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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/04/20 in all areas
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An absolute spring cracker from the ECM this evening. 18C likely to be exceeded on all 10 days of the run starting tomorrow, and several days threatening the 20C mark. Peak still currently projected as Thursday (22-23C possible using my old adjustments to raw data, yes, back to that chestnut again ), but I think this might be subject to change with small adjustments to the overall picture likely from midweek onwards.11 points
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Cracking outlook! Lots of warmth and sunshine on the way next week, hopefully the end of the desperate snow chasing for the season! High pressure looks close by for the bulk of April. Enjoy sensibly all and stay safe8 points
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We could do worse than end-up like the end of this morning's GFS 00Z...? And I'm sure we will! But, anywho, I'm liking the heat away to the SSE. Could that be a hangover from last summer's anomalous IOD? Or, could it be that I'm more accustomed to noticing floating pieces of PV-remnants (from behind the sofa) to have noticed it before?6 points
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ECM serves up a very respectable spell of weather over the next 10 day's or so... One potential fly in the ointment being a shallow trough perhaps bringing a dampener come next weekend.. Timing will be very much subject to change though! Beyond that high pressure looks to be keeping the Atlantic at bay.... For how long... Not sure, but we certainly can't complain over the general direction of travel in the short to mid term... Stay well.5 points
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5 points
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GFS 6z largely HP dominated throughout the whole run. Cools off after this week but still dry and pleasant.5 points
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How nice to feel a warm wind! Makes a change! A bit brisk to say the least, might have to go and rescue my laundry in a bit! Also trying to get newly purchased anemometer to talk to weather base station. Not happening yet! GGGGGGRRRRRRR! Temp currently a balmy 17.2c according one weather station. I feel that's a bit ambitious! But it is nice!5 points
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Seems like you hit the jackpot then. A cloud covering kept yhe temp down here, as did the strong SE wind, never a good direction for NE Scotland. Went for a walk in the afternoon and although it didn't feel warm if didn't feel cold either. Countryside and fields around here still looking bone dry.4 points
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Clear blue skies and very breezy in Surbiton. The parks are quite busy with plenty of social distancing being observed. There are still soft muddy areas as the ground tries to recover from this winter's deluge. Barbecues are already firing up in local gardens, lawnmowers are hard at it and kids are playing outside; it has a real feel of a summer's day. Our garden, as with the parks, has plenty of wet areas slow to drain off. A thin bank of cloud has hovered for an hour or two but is only making slow progress.4 points
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The North Atlantic 850mb temp anomaly and streamline analysis along with the surface, for midnight The intense low to the west of Ireland will move slowly north today and overnight resulting in a warm and sunny day just about everywhere but fronts associated with it will bring rain to western areas this afternoon which will track NE/E this evening and through the night. The rain will be accompanied by strong winds, perhaps reaching gale force in coastal regions By midday tomorrow the low is 953mb just to the SW of Iceland and once any rain from the cold front has cleared quite early it should be fairly sunny day with the odd shower. These may be heavy and squally over Scotland which is still well within the circulation of the low/ Overnight and trough Tuesday there are further developments involving the upper trough in the Atlantic and the subtropical high which reaffirms high pressure over the UK, albeit still a tad windy in the north west Through Tuesday night and Wednesday the front to the NW will track slowly across Scotland thus cloud with some patchy rain, whilst elsewhere another sunny and warm day Little change on Thursday, warm with plenty of sunshine of England and Wales but appreciably cooler in the north4 points
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4 points
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Isn't it just! I find you can always smell a season change at night... and it's one of those nights.3 points
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Very mild evening out there. Still 17°C at almost 10pm. Lovely!3 points
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I wouldnt mind it to be honest, some rain in between the warmth is perfect for growing plants!3 points
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Hi everyone How are you all doing? Hope that you and your loved ones are safe and well. Lovely day in the SE by the looks of it. Not too bad here in Prague, a touch cooler. The coming week looks very nice with plenty of warm Spring sunshine3 points
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A glorious start to the weekend after a ground frost overnight and frozen bird bath this morning. Just a few high wisps of cloud floating about here. Look at that lovely clear sky over France, heading in our direction. Snow still on the Pyrenees and Alps too. I hope everyone has the opportunity - responsibly and safely - to get outside over the weekend and, even if briefly, enjoy this early taste of summer. It was a beautiful walk through our local woods earlier this morning. I'm so lucky living in a small town with access to open countryside literally a few hundred metres away, so no problem getting some exercise whilst complying with the Government instructions. Stay safe everyone.3 points
