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3.5c at 6.00am this morning but clear skies, autumn is here .

Lovely harvest day blue skies and low humidity means we could cut into the evening and with two combines we have over half our crop cut in a day. A bit busy.Lots of nice dust

Bit further up than South Wales.

The 06z GFS is showing this @276: This scenario would produce temperatures into the mid-high twenties in the south while the north will be cooler, and I think we may see more charts like this as we head into September. FI at this stage though.

This probably doesn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of verifying but I’m showing it anyway!..actually there a few other GEFS 6z members which flirt with the idea of early September heat, more so across the near continent..so, you never know!!!

Well the GFS 12z is a breath of fresh air, T144: Ridge pushing in, T192: Leading to more settled conditions T240: And finally this T300: Despite this week, it is not a given that September will start with rubbish weather at all.

Noticed a trend this August. Seems to be Every Tuesday this month that it's been dire (what the first august tuesday a washout) second the huge storms last tuesday was very wet too and now tomorrow's abomination

Oh come on, you know it would end up cold but a sleety mess at best.

Huge rotation on southern side of cell moving across A3 just north of Bordon. Spotted a funnel cloud on it and radar looks like a hook is present as well at the time it was spotted. Wouldn't be shocked if it spins a small tornado at some point. I've rarely seen such obvious rotation, whole south-west flank is spinning.

A complex conundrum on the ECM clusters this morning. The problem is, by D8, there's quite a split on the ensembles with two Atlantic troughs as opposed to just one trough. The runs with one trough generally lead to a NW/SE split in the weather by D10 with the ridge possibility for the SE half, but the runs with the extra trough (generally further east) provide varying solutions for how the ridge builds in, depending upon the clearance of the first trough. Given the uncertainties by D8/D10, there doesn't seem too much point in analysing D11-D15 in much detail, expect to note that the second Atlantic trough starts to progress towards the UK during this timeframe but seems to be weakening as it does, which yields yet more widely different options So not really sure where this is going by D8 and beyond, but, if there is a crumb of comfort, it does not look like the Atlantic is simply going to roll-over everything in front of it in the way it is this week

^^^ Your comparing an apple to orange using that chart V the other chart. Not even on the same timestamp.

Air frost developed in Northern Scotland. The first I think away from mountains. So indeed!

Clear blue sky, slight breeze and a definite chill in the air. Rest of the week look a lot like Autumn instead of late summer.

ESTOFEX Issued a level 1 for the SW & Wales today (24th Aug) A level 1 was issued for parts of Great Britain and Ireland mainly for severe wind gusts and to a lesser extent for tornadoes. ...Great Britain and Ireland... At the end of the forecast period, the cold front enters the LVL1 area. It is emphasized by a maximum in the LL moisture convergence field which indicates a small moisture tongue. Along that tongue forecast soundings indicate the possibility that a bit (MU)-CAPE can develop which enhances the possibility for DMC. However, the development of CAPE and thus the possibility of thunderstorms along the cold front is the main factor of uncertainty. If storms indeed develop, they can benefit from high DLS and strong mid level winds. In combination with the entering dry intrusion with descending dry air from above, the threat of severe to extremely severe wind gusts is enhanced. In addition, also LLS is high and LCLs are low. Therefore the development of a short tornado event can not be ruled out.

Good Evening! Very interesting weather coming up ,damaging gales and heavy rain by early midweek and then models show some ground frost as far south as southern England by The weekend...Indeed a very interesting August !!!

Not seen a single wasp this year up here. Yet. But my buddleia is just out now and my Love in a Mist as well. Very late.

Not much to add really. Today was cool and mostly cloudy with afternoon temperatures around 14c. Pretty grim for August. And that’s nothing compared to tomorrow’s horror show. I normally try to accentuate the positive but this August has been dire and the summer overall a poor one.

The BBC app is showing a max of 13C here on Friday and NE England could be even cooler in a NE wind- struggling to reach 12C by midday in some parts of the north. I'm struggling to recall a day that cool in August before? Certainly without constant rain anyway.

