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Everything posted by mike57
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Am I right in thinking that the Amber wind warning area on the MetO warning is too far North? Looking at the rain warning they seem to have that about right, we are right at the northern edge of the heaviest rain, its been a wet day but not excessive, but reports from just south of here indicate some significant accumulations. Impacts here are related to the fact that the last 3 months have been wet, just surface water.
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Well another miserable day on the Yorkshire Coast, yesterday was obviously a blip. Heavy overnight rain cleared but by mid morning we had persistent light rain which has got heavier. A lowering cloud base means its now misty here. At least its not windy (yet). Fields look even wetter than on my last ride. First day out on my bike this year, Winds very light, Force 1-2 SSE, all over grey with mist on the higher bits, light to medium rain, I got well wet. Temps 8c but feels colder with the rain and damp. This is the view looking towards the Wold Valley taken from near Grindale Airfield.
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An absolutely horrible day at the East Coast (again), blowing a gale and heavy rain. Plenty of surface water flooding. We really could do with a dry spell, and the incessant gales mean that I can't get on with a couple of outside jobs that need doing. Unfortunately yesterday was the one fine day, but we had to go out.
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Been the same here since Thursday, blowing a hooley again this afternoon Brid is showing 40mph+ gust, I suspect close to 50 here. Tomorrow's wind speed forecast has produced a yellow warning, this afternoon has been similar, but no warning. I struggle to make sense of the warnings, and I think the general public are getting to the point where they ignore them. They are trying to cram too much into 3 warning levels, with the 'Impact' being very subjective. Personally if a threshold is likely to be exceeded, with some indication of likelihood from 'possibility of' to 'will', then I think a warning should be issued.
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Managed to get out today and avoid the rain, wind already picking up. Force 5-7 SW at lunchtime and 9c, felt cold because of the wind, in spite of the milder temperatures. Tomorrows forecast is for gusts of 50mph+, that is beyond bike riding weather. Looking at the setup I think it may be worse than forecast as well. Yet again I am struggling to understand the general yellow warning, I had expected more of an update today. If the forecast 60mph+ gusts materialise east of the pennines that is going to have some serious impacts. Also a possible North Sea surge. I am firmly of the opinion that the Metoffice weather warnings do not convey to the public the required information. A low probability serious impact gets the same warning as a high probability low impact, but the required response to these two outcomes are totally different to my mind.
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Another wet miserable day at the coast, started raining at breakfast time and now moderate to heavy rain from a leaden grey sky. Ground is waterlogged, so any rain just runs off causing surface flooding. It's Beverley Xmas market tomorrow, if its not raining we are going if it's like today we will stay home.
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Graupel showers today, several quite heavy ones, but managed to dodge them while cycling. Winds NE Force 2-3 temps 3C. Looking inland there wasnt much whiteness at lunchtime and maybe a degree up on yesterday here. This was the shower that hit just after I got back home rolling in. You can see the precipicitaion streak clearly
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Wind has veered overnight here, as expected, now NE. For our location that pushes the showers more inland, but is keeping temperatures at the coast just above freezing. A mix of rain sleet and snow here this morning, but it looks like showers are turning readily to snow as they are pushed further inland. Yesterday was colder here.
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It was very borderline here this morning, we are about 1 mile from the sea, but 78m asl. Snow ended up sticking on the grass and roofs but melting on roads and pavements. Even now the snow that fell this morning is sticking around where the sun hasn't reached. Daily bike ride took me to Bridlington today as usual route was flooded again, and in Bridlington snow hadn't stuck at all, thats pretty well sea level. In these situations even 0.3 deg C warmer or colder can make a big difference to the outcome, together with dew point. I think here it will be'wait and see', further inland I would suggest there will definitel;y be a good covering by the morning, as to how far inland, thats down to the veering winds.