JamesC

Why not! Looks quite fun tbh....

There's a small weather station with an anemometer at the top of the tower.

Just had a gust of 103mph (12.45 ish) in Woking, Surrey. 35 stories up though! At the top of a 400ft tower. I was up there this morning at about 11.30 / 12, frightening.

It has maintained on the 12z, 15z, 18z, 21z. I literally stated that in the 1st post. That was the entire point of the post. It is a trend already.... Anyway enough of this and back to the model watching

I think you miss the point about it's not relevant to your area or my area. It's relevant to the country... Every run from circa 12z yesterday to now is showing a slight decrease in windspeeds for the majority.

But the bigger picture according to the UKV is showing a decrease in windspeeds (for the majority), a few others are also now picking up on this..... Personally I'm quite thankful and find this potential trend very helpful.

My trivial point is that windspeeds for the majority of areas (yes of course a minority have increased) have dropped circa 10mph on the UKV from yesterday afternoon. Please have a look at those charts, post them on here and please point out where I am wrong. I am new to this (ish) and would love to learn. Either way it remains a very dangerous storm.

I mean the UKV wind speed charts are literally showing a decrease in windspeeds for a majority of areas when compared to yesterday afternoon / evening.....not sure how these bear no relation to the 'actual charts'. Literally no one (except one or two looking to 'poke the bear') have said this is not a severe storm? Not sure how this is nonsense...

So you decided to ignore the time stamps from yesterday which was the point of the post? Besides the charts you posted do show a slight decrease in wind speed in a large portion of England....... Please post the charts from 18z / 21z from yesterday with the same comment as you made above....

Latest UKV 09z is now substantially downgraded in windspeed gusts from yesterday afternoon / evening. This is still a powerful storm but it has without a doubt downgraded for the majority of areas when compared to yesterday. I think that the MO have got the red warning spot on here and personally do not expect to see any additional red warnings, unless the sting jet comes to fruition. Before you discuss the term 'downgraded' please compare the UKV charts for 09z to 15z/18z/21z from last night. As a whole I'd estimate a fall in windspeed from 10-15mph for a lot of areas. The sting jet is concerning though. Edit: How do you post past charts from netweather website, if you click on the image it only shows the current model run? Like the one attached. (09z)

What model is this and do you have a link? Thanks

Can you post charts or links to Arome please.

No we are almost finished so mostly contained. 35 floors up (400ft or so) it will be relatively safe as well as nothing can fly into me! Will be quite an experience.

Spot on in my opinion, 2nd this. Will still be an interesting storm! I work on a construction site in Surrey and we have just built two 35 storey towers, I'll be standing on the capping slab at the top at peak wind intensity! Can't wait.

So implying that all of the models are wrong along with MO and other weather agencies (excl possibly some ICON runs)? I love your optimism! I personally think that this storm will hit and hit hard.

For your area..... Look at the storm as a whole.

Compare 06z to 12z, there is a definite small decrease in wind speed if you compare frame to frame. It is generally over a larger area but also generally lower speeds. I love to see extreme weather but I would hope for a few downgrades on this, there will be loss of life and property as things stand. When looking at previous storms of a similar calibre there has always been loss of life, either directly or indirectly.

Yes definitely more widespread but also (slightly) weaker with a northerly shift. Look at the timeframes when the storm is off the coast of southern Ireland and compare 6z to 12z, noticeably weaker than 06z.

We can hope but I doubt it. There will be little change from now until Friday in my opinion, it might trend to a slight downgrade in windspeeds but the majority of the south will see 60 - 80+mph. Not ideal!

I just looked back through the previous UKV runs and it does seem to be slightly downgrading each run. Compare the 6z run to the 12z, there is a noticeable difference in windspeeds. Possibly a trend?

Indeed, the chart posted by Ryan is marginal at best for many in the SE. It could be a rain to snow event but it would predominantly be sleet and would not settle.

None settling? I'm in Central London and can confirm that it has DEFINATELY settled.

Snow starting to pick up in intensity in Central London. Sitting right next to Kings Cross and its settling easily and starting to build.

I live about 5 miles east of Guildford. Got around 3-4cm's.

Ye that's nuts. 8cm!!! I live near Guildford which is what 10-15 miles at the most. We got a few cm's from Saturday and most of it was gone by Sunday night and all by monday afternoon. Bizarre what a few miles makes.