Looks like a funnel trying to form over west London

The calm before the storm quite literaly. Tomorrow looks like a complete write off

All that precipitation and a North East wind.. oh if only it was January.

with hurricanes/TS bumping the jet a bit more north it wouldn’t surprise me if this could actually happen from the lag effect from the current 2 storms affecting it

Well what to say about tomorrow’s weather NE wind gusting 50+ mph and lots more rain certainly not needed, adding to the 149mm here so far this month

Lol - Neither scenario has any real bearing at this stage

Oh what a beautiful morning.... Will have to think of a song when I face tomorrow's chapter.

Another autumnal day, getting a bit annoying now... Max of 14.5c, dry but extensive cloud bar some sunny periods in the morning. Light winds, starting to freshen this evening. No outdoor work tomorrow looking at the forecast.

Och well here we go. Meanwhile down here near Kirkcudbright it felt warm in the sun today out of the wind. Warm enough that loads of people were in for a swim this afternoon. Tomorrow looks a bit different though.

I have notified to Ivan that there is a storm approaching from the NW on his cam and he has homed in on it. i am stormrunnersi.

all i say tomorowcould be intresting to say the least!!!

On A3 northbound coming out of Hindhead tunnel a short while ago (I am a passenger!) - this was taken over half an hour ago

Rain hitting the roof VID_20200824_153114.mp4

Sferic showing up in the mass of torrential rain which has now moved out of Devon. Alot of torrential Downpours showing up around London, Also some moving through Southampton ,. "Thundery Downpours" in the literalness of the word.

Blustery day on Hastings seafront, good day for sailing, the sails on this one caught the light nicely.

Tomorrow looking very “autumnal” indeed. Widespread gusts 50mph +, lots of rain and also thunderstorm risk and usually in these kinds of setups u get more vorticity and spin in the atmosphere so I wouldn’t rule out funnel clouds looks like NW England then it drifts a bit further east

The models continue to show widespread unseasonal weather this weekend over much of Europe with falling temperatures. A lot of rain expected over the Eastern Alps, especially along the boundary of the the warm and cooler air mass as indicated by the tighteness of the thickness lines as per the chart above. The latest snow forecast model confirming new snow by Sunday morning as indicated in the above post for peaks in the Western Tirol, Voralberg and parts of the Swiss Alps Valais.

Why is it embarrassing? I bet people overseas think it’s embarrassing when it’s their winter time at 20 degrees and they’re in coats and scarves and we’re walking around in shorts and t shirts.

Still some indications of a warm up come September.

Coldies will be hoping that winter starts with the same pattern as Autumn. Still no signs of the normal September settled spell / Indian summer unfortunately.

I could name it a few things... but I wouldn't be on this forum very long if I did that!

Not a great outlook for any warmth. A cool and unsettled end to Summer looking odds on. ECM even showing a bit of Arctic air dropping south towards the end of the run. Watch September be the warmest on record.

Models showing a generally very unsettled picture for the foreseeable, further wet and windy conditions, limited dry sunny weather and with a southerly tracking jet, cool for all, notably so by the weekend as we pull in a cool N/NW flow. Late August can often do this, then we see an abrupt change of fortune come early September. Longer term - no obvious signal for a quick exchange to something more settled, there is much activity in the atlantic at present, and the jet is invigorated, coupled with uncertainties with expected high tropical storm activity, its not clear how things pan out, but the odds perhaps favouring a continuation of the unsettled theme as we start Autumn.

Slow moving lows in North Sea are notorious for giving washouts to East Anglia, something to watch

Another very dull day with bits of drizzle, very frustrating harvest weather.Hope the higher pressure forcast for next weekend materialises.Much fresher too at 14c maximum today .Finally caught up with the 21st century when I replaced my fifteen year old basic mobile phone yesterday with a basic smartphone.Watching Phil Collins on a screen with amazing quality.No wonder people get obsessed with them.

Quite a strong signal for an anticyclonic and foggy October on the CFS. Potential for some early frosts I would have thought too

That's what we need !! Much cooler this morning

Looking seriously nasty for August. With trees in full leaf, 50-60mph winds could do some serious harm. Serious risk of flooding in Wales too.

That is half the fun for me, eagerly awaiting positive updates in the MOD thread, the thrill of the chase and Especially when it turns out as most want in winter! Waiting to read the updates with a cup of Tea when I get in from work is the best hour of my day!