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Showing content with the highest reputation on 27/08/19 in all areas
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Even without the lightning (which probably accounts for 95% of my evening ) the skyscapes we’re pretty amazing with the sun setting behind them. Must have been under the convergence zone. Best moment was at Shingay-Cum-Wendy (which is worth mentioning regardless ) where one of the developing cells electrified almost directly overhead, but so elevated I was able to (relatively) safely stand and observe. Heres another shot from that location:14 points
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As the last proper hot day of this spell and summer fades away, and it is quiet in here, some early thoughts as to winter. The polar vortex is about to form, delayed wrt averages, here GEFS showing the turn of the month for net westerly winds at 10hPa 60N: A good time to check sea surface temperatures, here global: Warmth in the N pacific probably not good +PDO, Atlantic profile not looking bad, although would prefer stronger cold signal due WSW of UK. Compare last year: My view is that the cold area south of Greenland became our nemesis last year, not in play most of the time until the synoptic pattern brought the jet over that area, and it jee'd it up and bang went the chances of UK cold. This year the SST should be more favourable, but quite a lot could change come December... The QBO looks optimal this year, here up to August: And solar minimum too, so that all looks good... But, with MO contingency planners forecast putting Sep to Nov at 60% chance of being in the hottest 20% category (the strongest I've seen) even if the vortex gets off to a very slow start (I think it will) will the cold air be there to deliver a cold spell in December? Beyond that a SSW may be very possible, but after last year's nail biting, are we sure it would deliver? A lot of questions, but I'm sure it will be a compelling spell of model watching...just have to survive Autumn first. More to say on this, as things unfold.......9 points
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Generally only found around Supercells and make no mistake that cell that went SE Of Durham and over Peterlee was a definate Supercell even on our cruddy radars we have in this country. Had it been on Radarscope or GRLevel3 in the States we would have been marvelling at a Right Splitting Supercell. I just hope somebody got the right side of it so we can see the structure. The Hail Roar we get out in the States lasts for around 5-10 mins and generally someone up wind gets clobbered with some larger stones than the surrounding area. Most of the stones in the picture below from last week when we were in Colorado were around 2.5" to 3" and we heard the Roar before we got to the location, all other areas around only had 1" Stones. So it sounds like the description was for Hail Roar from a Bonafide Supercell8 points
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Still on course for something cooler (hardly difficult!) over the coming 16 days...according to today's GEFS 00Z ensembles. Proper sleep, here we come!5 points
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Morning all, Up extremely early this Morning. Couldn't hack the excessive heat in the Bedroom anymore, so decided to go downstairs. We just had a Scampi Salad for our Evening meal last night. But just having our grill on for 20 minutes sent a column of hot air, up to the top level of the House. I was wrong about the not too excessive Dew Point Temperature, making for a comfortable night's sleep, it didn't!! The actual Temperature took an age to come down and our 2 Bedroom fans, made no difference last night. Myself and my Wife slept with cold, wet flannels on our faces for much of the night. Now sitting between our 2 Lounge fans, about to watch a recording of MeteoGroup's extended Forecast, this Morning with Stav Danaos. Stav began his Forecast by talking about yesterday's record breaking heat, 33c was reached but from midweek onwards, a lowering temperature regime for our Region, will see those Max,Temps. falling to around 23c. Today, our Region should remain dry with long sunny spells and Max.Temps down a touch for the London area but still hot at 31c. Stav's graphics showed the likelihood of t/showers and t/storms breaking out away to the N.W./N., of our Region but no mention of the "T" word, down here in the S.E tonight. By Wednesday, a Cold Front starts to make it's way across the U.K. Some t/showers and t/storms could break out across our Region, ahead of this advancing Front with 28c still possible for East Anglia but down to 24c, for the London area. By the end of the Week, it should turn cooler and breezier, as an invigorated Jet Stream starts to send Low Pressure systems towards the U.K. but these areas of Low Pressure won't have much impact on our Region, as Pressure stays