Stour7
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Posts posted by Stour7
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It is still autumn, got a good 3 months of winter left yet............
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Yes indeed frosty, I have followed this thread for the last 2years, have learnt a lot from more learned posters like yourself, can't make head or tail of charts yet but still do find the whole forum very intersting, & yes my comment is not particularly model related, but then in way it is, because I'm learning.......More like Brrrr
The models are really firming up now on a much colder spell through much if not all of next week with ice, snow and widespread frosts, this is no joke, bbc news 24 weather said it, cold spell here we come...The Ecm 00z ensemble mean is the most wintry it has been so far, lets hope we get a lot more of this in the weeks and months ahead.
oooo look...the PFJ is having a late autumn holiday in spain this year
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Daily mail at it also :(Temperatures are set to plunge in Britain next week with snow and gales bringing parts of the country to a standstill, forecasters warned today.Freezing weather sweeping in from the North Pole threatens to whip up freezing winds, winter storms and widespread frosts, it was predicted.GrrrrBritain braced for 'Polar plunge' as cold winter freeze takes hold.This is the good old Express at their ridiculous best....isnt it about time somebody stopped them from printing this utter rubbish....
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Ooo thunder & lightening, lots of
better than yesterday's 2 claps of thunder lol -
Oooo, outside watering, three lots of thunder in the last 10 mins
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I'm in Worcestershire 20 miles sw of Birmingham, hazy sunshine at the moment, could be a good spot later
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The system is stalling. It has a more south to north movement now and that should allow us to access the long fetch of precipitation to our south.
Am I right in thinking that later on, the movement will be more of a south-east to northwest position? If that's the case, then I can see how snow will last through tonight!
As you said, if you look at the radar now, there's a lot to come from the south east, there's a lot of precipitation over the channel and in to France, all coming this way.....
Heavy snow here now btw
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As some have already said, a bit of patients is required.....
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It's turned back from rain to sleet here; surprising. I'm still expecting mostly rain today, at least during daylight hours.
I am wondering what tonight will bring for us in Wyre forest, as much as I like snow, I've had enough now, especially as Saturday is normally my shops busy day
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Settling well here, really was only expecting rain tonight..........
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Thanks Stour7 sometimes wonder if anyone will reply
GFS is always slowly moving behind unless it's about the Atlantic.... ECM does tend to downgrade a lot in the run up hope it doesn't this time and we get a good end to the winter .
Been snowing here since about 9.45 am and it just keeps coming and getting heavier very nice outside x
Thanks again
TF
Yes know exactly what you mean on all counts
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You are very low down, they are probably higher up?
Yes very valid point, bewdley is about 5 miles further up the Severn, however the land rises fairly quickly from river level there, where I live in Stourport the flood plains fairly wide......
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Do you think the next cold spell will happen or slowing vanish over the next few days ?
Looks like we're heading that way, emc & met off heading towards cold next week, & the gfs is also now trending the same albeit slowly with its tail between it's legs lol
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Surprisingly, still snow here. Light now, and the cover (1cm ish) isn't increasing. Even so, better than expected.
Crazy as we're only a few miles apart & none of its stuck here....
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Looked out the window half hour ago, light flurries, now it's coming down heavy, white over, very surprised, looking at the radar we could be in for a few hours of this, might get a shock in the morning......
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Still going nicely here. Still can't really guage a depth tho maybe 2cms. South east thread seems to be on channel blob watch as quite a decent area of precip is inbound for them.
Just been looking at the stuff coming in from the channel, heading nicely this way & some nice dark blobs too
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Some reasonable echo's to the south and south east, bone dry here though and the covering we got is starting to thaw!
Been watching those on the radar, coming this way nicely, some dark blobs as well
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No lying snow here although it has snowed, looking at the radar I really am on the edge of it here, so if you could move back 10 miles mr snow that would be great
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Snow here now, quite surprised really due to our lack of elevation
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Just looked at the nae maps on the model forum, the midlands looks perfect for snow late afternoon onwards, will try & post them for all to see
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This courtesy of John Holmes From the model thread
http://forum.netweather.tv/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_id=159962
Very useful explanation of what's going on
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18Z is further south and west, sunday thankfully less wet for north, still tomorrows front lingering though, before 2nd front to the SW at midday, another SW shift would be good, mainly dry until 6pm, and maybe wet snow/sleet as it clears away
It is truly going to be a nail biting few days for some of us :-/
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yeah probably tommorow evening or sunday morning if synoptics stay the same, shame its so quiet in here
Reading the model thread & having watched the met office deputy chiefs YouTube forecast you really get the impression that even the "experts" don't know exactly where it will snow and how much, we may get a better idea tomorrow, a shift 50 miles southwest could take in a lot more of the midlands, a shift north & all the midlands miss out
Note the "finely balanced" & "still quite a lot of uncertainty" comments.......
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Interesting few days coming up, some parts will be lucky, & don't forget the system that may bring snow hasn't even formed as such yet, it's a difficult one to forecast, even the met office are struggling, it will be down to radar watching on Sunday & of course forum watching
better than yesterday's 2 claps of thunder lol
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13 16z----->
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Stour7
Looking on wunderground those temp are dropping off under the precipitation, we're also past the warmest part of the day now so you never know some of us with some elevation maybe lucky
I will prob get rain here in the Severn valley though 
Some of you beat me to it lol