UV-RAY

After a cold week temps look like slowly returning to near normal values next week, these last few days have been very springlike and a godsend for those of us who are sick of cool, damp and grey laden skies which this winter had had in abundance.

Ironic how this mild spell is producing the lowest minimas of the winter around this neck of the woods, I've had more frost these last five days than the rest of winter put together.

It looks like my ordnance survey maps Ian!

I use to be exactly the same SSIB but now until those magic words cold and snow are mentioned by the MetO, then there is little point in believing some of the more excited forecasts we get on here. Back to the models and the dry theme continues for the next 7 days at least, with the first signs of breakdown coming in from the Atlantic thereafter. Fantastic weather at the moment, this is the third day of wall to wall sunshine following an overnight frost, I've now recorded more frost than the last cold spell, Lol.

I think the "hunt for cold" was just tongue in cheek, it is and always has been a MOD thread for discussing various types of weather. Unfortunately though it gets hijacked by those who are only interested in snow during the winter months, which is fine if it wasn't for the fact that anyone who dares to suggest that there are other possibilities then gets rounded up upon by the zombie masses.

I would say this is the best assessment of the GFS I've seen, and one I agree with entirely.

If tomorrow's GFS runs show a snowfest, do we A, ignore them or B, promote them to god like status?

As an avid hill walker John's statement is definitely correct and is one I've been using to calculate summit temps for over twenty years

As an avid hill walker John's statement is most certainly correct and one I've used in calculating summit temps for years.

With winter drawing to an end, we can now start to evaluate LRF for this season, tbh none of them have been spectacular and if anything it just goes to show how difficult it is in making a LRF for the UK. Hats off to all those who try, but IMO we are still a long way off in making an accurate call for any season,perhaps we will never be able to correctly call a season for the UK, but I still enjoy reading them all .

What a peach of a day temp maxed out at 8.2c but with wall to wall sunshine and little in the way of wind it felt almost like summer, ok springlike then. Hopefully we can keep hold of these clear conditions for the week ahead, frost by night and sunshine by day, a perfect end to a grey laden winter.

The models haven't done a good job of controlling the weather this winter, they are obviously in need of a few tweaks here and there.

I forgot to mention them Frosty, my mother-in-law won't be impressed. Looking an excellent week Notth of the border, a great week to bag some munro's

Another glorious day out there, long may it continue after enduring months of crappy weather.

Another glorious day out there, long may this continue. Edit; Wrong thread chaps, sorry!

The next five days looked nailed now with a dry and fairly cloudy affair, frosts limited to where there are any cloud breaks those in the West being best favoured for this.Thereafter I would say not much change at this point, dry, cool and often grey but at least dry.

Just got back from a lovely evening out with Mrs SI and nothing has really changed on the MOD thread, we are still on course for a dry and cold spell with little in the way of snow for the majority. Oh well maybe next winter some won't be taken in by the promises of deep cold and heavy snow at the first chart that suggest such a scenario, then again!

It's been mostly dry or wet in these parts throughout this winter, we need trough disruption to bring widespread snow, otherwise many will be looking at a dry , grey and cold spell.

What a fantastic day, glorious sunshine and a temp of 9.8c. Who needs grey laden Easterlies and a temp of 2 or 3c by day and night.

Only when we have a consensus at +48 hours, so many times in the past we have seen how events prior end up nothing like that at +0. Now feet are always firmly planted on the ground until then.

Exactly what some of us have been saying, until we see the MetO on board then all talk of heavy snow and wintry conditions are pie in the sky, again!

Indeed, in a space of 48 hours the GFS has gone from zero to hero. No wonder any newbies get confused on here.

Do we ignore the 06z today then?

For large parts of the UK, the upcoming cold spell still looks likely to be dry and cold than anything else, with any precipitation reserved for the East, SE and some Central parts of England. I still think some members are setting themselves up for a fall again with talk of heavy snow everywhere, hopefully it shall be me with egg on my face when these predictions come true.

Heights were further North in 47 Ian, leading to a much better orientation for the UK. I can only see this being a cold, dry and cloudy affair for most of the UK.