Nick F

Senior forecaster
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Nick F last won the day on August 21 2015

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About Nick F

  • Rank
    Specialising in severe weather
  • Birthday 08/09/75

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    South Norwood, London (home), Hounslow/Heathrow (work)
  • Interests
    Weather - particularly thunderstorms, growing plants, walking, cycling, cooking and good food, wine.

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  1. Storm & Convective Forecast Issued 2017-03-22 10:43:42 Valid: 22/03/2017 06z to 23/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE/STORM FORECAST - WEDNESDAY 22ND MARCH 2017 Synopsis Upper-level trough extending SE across far western Europe will disrupt into a cut-off upper level low over the Bay of Biscay today. At the surface, an area of low pressure centred over Wales this morning will drift slowly south and fill, with associated slow-moving occluded frontal system lying across EIRE and central UK, while cold front moves slowly east across eastern England with an unstable Polar maritime (Pm) airmass edging east across Wales, Midlands, southern and western England later this morning and into the afternoon. ... S IRELAND, WALES, W ENGLAND, MIDLANDS and C/S ENGLAND ... Clearer skies with sunny spells following cold front with its bands of rain moving east across England this morning coupled with increasingly cold mid-level temperatures towards the west will create steep lapse rates across the above areas with surface heating in sunshine. This will support the development of scattered heavy showers and isolated weakly-electrified thunderstorms into the afternoon and early evening, before diurnal heating wanes after dark and storm risk fades. Any showers/storms may produce hail, gusty winds and localised flooding. No severe weather is expected - given weak shear where strongest instability is indicated - coupled with cool surface airmass and shallow instability. Issued by: Nick Finnis
  2. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-03-22 10:43:42 Valid: 22/03/2017 06z to 23/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE/STORM FORECAST - WEDNESDAY 22ND MARCH 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here
  3. Storm & Convective Forecast Issued 2017-03-21 10:04:05 Valid: 21/03/2017 06z to 22/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE/STORM FORECAST - TUESDAY 21ST MARCH 2017 Synopsis Upper-level trough will move in towards western Britain today, with surface low pressure to the N and W, driving a strong cyclonic SWly flow across the UK. Cold air of polar origin spreading east with arrival of upper trough to the west will create an unstable / showery flow across the UK today, with a risk of hail and thunder almost anywhere. ... UK and IRELAND ... A broad forecast for scattered thunderstorm potential across much of the UK and Ireland on Tuesday, as cold air spreads east aloft in association with upper low arriving to the west atop of surface which will be modestly warmed in clear skies - creating instability. Already a few t-storms over Scotland where lapse rates are steepest, but through the day chance of t-storms becoming more widespread as increasingly cold air spreads east aloft and diurnal surface heating increases. Despite 30-40 knts of deep-layer shear, cumulonimbus will tend to be fairly low-topped along with low dew points / warmth - which will tend to limit severe potential to negligible. Though showers/storms likely to align in bands with SWly/Wly streamlines bringing risk of localised flooding in the NW where they'll be most frequent. Also showers/storms maybe accompanied by small hail and gusty winds. Issued by: Nick Finnis http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=
  4. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-03-21 10:04:05 Valid: 21/03/2017 06z to 22/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE/STORM FORECAST - TUESDAY 21ST MARCH 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here
  5. High pressure has brought fine and warm weather to southern areas, but a change to more unsettled conditions on the way and it could turn a lot colder next week. View the full blog here
  6. Think we went to Aspen Creek restaurant just a short walk down the road from the Best Western, Irving last time I stayed there a few years back.- was reasonably good I remember. Always a novelty walking anywhere in the mid-west though, most locals drive even the shortest distances so they don't get hot and bothered out of their permanent air-con environments they live in half the year
  7. Thanks for the link, will be using that heavily when the severe storms return. Love the deep south / Alabama drawl of Brett Adair and co! Apparently already 4-5" of snow across parts of New Jersey and it's only just the start of the storm before the winds pick up.
  8. Southern areas will perhaps see 16C tomorrow, but if you want temperatures in the mid-to-high 20s head further than Spain and Portugal on Friday and Saturday. View the full blog here
  9. Possibility we may see more influence from the Azores high ridging NE next week, as the flow buckles in response to deep cold vortex digging S and E across eastern N America - bringing a return to winter across eastern U.S. from the weekend. That's what the 06z GFS op and 00z GEFS 5-10 day z500 mean points at, though 00z EC suggests Azores ridge visit more brief and confined to the south early next week, with unsettled conditions for the north. Certainly nothing particularly cold or wintry looking away from northern Scotland apart from the usual EC tease towards the end of the high res run.
  10. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-03-08 10:11:46 Valid: 08/03/2017 00z to 09/03/2017 00z CONVECTIVE / STORM FORECAST - WEDNESDAY 8TH MARCH 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here
  11. I will be one of the drivers on Tour 1 and this is the kind of supercell structure we'll hopefully see in just over 2 months time, a few tornadoes too will be nice!
  12. Looking south from my office in west London
  13. Some mammatus beneath a heavy shower moving across central London, looking from west London
  14. Might be a few rumbles, hail and gusty winds from the showers across southern EIRE, S Wales and S England this afternoon. Storm forecast issued: Storm & Convective Forecast Issued 2017-03-05 10:28:20 Valid: 05/03/2017 06z to 06/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE / THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SUNDAY 5TH MARCH 2017 … EIRE, S WALES, S ENGLAND and E ANGLIA … Upper troughing and associated colder mid-level temperatures will spread east off the Atlantic across the UK. Cold air aloft and diabatic warming warming of the moist surface airmass across southern UK, to south of surface low moving east, will create steep lapse rates – which will support scattered heavy showers and a few thunderstorms across EIRE, S Wales, S England and E Anglia this afternoon. Modest deep layer shear of 20-40 knts and a few troughs in the westerly flow will organise showers/storms into bands. With drier air arriving in the mid to upper levels from the west, downward momentum of strong jet stream winds aloft will be enhanced in stronger convection which will have the potential to bring some locally strong wind gusts (50-60mph). Otherwise, showers/storms maybe accompanied by hail and may lead to localised flooding. http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=5d497d5f63bc82233152f5ca1961b329
  15. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2017-03-05 10:28:20 Valid: 05/03/2017 06z to 06/03/2017 06z CONVECTIVE / THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SUNDAY 5TH MARCH 2017 Click here for the full forecastCheck the full storm forecast here