braintree. Perhaps theres a chance at the end of the week. -
East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Well that pretty much means I'll be getting nothing tonight. -
East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
nothing here in braintree but the occasional flake in the wind.. getting a little disappointed. -
East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Well you could just pop outside for a moment to see ? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Anybody got a break down of what we can roughly expect for us living in the essex/Suffolk area next week. Just need some info for work. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
smith25 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes and hopefully a mild outlier! -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
well it hasn't downgraded like normal and if anything it's upgraded. The last time this happened with the models was 2010. I just hope we get more of the white stuff this time round. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
smith25 replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
So can we start getting more excited yet or should we wait until tomorrow night!