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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Pretty much how GP predicted in his post a couple of days ago. I suppose we better be prepared for much more rain to come.
  2. blizzard81
    That's all well and good but as long as these keep spawning off the eastern seaboard, we will be waiting a looooong time.
  3. blizzard81
    I hope you are right. However, there are some crucial differences. The stark one being over north eastern Canada. Totally blocked in 2013. Not so this time unfortunately.
  4. blizzard81
    Big problem - the Euro high is slipping south east when we want it to be stretching north west to link arms with the arctic high. As a result, there is nothing to stop the atlantic low and if there was a next frame, I would expect it to be right on our door step unfortunately.
  5. blizzard81
    Doesn't look like it's going to make it on this run but you wouldn't expect the pub run at plus 8 days to be that accurate
  6. blizzard81
    This is very close to something very special down the line.
  7. blizzard81
    Nice updates today. AO tanking and NAO going in the right direction as well.
  8. blizzard81
    From past experience that trough will just sit there for an eternity.
  9. blizzard81
    Yep. We need the raising heights from day 8 to be more in our vicinity as opposed to our south east. There is time for very favourable adjustments. Here's hoping.
  10. blizzard81
    Anybody else struck by how sluggish/stagnant things become at approx days 8 and 9? I just get a feeling this could be a precursor to a major pattern change.
  11. blizzard81
    A vast improvement. Yesterdays 168 compared to today's 144.
  12. blizzard81
    Trying to remain optimistic but not easy. I will say though that I have see much worse offerings in December's past. Many Decembers have been bartlet dominated bringing the never ending south westerly train. This December is not one of those.
  13. blizzard81
    This morning's 00z ecm day 10 mean compared to tonight's 12z day 10 mean. What's happened to the PV?
  14. blizzard81
    Yep. This at day 10 on the ecm.
  15. blizzard81
    Ok, I think we all need a silver lining tonight and this is the best I could come up with. First chart is ecm debilt ens from this morning days 12 to 15. Second chart is the updated ecm debilt from tonight's 12z run for the same days. You can clearly see colder clustering on tonight's run. Chins up!
  16. blizzard81
    Thanks for that
  17. blizzard81
    Isn't gem considered cannon fodder on the whole?
  18. blizzard81
    I remember countless shortwaves over the years unfortunately
  19. blizzard81
    Ha ha ha. Anybody else think the gfs is struggling?
  20. blizzard81
    They certainly have been over amplifying. Nothing new as that happens every year. Ecm is the main culprit but a couple of gfs op runs have been guilty as well.
  21. blizzard81
    A sobering thought but based on the model runs of the last 24 hours, I have to agree.
  22. blizzard81
    4c, 60mm
  23. blizzard81
    Ha ha . That gfs run seems to go against the latest AO forecast!
  24. blizzard81
    It happens every year. The arctic high is over egged in the medium to long term. Lost count over the years how many times the arctic high is progged to ridge down in our vicinity but generally only makes it as far as Svalbard.
  25. blizzard81
    Better ecm ext ens for cold. Don't like the gfs 06z op. Let's hope it's as wrong as when it shows winter nirvana charts.
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