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Everything posted by k19

  1. Im sure you've all seen this chart thrown around in the model output discussion and I'm not going to suggest for a second that this will happen, 15 days out, one perturbation (be it the control run or not). However looking at it I feel i must ask would this chart actually result in a large amount of snow in the northwest. We know that north easterlies and easterlies generally don't deliver for us, but this would produce quite a strong front, so would it be enough to overcome the pennine problem? To me it looks like a fair bit would reach us as we have a low sat of the south west coast
  2. It depends what you mean by saving. Any military intervention will lead to loss of life, and Mike has a point, if the west interferes then it only complicates things if we try and enforce our idea of government, and it then breeds hatred of the west when things go wrong.
  3. Interesting that this thread has gone quiet at such a pivotal time Iran are now threatening to cut off the strait of hormuz, with the uk today http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16435885 challenging their view.
  4. k19

    World Economy

    I don't want to sound like such an unbelievable amateur, but I am. Can somebody explain to me how a company ends up in the FTSE100 is it if they have a certain total market value? If so which company has the cheapest individual shares?
  5. k19

    World Economy

    Totally agree with this. They have nowhere to go. If the middle class expands, they will slowly lose ability to make cheap goods, stemming their economy. If they do become democratic over a long period of time it will almost certainly mean unions and regulations again stemming their production. It's self limiting, and they will only stay a superpower as long as the people can put up with the standard of living. Also my prediction on Monday is for an initial rise in the markets, followed by stability. Assuming the ECB helps Italy out a bit that is.
  6. k19

    World Economy

    It is an interesting comment, but do you not think the energy use will level off before then? I believe a lot of the increase is due to the increase in people who are 'middle class' in developing countries, and also from the growing population. Eventually the population will reach an equilibrium, and energy usage will peak.
  7. Those videos are amazing. Does anyone have an idea of how often they happen in Arizona. It's definitely something I want to see in my life.
  8. k19

    World Economy

    Still I very much doubt civil unrest because of a 10% unemployment rate + 5% of people who are not looking for work, or already have some work.
  9. k19

    World Economy

    Very interesting post. I personally think that suggesting civil unrest in the short term is premature. Unemployment rates at 9% are bad, but they could be significantly worse, and the fact that McDonalds hired a huge number of workers is irrelevant as long as they are jobs. I think the real problem facing America is that they are getting nothing done. The republicans and democrats are just fighting. They would be better completely backing one side than dithering over every issue. I don't know exactly whats happening with their economic situation and what the plans are to fix it, but i do know
  10. That figure doesn't really surprise me. The thing that does surprise me is that the whole Syria thing has gone largely un noticed in comparison with Libya. There seems to have been very little in terms of calls for UN action, for something that is on the same scale as he Libya situation.
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