In my mind, the latest outputs, and people's reactions are understandable, but there's been one missing element. We've had great synoptics already this season and in late autumn, but not deep cold making it to the UK. Those charts have always stayed out at T+168 and beyond - Fantasy Island, a name that does what it says on the tin. However, things are about to change that might (an important caveat) bring the missing element to support blocking oooop north - a warmer than average stratosphere. We had this in mid November 2010 and it delivered big time. We've got the synpotic potential but just need that last domino to fall and so far the effect of a record cold stratosphere has perhaps prevented what many members want to see. That willl change in 14-21 days time, and in about 7 days time expect the models to start picking up its effect. And that's Christmas!
Stratosphere thread here http://forum.netweat...watch-20122013/