Nick F

Senior forecaster
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Nick F last won the day on August 21 2015

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About Nick F

  • Rank
    Specialising in severe weather
  • Birthday 08/09/75

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    South Norwood, London (home), Hounslow/Heathrow (work)
  • Interests
    Weather - particularly thunderstorms, growing plants, walking, cycling, cooking and good food, wine.

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  1. Cloud seeding is being used more extensively to protect French vineyards from damaging hail storms this year. It has been used for years to also increase rain or snow or even dissipate clouds. View the full blog here
  2. Unless your passport runs out like mine in mid-Jan 2018, so I guess would have to apply again if I'm going to the U.S. next year.
  3. My ESTA application was accepted within a five minutes of making payment. Only 34 days now until I fly out, can't wait.
  4. Storm & Convective Forecast Issued 2017-04-01 06:36:07 Valid: 01/04/2017 06z to 02/04/2017 06z CONVECTIVE / STORM FORECAST - SATURDAY 1ST APRIL 2017 Synopsis Upper trough will slide east across western Europe including the UK and Ireland today, bringing scattered showers and some thunderstorms across many parts today. ... E IRELAND, N. IRELAND, WALES, ENGLAND. S, CENTRAL and E SCOTLAND ... Cold mid-level temperatures of the upper troughing moving across the UK and Ireland today will create steep lapse rates with surface heating in sunny spells, allowing instability to develop. GFS indicates up to 300-600 j/kg CAPE from late morning and through the afternoon across E Ireland, E Wales, central and S England - which will support the highest likelihood of thunderstorms, outside these areas thunderstorms will be much more isolated. Vertical wind shear will be rather weak at all levels, so any storms will be dis-organised and of the 'pulse type', i.e. updrafts aren't seperated from downdrafts which means that any one storm is shortlived. As a result, no severe weather is forecast, any storms may produce small hail, and slow-movement of cells may cause some minor surface flooding. Light winds and surface breeze convergence may support funnel clouds with stronger updrafts. Issued by: Nick Finnis
  5. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-04-01 06:36:07 Valid: 01/04/2017 06z to 02/04/2017 06z CONVECTIVE / STORM FORECAST - SATURDAY 1ST APRIL 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here
  6. A look at where's warm, dry and sunny in Europe (and where's not) this weekend and next weekend as the school Easter Holidays begin for many. View the full blog here
  7. Yes very sad news, goes to show there is more risk of being injured in a road traffic accident than by from the storms themselves. Unfortunately it looks like a mis-judgement by whoever was driving by overshooting the junction at speed, perhaps because they were distracted. On big chase days 100s of chasers converging on one storm can increase the danger on the roads too, especially when chasers get out the car to take photos. But I don't think huge numbers on the roads was the case yesterday in that area where the accident occured.
  8. Supercell SW of Abilene looks most interesting at the moment, as it's discrete still ahead of the squall a little further west. Live coverage from Abilene local news KTXS http://www.ktxs.com/news/live-stream
  9. Lightning detected over Midlands in the past hour, thundery showers now moving away NE toward N England. Were sferics over Ireland too earlier.
  10. Virtual chasing from my armchair, would pick a target between Abilene and Childress for a target today. Surface analysis indicates triple point and warm front moving up through this area which be best area for enhanced low-level shear and lift Think today will be more productive for tornadoes than Sunday with better quality moisture.
  11. Storm & Convective Forecast Issued 2017-03-27 22:06:15 Valid: 28/03/2017 00z to 29/03/2017 00z CONVECTIVE / STORM FORECAST - TUESDAY 28TH MARCH 2017 Synopsis A large scale upper trough extends south across much of the far N Atlantic to the west of the British isles, a shortwave trough moves NE on the eastern flank of this trough across the British Isles on Tuesday, triggering some heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms as it co-incides with diurnal heating. ... IRELAND, WALES and ENGLAND ... Shortwave trough / closed upper vortex is evident on WV imagery to the SW of Ireland this evening moving out of northern Bay of Biscay. This shortwave will continue NE over Ireland / western UK on Tuesday - creating forced ascent of air and cold mid-level air embedded in this trough will steepen lapse rates all of which combined with surface heating in sunny spells during the day will support convective cloud development leading to scattered heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms which will move NE across the above areas. Strengthening SWly flow into the afternoon and some some wind veering with height from the surface will increase deep layer shear to 30-50knts which, with a up to 500 j/kg CAPE forecast, may organise convection enough to generate some isolated hail to 1cm with stronger updrafts. Dew point - temperature spread across eastern England will be fairly high, so cloud bases will be fairly high here, while temperatures in the west will be fairly subdued limiting scope for strong storm activity. So not anticipating any organised severe weather. Issued by: Nick Finnis
  12. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-03-27 22:06:15 Valid: 28/03/2017 00z to 29/03/2017 00z CONVECTIVE / STORM FORECAST - TUESDAY 28TH MARCH 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here
  13. And a 10% tornado risk Deffo be virtual chasing this tonight - even though I have to be up early for work in the morning, can't miss a Moderate Risk and 10% tornado prob. over Tornado Alley Virtual target: Ardmore, OK