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Yes I haven't been looking at the longer term background signals either recently, not many posts or comments as might be expected in this respect. The PV looks like having a long slow dying death this year, rather than a sudden end, which might help prevent northern blocking from developing in late Spring, but things could change on this front. Will take a look at ENSO, a few weeks there were hints of a summer la Nina.. will see if that's still the case. Back to the here and now, some excellent spring weather on the cards for many, sunshine and dry weather predominating Tuesday - Friday in the south and east with some early sustained warmth, low 20's expected in SE for next 5 days, often struggle to see such conditions in June. Further north and west, rain tonight, cooler tomorrow, pleasant temps and dry weather returning Tuesday - Thursday but more cloud. Easter period looks quite uncertain, signals that a shallow trough will move down from the NW, bringing cooler damper cloudier weather - poor timing. Longer term heights look likely to build back in again, sustaining what will have been a good 4-5 weeks of very benign dry weather. I've said many times before how mother nature often flips from sustained wet to notable lengthy dry and vice-versa, and we are seeing this again now... but for how long, a blip?2 points
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Just received my 'unofficial' weather station today, and what a time to receive it! It can't be left out in the sun though so I had to put it in the shade, and recorded a max of 19.2c.2 points
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Up to 18.0°C and sunny here but a fair SSE breeze. Balmy is the word for sure! Pondering which way round to do the routine doggy walk down by the Tweed.2 points
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Good afternoon all first warm day of year just passed midday and 18.7C reaching 20C no problem could go as high as 22C feels more like a summers days.2 points
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Brrrrrr in a stiff South-easterly. The sky is 50 shades of grey. Ahem.2 points
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Grey and miserable in Edinburgh. 12 degrees now. I don't expect it will get much higher than 15 with all the cloud cover. Much sunnier tomorrow and Tuesday2 points
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I noticed this band of cloud consistently on the models but didn't think much of it with BBC and Met office both going for cloudless skies up to tonight. Well even here in the Midlands it arrived at about 10am this morning. Day 2 of this "sunny spell" ruined as well.2 points
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Hazy sun here but no real warmth 8.5C. North Sea having a bit of influence though no noticeable breeze from an Easterly quadrant. edit. Now there is a district strong breeze from the East and it is a cold one. Temp up to 10C but feels more like it has gone down.2 points
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Hi Stainesbloke! We all seem to be doing ok thank you - my partner and I have the week off work this week which will mean we can play some board games with the kids (13&21) and get out in the garden to plant some seeds, tidy up etc. I’m very grateful to have a garden right now, I can’t imagine how difficult it must be for those who do not. How are you and your partner? Is your mum ok too? Edit: some weather! It’s lovely and sunny again today, high was 14c yesterday which was so nice.2 points
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That’s the big ‘if’ word though. Myself and plenty of others who live In a flat don’t have a garden to sit and enjoy the sun. I’m going to just get the bike out and do 20-30 miles instead, but I envy those with gardens at this time.2 points
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Groovy. I have a day near Wick tomorrow after today in the hills with full on dreich and drizzle this morning .2 points
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Tuesday's still looking set to be stonker. GFS 12Z permitting! So a good day down on the farm beckons for Yours Truly...Just so long as my present symptoms (head full of cottonwool, runny nose, iffy throat and an ever-present desire to fall asleep) turn out to be only hay fever!?2 points
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Hey all. I am liking the latest GFS run this morning, in which it shows a high sticking around for the majority of next week, bringing us some settled weather along with it, and some warm temperatures, with the odd 70F possible. But remember, just because it is going to be warm next week doesn't mean that you should leave your home! Stay safe everyone.2 points
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Even as far ahead as Day 10 things on the GFS 06Z look rather spiffing...I feel a very nice spell of weather is in the offing!2 points
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Indeed.. I've decided I'm not going to be Mr grumps and let some selfish morons get me down, so I've been enjoying the slightly warmer temps today and looking forward to more of the same.1 point
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Hello from lockdown I'm one of the fortunate people to have a garden and be on furlough. Really looking forward to some sunshine and warmth to lift our spirits and give us some much needed vitamin D.1 point
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Just heard on the bbc weather that 20c possible on Sunday1 point
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