relatively high, indeed it could remain dry for the rest of the Week, in the S.E. Dry for our Region on Thursday then, with a Max.Temp. of a near normal 23c, for the London area. Friday should remain dry for our Region with a Max.Temp. of 24c, for the London area. By Saturday, a rain band associated with a Cold Front sinks S.E., across our Region. So the possibility of some short lived but useful rain for gardens in the S.E., with a Max.Temp of 23c for the London area. By Sunday, High Pressure looks to try and build in again from the S.W. Stav's finishing caption read, Further Ahead, "Feeling cool for a time. Showers, breezy at first. Becoming more settled." That's my interpretation of MeteoGroup's extended Forecast for our Region, seen through the eyes of Stav Danaos. Apologies to "heat lovers" but I really do hope we've seen the last of the 32c/33c's and see a more normal 22c/23c, as we enter September. Sorry but I think "heat lovers" have had a good "trot", for the last 2 Summers September is my Birthday Month and I've experienced some very pleasant Weather around that time, without excessive heat!! Regards, Tom.5 points
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Well. Lincolnshire has been utterly spoilt today. Several hailcores and microbursts along with an amazing silent lightning show to my north for a whole hour on the most recent storm. Intra cloud superbolts and even a few small crawlers as it headed between bourne and Lincoln. A reminder that it’s definitely the storm capital especially when it comes to homegrown storms.4 points
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I refuse to get carried away with any talk of impending Snowmageddon: we've been there, too many times already! Anywho, today's 12Z ensembles might still allow for some freakish warmth, come Autumn...Heat has, afterall, kept returning ever since February...? I'm not saying it will happen; just that, when things keep repeating like this, there's usually a reason for it? Even though I don't know what that reason is!4 points
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I’m surprised more people don’t think about air conditioning. Homes in this country are typically designed to hold heat in. Great for winter but obviously the opposite in summer. I understand that a full air conditioning system isn’t cheap. Mobile units are not too bad, however. If they ensure decent night’s sleep throughout summer, then they’re a no brainer.4 points
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Get an air con unit, its a superb investment in this what appears to be changing world. The new ones do fan, heating and cold and very cheap to run. I got 2 the other year and wished I had got them years ago, however be careful where you go to get them we got quotes some were double of the company we used. I used a local company that are superb.4 points
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portable air con unit - it's the best investment I've made. Room was 31oC. Turned it on - down to 23oC by bedtime. It noisy so switch it to fan mode at night. The room creeps back up to 25/26oC and holds. So nice. Though after the last few summers looking at permanent air con for upstairs.4 points
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Manchester Summer Indices 1954 143 1907 147 1956 155 1912 156 1924 158 2012 164 2008 168 1987 169 1946 170 1909 171 1931 173 1978 173 1980 173 1920 174 1923 174 2007 174 1927 175 1948 176 1938 177 1922 178 2011 179 1985 180 1958 184 1972 185 1916 188 1986 189 1965 189 2016 189 1910 190 1936 190 1988 191 2010 191 1966 192 1998 192 2017 192 1953 193 1963 194 1993 194 2009 194 1902 195 1915 196 1981 196 1928 197 1962 197 1964 197 2004 197 1952 198 2000 198 1930 199 1974 199 1979 199 2019 199 (up to 27th August)4 points
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Yep thats defo 100% Hail Roar in your Audio Clip, unmistakable sound3 points
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This is ridiculous.. the last few days have been too HOT.The humidity today is shocking...its been an average to poor summer. But when its been warm its been very hot.3 points
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The end is in sight...the welcoming arms of Autumn are almost around us. Really puts my mood up knowing Summer is behind us now,time to pack the aircon away soon! Might even be able to get out in the garden soon and enjoy it for once!3 points
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17.4 to the 26th 1.5c above the 61 to 90 average 0.8c above the 81 to 10 average ________________________________ Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd3 points
