Kirkcaldy Weather

https://electroverse.net/september-snow-in-sweden-earliest-in-at-least-20-years/ https://m.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=2316011651859986&set=a.1695104183950739&type=3 https://watchers.news/2019/09/17/early-snow-strong-winds-wreak-havoc-in-norway/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Are you sure now Catch one you make your winter predictions you cannae change them I will try and do the anomaly charts for March when I get the chance and see what that shows out of interest. Here is the list of Scotland mean temps for each month going from warmest to coldest https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/ranked/Scotland.txt

YES and can you imagine how much better / colder it would be in the heart of winter (January which a cold one is overdue IMO) possibly this winter?

Found these articles "Negative NAO and cold Eurasian winters: How exceptional was the winter of 1962/1963?" https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/wea.34 "The 1962/1963 winter as observed at Belstead Hall (Suffolk) and through investigation of the synoptic charts" https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wea.2040 "Tropical origin of the severe European winter of 1962/1963" https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.2346

Some articles on Siberian High http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Siberian_high https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.3517 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/226881857_The_Siberia_High_and_climate_change_over_middle_to_high_latitude_Asia https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0158122 https://www.clim-past.net/15/781/2019/ https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.3878/AOSL20150022 https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-1601-3.pdf https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siberian_High "High pressure (or anticyclone) In an anticyclone (also referred to as a 'high') the winds tend to be light and blow in a clockwise direction. Also the air is descending, which stops the formation of clouds. The light winds and clear skies can lead to overnight fog or frost. If an anticyclone persists over northern Europe in winter, then much of the British Isles can be affected by very cold east winds from Siberia. However, in summer an anticyclone in the vicinity of the British Isles often brings fine, warm weather." https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/met-office-for-schools/other-content/other-resources/understanding-weather

Here are the final scores in tonight's matches Tuesday 17th September Inter Milan 1 1 Slavia Prague FT Lyon 1 1 Zenit St. Petersburg FT Ajax 3 0 Lille FT Benfica 1 2 RB Leipzig FT Borussia Dortmund 0 0 Barcelona FT Chelsea 0 1 Valencia FT Napoli 2 0 Liverpool FT Red Bull Salzburg 6 2 Genk FT I will post tomorrows results after full time and the current group standings followed by the current prediction competition leaderboard on Thursday

Outside chance of something thundery this weekend but I think it will just be heavy showers / rain but will keep an eye on it. Does look like high pressure will build back in for October Some more charts based on these and the CET figures, first DEC/JAN/FEB charts are all the years with all 3 months below 3.0 C for Scotland and the rest are based on the CET years https://docs.google.com/document/d/15AAR37pJpLTPLF4w8d79W7tStDXjkyEg5X9ES4LambI/edit?usp=sharing Signal looks to be DECEMBER - Low pressure over the UK probably wet windy unsettled, possibly some cool zonality too with wintry weather on northern sides of lows JANUARY & FEBRUARY - Low pressure moves south and higher pressure stronger to the north which suggests easterly(s) Will be interesting to see how it unfolds.

@Big Innes Madori

Have done some anomaly charts for DEC/JAN/FEB with these years and the ones with the CET (thanks to @BornFromTheVoid for helping get me the links to do so) https://docs.google.com/document/d/1G1U9l8bY0762CY4-E1LdTX0yi-9nUexuV34a71k0G70/edit?usp=sharing again not a forecast just going to monitor and see what happens.

Here we actually ended up getting another few inches from that stalling band on the 6th, the forecast was rubbish before they realized they had underestimated the snow That is the thrill of it all as you say with the will it / wont it and the thrills and often disappointments, I personally feel it is only a matter of time before we hit the jackpot and get something to rival 2020 / BFTE and I certainly wouldn't rule out a 62/63 or 47 repeat at some point, only time will tell if this year will be a memorable one but we will all be reporting lots of snaw.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/weather/learn-about/uk-past-events/interesting/2010/snow-and-low-temperatures-december-2010---met-office.pdf If you scroll down to page 4 you will see the snow depths map and as you say some big regional differences with 40cm Edinburgh / here and 10-20+ further west / north. "Snow 25 November to 8 December 2010 From Thursday 25 November the UK came under the influence of a prolonged north-easterly airstream drawing bitterly cold air from northern Europe and Siberia. Eastern Scotland and north-east England were most exposed and saw persistent and at times heavy snowfalls - the snow resulting from moisture picked up as this airstream passed over the North Sea. With the persistent north-easterly winds and freezing conditions, very significant accumulations developed, particularly across the high ground with level depths of 50 cm or more (58 cm at Balmoral, Aberdeenshire on 30 November, and 55 cm at Westgate, County Durham on 2 December)" "From 4 to 6 December a slow thaw in the south saw the ground largely free of lying snow south of a line from south Wales to the Wash. However, the snow-fields across the northern half of the UK remained undiminished with depths widely in excess of 30 cm. Heavy snowfalls across Scotland's Central Belt on 6 December saw depths of 29 cm at Edinburgh, Gogarbank, 51 cm at Kinross (north of Edinburgh) and as much as 60 cm at Livingston Mill (to the west of Edinburgh). From 9 December snow depths generally saw a gradual decline as milder air encroached across the UK." ing that this winter gives something even half as good as that

Following on from this "Is 'The Blob' Back? Latest Marine Heat Wave Could Pose New Risks To Sea Life" https://www.npr.org/2019/09/06/758042120/is-the-blob-back-latest-marine-heat-wave-could-pose-new-risks-to-sea-life?t=1568639425919 "New Marine Heatwave Emerges off West Coast, Resembles "the Blob"" https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/feature-story/new-marine-heatwave-emerges-west-coast-resembles-blob https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/08/pacific-ocean-marine-heatwave-blog