Chris.R

WRF Says yes to convective action this evening and overnight. Not trusting it too much though; it was wrong last week. Still nice that the chance is there.

Pretty happy with my forecast/boundary positioning for today

I suspect cells that drift westward into the dead zone will quickly die but the dead zone will contract Westwood slowly through the evening.

PennineMark That's what I was referring to earlier. You are just on the boundary

My current thoughts are for an area of messy convective cells with sporadic lightning developing around the Pennines drifting west and south west through the evening. As Sea breeze dies could be a chance of them making it west of M6 corridor by sunset. Probably a case of daughter cell outflow creation.

Rush2019 Bishop Auckland

iand61 Very nice

iand61 you're close to the boundary just to the east of it I expect. Later should see clear to your west/south and storms to east/north and probably overhead later.

severe snowstorm I'd put you just a few miles west of the boundary

WillinGlossop you're in a great spot for later

pip22 I think we'll be too far west JUST unfortunately. Hope I'm wrong.

There's going to be a large dead zone today which will probably be west of the Irwell Valley south to Crewe and north on that longitude into Cumbria. East of that looks very good but probably a very well-defined boundary. Suppose something could survive as far west as the M6 corridor given that steering flow is to the South-West though very light.

Scuba steve You'd better not say it too loud, it doesn't like it.

For reference, here is the text forecast for today. Headline: Cloudy and wet with the odd rumble of thunder possible. Today: A mostly cloudy day. Turning increasingly wet with scattered showers in the morning, giving way to some more persistent rain in the afternoon. Some of the rain could be heavy with rumbles of thunder possible. Feeling cooler under cloudier skies. Maximum temperature 15 °C. either completely wrong or just delayed.

Still the occasional strike over the north York moors. Would've been good on the NYMR today. Not sure there'll be anything left by the time it reaches the north of our region.