weirpig
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Everything posted by weirpig
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Yep the band seems to be moving more northerly each run. One to watch for sure -
Lol nick i do believe what you say is true although they have only been using capitals for six months before that it was a series of dots and dashes .
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yep and me Sparkiee I have a feeling some of these showers will penetrate far inland i also thing the Chesire gap streamer is also a possibility As always devil in the detail.
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Highest res compared to its ensembles.
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Regarding the snow potential for the next few days it just shows how hard it is to nail down the specifics although not HI res the control brings quite a bit of snow for the majority of England on Fritter friday
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might even see a chesire gap feature cropping up for those further inland.
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Forget the channel tunnel anyone fancy ice skating to Calais models are all over the place ecm and gfs poles apart. Great viewing
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Yes we know that but an explanation of the ramifications for our isle would be appreciated
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Just as a matter of interest do models take into consideration streamers etc? By that i mean do they forecast the chesire gap etc because looking at the above chart it seems that the snow chance could move alot more inland then is currently showing.
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It Certainly does a much better run all around from the control brings a chilly easterly towards us will feel much more like winter.
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Control trie to bring in a easterly.
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Gfs on Meteociel seems to be updating in real time! probably still be wrong.
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As Matt Hugo said a winter of wild cards pin the tail on the donkey this year
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But remember when you see the downgrades you rarely see the models upgrade. Whoops
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I'd have been more shocked if there had of been 240 is way out but there does look like good agreement to 168. And really anything past that is spitting in the wind. I guess we can see more when we are aware of the clusters
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Yep Cheshire gap we do very well
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Can we bypass the spam fritters this evening better run on the ecm tonight. Another option on the table
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It all depends on ones expectations. For me im happy with the outcome if not ecstatic snow still a possibility for some and still chances of upgrades in the future( we can hope) I really dont know what spam fritters are but if you havnt eaten in a while i suspect they are lovely.
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I suppose it all boils down to what your after If your after a long term freeze up then you may be dissapointed, But if your happy with a few days of cold weather with snow thrown in for good measure then the 06z is right up your street. Uppers cold enough for showers to move inland on a stiff North westerly the more north you go the more chance of seeing the white stuff Id bank this run in a heart beat after the past few weeks of nothingness
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cold north westerly with snow for most on THIS run however i expect will chop and change
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Quite a easterly correction the 18z however loads more scenarios to be played out over the coming days
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im quite pleased with the current models. all seem to be going for a cold north westerly which im sure will bring snow if the uppers are to be believed chesire gap streamer would make most on here happy. Onwards and upwards
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
weirpig replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Its been a woeful winter really for eventful weather, But 2015 wasnt the best but at least here at least got some snow, So not giving up hope just yet
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Well the control may be short lived but it certainly follows the cold theme Edit easterly garden path again? no nor me.
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Have not posted for a while but however short lived it may be there is the potential for some heavy wintry showers, At least on this run, some may see a covering. North west in prime location and maybe a chesire gap streamer for those further inland. Ill take this for what so far has been a winter of let downs
