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Every time I look in here it’s either doom n gloom or overly ex static about things that will change nearer the time. This is the uk and the weather looking at the models for the next week or so could be a whole lot worse. It’s nothing exceptional but it’s not all that bad, just standard uk summer weather imo. Obviously the further nw you go the more unsettled but again that’s pretty normal. We rarely get uk wide settled hot weather for long so just make the most of what we do get, good useable weather in the main

Better ECM this morning, Next weekends low doesn't look too threatening and after that we see the Azores pushing in (where have I read that before ). Days 8 to 10 are looking very nice for the south of the UK with temps getting into the mid to high 20's. The trend on the 850's is also heading in the right direction. The GFS doesn't get the Azores as far north so consequently the warmth is more fleeting and confined further south. So, in summary, more of the same but gradual improvements *maybe* just around the corner!?

Quick 21 frame gif of the comet from last night.

Kind of a disappointing night...the comet was not fo be seen with the naked eye imby...managed to find it eventually through a zoom camera lens NLC`s started to appear from 3am to my NNW...low, just above the smut layer which is around 5° alltitude Lovely bright wispy clouds.... .and i was going to claim a noctilucent funel cloud....but @Rush2112 got there first I`ll wait for the Noctinado

FI as usual, but holy cow, this would be pretty amazing if it was to come off! 06z GFS on day 12 also sends a series of large thunderstorms (MCS basically) through England.

Absolutely right! The first time a saw it was around the 6th of July, and it was visible even though the sun was almost up! Yes it has faded by quite a large amount, but if you can get yourself to a dark area, you should still be able to see it. From my point of view I feel that the comet is far more photogenic against true dark sky, and is definitely in the long exposure category now. Here are a few more from last night, much better evening than Friday weather wise, as the mist was soaking my camera

Lovely day of walking Porth Neigwl, in the Llyn peninsula yesterday. Light breeze and strong sunshine.

A couple from last night...

Our big wild cherry had virtually no fruit last year as it was hit by heavy winds which stripped it when they were small and green. The year before it was laden. This year it looks like something between. No good for eating as the fruits are small and mostly stone. However some big jars, lots of small cherries, some sugar, cheap brandy and a bit of patience and by around Xmas you have some more than acceptable cherry brandy. Dornoch has continued to be breezy with broken cloud and not exactly warm, but there's been no rain. The dog got into the sea far enough to be classed as her first swim yesterday, followed by a mad run around the beach with a 5mth old cocker-poo. She's certainly enjoying her holiday.

Some fine white wispy NLC threads started to appear about 3.20am, managed to capture what bit I could see, again apologies for the poor quality.

One of the benefits of lockdown has been the garden. Have had help to net the cherry tree using the strawberry nets which had not produced much since it was planted five years ago. Mrs Northernlights picked these this afternoon and there are still lots to pick. Also a random sunset to the NW last night. Currently 17c and dull with a moderate W wind

GFS is still looking decent at the start of August...

The stillness of a foggy Autumn morning is magical. Especially on a weekend without the traffic noise. Can be one of the best early morning walks of the year by far, the freshness and tranquillity is unbeatable.

Don't agree with that at all.. 2010 big freeze.. 2013 freeze... 2018 Beast from the East.. 2018 one of the warmest driest Summers ever.. 2019 3 or 4 plume events! I think when the weather becomes stuck in a rut for a few weeks some seem to feel the climate is boring and never changes. Icon ends pretty unsettled but with perhaps a ridge building in closely after.. All of a sudden some scandy Heights appear to be emerging.

5 deg will now always be known as the 'smut layer'

Your more than welcomed to post on this thread but even if the UK does not always have the heat, sadly elsewhere across the globe most certainly does. MIA - From what I gathered, you thought the last winter was good for the sea ice? I say it was not and the reason being is a Positive AO tends to lead to lower summer extents. It also left(and this past winter has been a great example of this) the Siberian ice quite weak because the ice keeps getting pulled away from landmasses and the fast ice leaving thinner ice behind. The lack of fast ice in the east Siberian sea was also noticeable and this pattern I have no doubt has played a factor why we are so low but not as big of a factor as record breaking snow melt in Siberia and the Siberian heat in June. The anticyclone that has been so persistent is a big cause of the record breaking Laptev melt so coupled with what was likely to be a rapid melt in the ESS is leaving extent well out infront. The only hope for the ice is the anticyclone has seemingly meant the ice in the CAB is not diffused(unlike 2016 and 2012) and could be more resilient to melt but the SSTS are very warm in the Laptev and to a lesser extent the Barants so that could override any compactness which I think what happened last year. The Beaufort is holding on but starting to get more diffused, it's a race now just how much ice can survive between now and September. The weather gods is doing all it can to help that part of the basin!

Well it's showing no weather, so really it's just showing a continuation of what we've had lately.

I guess you could also say that it's looking quite good on Wednesday at 2am, according to the 12z GEM at least:

And hopefully the Euro will be giving us something back when the 46 rolls in an hour... Longer term anyway.

Struggling to find things to post on here, so have this...

Very slim pickings if it’s sustained settled weather you’re hoping for, it’s a very mixed outlook, changeable which is by definition unsettled sums it up but as I’m ever the optimist, here’s the kind of chart that would bring much rejoicing at the turn of the month if it verified!

