[Frogs, newts and spawn]

You will normally see Newts floating on the surface on warm hot days, they can be spotted under water to depending on how clear your pond water is,  but very rarely do i see them out of water only the odd time, lovely creatures to see...

 

I've a few dew ponds in the fields round here, will check them for spawn this weekend.

[Snow on the Scottish mountains - 2014]

https://twitter.com/theiaincameron/status/441641286542446592/photo/1/large?utm_source=fb&utm_medium=fb&utm_campaign=AlanHalewood&utm_content=441641849313583104

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

Top half of UK.

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

Think the charts will change somewhat. i do think we could see some pretty potent PM blasts giving heavy hail showers and hill snow.

Yes thats certainly what the GFS has been hinting at for the last few days, the second half of March could be cooler than most of Winter just gone, which wouldn't take much..

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

[Scepticism Of Man Made Climate Change]

The irony, & errm, he already started it........

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79537-is-2014-set-to-become-the-year-the-naturals-flipped/

 

Typically all they can do is try & insult people.

 

It's not typical behaviour, very rare, in-fact I was shocked..

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

The Polar Vortex remains a very strong feature to our NW and whilst it looks like relaxing its grip for a time by the end of the week and into next week allowing high pressure to build from the south - longer term, I would expect it to push the high back south again, ushering in further unsettled conditions but this will be the start of significant pattern change over the northern hemisphere as the PV lifts out of NE Canada and allows height rises to our north west. All very normal service for early Spring exposing us to a flow from the north.

 

This doesn't look or feel like a March 2012, which like March 2013 was an anomaly.

 

Just my take on things.

 

In the short -medium term the charts make for very promising viewing for those wanting some decent spring like and importantly dry weather, which for many is much needed.

 

Could be a very topsy turvy spring this one though!

 

Yes Damian, GFS is showing a cooler much more Wintry N/N/W flow this morning out in FI, after a good spell of settled weather. Will be interesting if this pattern evolves over the coming days..

 

 

High Pressure is now sat just to the West of the UK next week, some lovely settled weather on the way..

 

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

Scotland could see Aurora tonight, and maybe even Northern England ..

 

 

[Manmade Climate Change Discussion]

While the other place appears a good place to show the freak show that is denialism it really does not appear to be 'sceptical' of the human induced climate shift we are undergoing?

 

Maybe we do need a 'nutters' thread?

 

 'sceptical denialism' 

 

Don't go down the name calling route, it will just produce another rope for 'them' to swing off.

[Manmade Climate Change Discussion]

Could not agree more Knock, but what's to stop you posting..?

[Out of the woods yet as far as snowfall in the north of the UK yet?]

What T.M said.

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

Next week looks very Spring like, with High Pressure sat over the UK. Much dryer and settled, with little rain, and will feel warm in the Sun.

 

[Manmade Climate Change Discussion]

Data and analysis from the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO show further warming of the atmosphere and oceans in the Australian region, as is happening globally. This change is occurring against the background of high climate variability, but the signal is clear.

 

http://www.scribd.com/doc/210252661/State-of-the-Climate-2014

[Snow on the Scottish mountains - 2014]

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

BLUE AURORAS: Northern Lights are usually green, and sometimes red. Those are the colors produced by oxygen when it is excited by electrons raining down from space. On Feb. 22nd, Micha Bäuml of Straumfjord, Norway, witnessed an appariton of aurora-blue:

Energetic particles striking ionized molecular nitrogen (N₂⁺) at very high altitudes produces a cold azure glow of the type captured in Micha's photo. Why it overwhelmed the usual hues of oxygen on Feb 22nd is unknown. Auroras still have the capacity to surprise.

Any auroras tonight, blue or otherwise, will be a bit of a surprise. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet. NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 5% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on March 3rd. http://www.spaceweather.com/

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 08/08/14 16z----->]

Just got back from a walk round Gratton it's feeling warm in the sun today, lovely out after a surprise day off work. Temp 9.8c 

 

 

[Snow on the Scottish mountains - 2014]

Glencoe looks buried again due to fresh drifting snow overnight, superb conditions throughout.

 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 08/08/14 16z----->]

Thick Fog starting to break with clear blue sky's, Temp 0c

[Snow on the Scottish mountains - 2014]

Nevis Range today, looks more like the Alps.

 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 08/08/14 16z----->]

Heavy drizzle here since midday.

[Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2]

Maybe worth getting one of these for next Winter, just for emergencies..

 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 08/08/14 16z----->]

Back to rain again today after yesterdays teas, only light drizzle at the moment here but later on this afternoon/evening the rain looks to turn much more persistent.

 

 

Temp currently 5.4c

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

But can we infer a trend from the past few years?

 

It's certainly something to take into consideration, but not in isolation.

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

What comes into my mind is that, for now at least, we seem to be in a pattern of longer cycles of weather type, weeks or months rather than days at a time. If this is so, perhaps the pendulum will swing the complete opposite way.

 

Completely agree with that statement OMM, and certainly stands out over the past few years.

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

The charts this morning are still showing a much more settled/warmer and dryer outlook after mid-week, it will feel very pleasant especially from the Midlands South. Goodbye Atlantic !

 

GFS.                                                                                                                                                                                                          

ECM