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Given the overall warming climate, buildings must generally be warmer during the summer nowadays - couple that with intense heat and it'll become very unpleasant indoors. Therefore it's becoming more and more important to invest in A/C - even a portable one which should cost no more than £200 and cools a standard size bedroom within an hour to a comfortable level for sleeping. I know £200 isn't pocket money (and they cost about 50p per night to run) but surely it's worth it to improve comfort levels.3 points
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Super pictures. Must just pull you up on East Sussex coast temperatures during a heatwave. Yesterday the official reading on Hastings seafront was 27c and 25c in Brighton,not sure where you were at 22c? More over it is not a given that a sea breeze will spring up during a heatwave,if a land breeze occurs instead the coastline can get hotter than London,as was the case in July when 32c was achieved on the East Sussex coast, Generally an East or North East flow required so that continental heat 'bends back' across the warm land toward us.3 points
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Still reluctance from the overnight Model Runs to break out much in the way of Ppn, thundery or otherwise, over our Region today. Below, are a few examples: GFS - Nowt there, all the action away to the N.W./N., of our Region. ARPEGE - Perhaps something could initiate in the North of our Region. HIRLAM - Very similar, to the Arpege Model. Could be a case for Radar watching later today, to see if any t/showers/storms develop "in situ", over our Region. Regards, Tom.3 points
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I will have a look through tomorrow to see if anything changes but looks to me like the risks for storms tomorrow will be two zones with models being in disagreement, zone 1 is somewhere in the North / North east of England although CAPE values are not as good in this area but a few of the models agree on some precip in that area tomorrow afternoon / evening and zone 2 would be somewhere down toward Lincolnshire with much better CAPE but less models showing precip, I dont see anything thundery for us but should the storms develop in the north / north east of England they may clip somewhere in the eastern borders and extreme east coast but it just doesn't scream thunderstorms up here unfortunately looking at the charts.3 points
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Back down East Sussex coast and as always weather does not disappoint a sultry 32*C back home in Rotherhithe for second consecutive day. A much cooler and enjoyable 22C here which was forecast 27C, local sea breezes likely at work. A beautiful and quirky stretch of coastline close to mainland France but often the continentality (heat) does not leap over, making it most pleasant place for summer weather in the UK with copious amounts of warm sunshine.3 points
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Beautiful boiling August bank holiday Monday. Long overdue... May squeak another early 30’s tomorrow. Loving every minute.3 points
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Quite substantial divergence in the ensembles regarding pressure, with most staying above 1000hPa. I'd suspect that explains the generally low ppn. spikes.3 points
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Metcheck still have their focus on the Pennines and Northern England later this afternoon2 points
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Spot on @Glaswegianblizzard. I am hoping September is a warm and sunny month but it looks to be a cool start if the current outlook stays the same! (September 1st below - big different from Sunday past at 27c) October onwards I begin to search/hope for those frosty mornings/nights and crystal clear crisp days with plenty of sunshine! Also severe gales/Atlantic storms are always good fun around these parts - bit of excitement from my extreme weather enthusiast point of view and the upper Firth of Clyde whips up into a frenzy. I do hope September brings another warm/hot few days and not just a total bore fest of 14/15c with the odd glimpse of the sun and drizzle. It really has been a great Summer though - one I won’t forget in a hurry.2 points
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It’s days like today I yearn for the darker evenings and cooler days, most people have been happy as Larry today whereas I have been a miserable sow and sow, I didn’t realise how much I disliked long warm days until I was diagnosed with depression a couple of years ago and these sunny days depress me more. I know I am in the minority but my moods are very down at the moment. A plus though it is now pretty much dark at 2035 now and signs the weather will be turning more Autumnal !2 points
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I know. Your garden always seems to be 3 or 4 degrees warmer than neighbouring postcodes.2 points
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I wonder what types of records you've seen broken mr time traveller2 points
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