Steve C
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ECM 12Z doesn't look so good for cold lovers at the end of its run (Sunday week) as the 00Z was showing, to me. We're bound to get things chopping and changing though, so no need to worry. Anyway, I'm going to give model watching a miss until Monday or thereabouts now. The weekend (which has started for me now) looks useable, so I'm going to get out and enjoy it and not worry about what may or may not follow. -
The location of the high pressure will be crucial. I'm posting the thickness chart from the UKMO model 12Z + 144 - next Wednesday. Lots of potential indeed, but I'm not going to get too excited / stressed by anything until next week.
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Yes, I'd noticed that too. I think they should be, as they are in East Anglia.
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Thickness Charts From Thursday to Sunday next week. Now this site has updated with ECM 00 charts, I'll use the graphics from here, as they are easier on the eye than Meteociel imo. A combination of these with the 850 temps, leads me to think that there will be a cold and initially dry spell from Wednesday, if this verified, with the snow risk increasing later in the weekend. The Sunday charts are particularly good (tantalising anyway) Still a long way off though, obviously.
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Morning all. The heavy rain from earlier has gone, so just awaiting the departure of the dross weather left behind and afternoon sunshine. ECM charts from midnight for next Friday (8 days), Saturday and Sunday, for those that like to be tantalised... Sorry about the picture order. I can't seem to make them follow a logical sequence. The site seems to have a mind of its own.
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Definitely crazy. It's been awful this week! The worst thing about today's hold up, was it was blocked a few hundred metres ahead of where I join it. I don't know whether to look in the model thread for some rest and relaxation now!
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Very occasional flurries here. Just back from work, as the marvellous A12 messed up my journey home for the third consecutive evening. As you can tell, I'm starting to think of it as a wilful entity (and one I detest!)
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Pleasant here too. Uplifting the spirit!
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Agreed. I'd actually be happy with dry and cold tbh, like MKSA.
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I wonder whether we might just get cold and dry though (okay this is a wintry scenario, but perhaps not the one that most here would prefer) for the most part, from mid next week, with the serious cold reserved for eastern Europe, in the 10/11 day outlook? I'd say it was a pretty high chance. Who then knows how the situation would develop afterwards? It'll be an interesting period for model watching for sure, to see how the situation develops (particularly with the location of the high pressure) and undoubtedly there will be lots of highs and lows in the Model Discussion Thread!
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Morning all. A clear morning here, with the temperature at around zero. The roads are mostly dry except for dodgy icy patches, where there's field run off etc. It was also nice to be able to see those patches too... It's pleasant to be at work early in relative daylight. I'm also looking forward to a rather benign weekend, where I might be able to get out and about too, without worrying about protective clothing from the elements - that's after the unpleasantries of later today have passed through. Have a good one.
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We have light sleet here. Quite a raw and unpleasant day, all in all.
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What I'm saying is in December, there's no point in looking forward to Spring as it's too far away. Getting towards the end of Winter, the opportunities for deep and long lasting cold inevitably become less. A matter of probabilities. Therefore it is reasonable to look forward to Spring now, especially with the notable increase in daylight now. Having said that, possibly a candidate for the worst blizzard ever recorded in Southern England was in March 1891. It has been researched on this very site. I'm very aware of what may still happen. http://forum.netweat...izzard-of-1891/
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I don't think many are though, are they? After all, one of the coldest spells of 1947 was in late February... I think it's just a lot of us get to this point in the Winter and not withstanding another big snowfall, start looking forward to Spring.
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Morning all ECM model is looking very interesting from next Tuesday, from a cold lover’s perspective. Maybe the winter will go out with a bang? FI though and if the high is slightly further south, then it’d be very different.
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All I said was that I'm now more looking forward to warmer lighter days, rather than anything that this winter can throw at us, but if there was a big snowfall I'd happily take that.
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I haven't been so bad as you for snow, but I'm definitely at the point of looking forward to lighter warmer days, more than any potential snow event now.
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Looking decidedly sleety now here. Snow melting quickly on the roof tops, although whether that's due to poor insulation in the business premises, I'm not sure.
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Morning all. Set off to work with about a cm of slushy snow at home and arrived to 2cms of slushy snow. I did expect there to be more at work tbh. Persistent light snow now, but it's hardly a winter wonderland here.
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Amazing snow in Essex. The roads are a nightmare...http://www.bbc.co.uk/travelnews/essex
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But a white out...?
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Yep, Ant, you enjoy it too.
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Exactly BB. He hasn't a clue tbh.
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We shall see. I've certainly not written off February, merely saying that although it'll likely be a cold month, the opportunities for deep cold (giving us a long lasting snow cover) will become limited.
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People talk about dew points far too much here. Your scenario is absolutely possible.