This has been mentioned before, but Heathrow changed from a Campbell-Stokes sunshine recorder in 2005 to a Kipp-Zonen one and the K-Z recorder typically records about 10% less sunshine in the summer months. Allowing for this, August 2007 would be another dry and sunny but cool August (Campbell-Stokes equivalent of approximately 212 hours). August 2005, a sunny month in London by almost any standards, also qualifies relative to the 1971-2000 and 1981-2010 averages, though it was fractionally warmer than the average for 1961-1990. I do agree that dry and sunny but cool Augusts are relatively rare, certainly in comparison with Mays, Junes and Septembers, but the ENSO signals for 2020 have broad similarities with 2005 and 2007, which is one line of evidence that could contribute to us getting another dry, sunny but fairly cool August this year.

Yep absolutely. Important to remember the average July daily maxima's in the UK - 24c for London and 19c for Glasgow, just to give two locations in different parts of the country. I love seeing temperature records broken and proper heat, but mid 20's and sunny is still very pleasant.

ECM also brings some warmer air in through the middle of next week - though surface temperatures aren't anything too special. Mid 20s at best.

Yes i agree... i was just disappointed that since last weekend (cloudy all week here) it had faded so much. At least i saw it last weekend and got some good pics.

The difference in magnitude is more obvious from last night than it was last week as it took until around 11:30pm to finally see it naked-eye here and even then it was diffuse and needed averted vision. Unless it unexpectedly flares I think last night would have been our last proper view of Neowise without requiring long-exposure shutter cameras before it's forecast to drop further to around magnitude 3-4 on the 23rd. Its been great seeing this unexpected sight in the summer skies especially after the last 3 which were promising failed to deliver, and hopefully it's not too long before the next one.

The Sun Today : Updated July 20, 2020

First time I've probably stayed up to look for it when it's clear. Can see it with my naked eye and it looks good through my binoculars. Seems I may have missed it looking better though.. Also have just discovered I can make out 4 of Jupiter's moons through my binoculars!

I take it from reading some of the comments on here that I’m not allowed to look forward to, or comment about the signs of autumn in the autumn thread?? I could understand if the post I made this morning was in the summer thread, but I didn’t... I posted them in the autumn 2020 thread. But guess what folks, and I know this may come as a shock to some folk, but there are those of us out here that love autumn and look forward to it’s onset. So whilst I’m genuinely sorry for all of the summer lovers out there at how summer 2020 is, please don’t ruin our autumn lovers thread! After all, it’s only weather.

Daisy chart suggests another horizon sighting tonight..

All about the OFI

Hoping for a foggy autumn.

Lovely weather today, feels hot in the sun with a bit of cloud to mitigate the heat and a breeze. Just had the strangest strong wind appear out of nowhere battering the open windows and sending the blinds flapping wildly, made me jump it was so sudden then it just disappeared again. EDIT, husband was in the garden when the hell-gust struck, sending everything flying and just missing the dog as the door slammed shut! As with others, the weekend was a bit grey-er than I would have liked. But I was able to sit in my mum's garden in the west country as the temperature just scraped in high enough plus yesterday afternoon the rain cleared and we were able to sit in the garden with friends to enjoy pizza before it got too cold. So overall usable weather.

I particularly like the time of yr from early Aug up to early Nov. Much of Nov can often be a dull gloomy month which ruins it as an autumn month for me as much as I like autumn. Although i do love November's that have a fair number of frosts and the odd cold snap thrown in but nowadays that seems to becoming less often. Second half of Nov 2005,bright ,cold weather,was great for example.

Latest AIM for 17-07-2020

For me this is a perfect summer's day, light breeze low humidity and mainly clear skies with a current temp of 20.3c.

You have to laugh at this chart- the Northern Hemisphere is exceptionally warm for the most part at the moment- yet virtually the coolest air in the whole hemisphere is close to or over the UK- including many areas of north of the Arctic Circle. You could argue that we couldn't be any more unlucky right now. Even extremely cold places such as Novaya Zemyla which is well inside the Arctic Circle have noticeably warmer air than the UK at the moment.

Can't say i'm overly surprised by the lack of posts! Anyway - a smidgen of warmth on offer in the 7-10 day range on the 6z:

Yes, I agree. Even though it hasn’t been as wet as 2012, it’s been the coldest and dullest July I’ve ever known. Mean max currently standing at 15.7°C, what I’d expect in May or September. Still haven’t reached 20°C here yet, and it’s looking increasingly likely that that will remain the case. Will be a first for me if it doesn’t even reach 20°C in July!

Well this is boring isn't it?

9 days blank, 152 (tied 2007) for 2020, 75% Solar flux 69 Thermosphere: 2.59

More comet fun last night... Early night tonight.

8 days blank, 151 for 2020, 75% Solar flux 68 Thermosphere: 2.54

I saw it with the naked eye and it looks good through binoculars. So for anyone with a bit of astronomical interest, it is still a good object Faintly caught it on overnight timelapse, I was surprised by

I can't see any proper warm or hot weather for the rest of this month now, athough things can change at short notice. But as of today it's looking like a cooler month than July 2012. Even that mediocre month produced a brief very warm spell in the 3rd week. Only August can rescue this Summer now; which has certainly been poor. Only those with rose tinted spectacles would say otherwise.

No, it was always going to be brightest closest to perihelion, it was a question how much dimming there would be as it moved away from the Sun and came closer to Earth.

It does certainly appear to be more socially acceptable to love spring and summer as opposed to autumn and winter. I know that I'm in the minority here, but I much prefer long nights over long days. I have always been more of a night person. A lot more peaceful and just overall a better atmosphere. I do like to see the beauty in all 4 seasons however.

PIOMAS has updated and, rather surprisingly, volume remains 4th lowest. However, the difference in the bottom 5 is rather small, and we've wiped out the majority of the excess volume since early June, thanks to record breaking rate of melt.