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Showing content with the highest reputation on 04/10/14 in all areas

  1. Tonking it down in Cairngorms. http://www.cairngormmountain.org/webcam/
    9 points
  2. A dusting this morning in the Cairngorms
    9 points
  3. Well we had the wettist winter on record. Next i personally would like to see the snowest winter on record.
    6 points
  4. A new thread to bring us up to date and take us through Autumn moving ever closer to Winter! The first batch of wet & windy weather has already made it's presence felt over the last 24 hours, the beginning of next week is also looking very wet and very windy especially for the N&W of the UK. Discuss the potential for any stormy weather which may affect the UK. Post charts & analysis, keep us up to date with reports of whats happening in your local area and how the bad weather is affecting you. Lets keep it civil, stay on topic and enjoy! I wonder what the rest of Autu
    5 points
  5. Meridional Jet is the best thing around the charts this evening. Quite a rapid switch from late summer into oblique, dark, grey morning Autumn. Just seeing something this N-S is a pleasure compared to the endless charts of Zonal Assault last year. Overnight minima spilling below zero on NMM4 - shameless promotion of Netweather Extra 4km model here, great detail. From Eumetsat and alluded to earlier via yrno sat image the cold airmass completely evident in Red. We have some sub 510d air on tonights ECM analysis. At 144 we have the Polar Vortex right on bulls eye as pe
    4 points
  6. Monday morning is going to be tricky for far N/W of Scotland & Irish Sea, With Storm Force winds effecting the Isles..
    4 points
  7. HERE IS MY LATEST TEXT ANALYSIS FROM THE OUTPUTS OF THE WEATHER COMPUTER PREDICTION MODELS FOR TWO WEEKS FROM 8AM TODAY SATURDAY OCTOBER 4TH 2014. NEXT UPDATE SUNDAY OCTOBER 5TH 08:00 THE CURRENT GENERAL SITUATION. An active cold front will clear East out of Britain today followed by a ridge of High pressure over the South later. Later still sees a deep Low move SE towards Western Britain with a strengthening SW flow later tomorrow. MODELS-2 WEEK HEADLINE All areas look like being unsettled and windy with rain at times in cool conditions. Possibly a little drier and less cool in t
    4 points
  8. The GFS 00z op run shows the uk within an expanding bubble of low pressure through next week with bands of stronger winds and rain occasionally pushing north and east across the uk but there are some suckers gaps of fine weather between the rain and showers so there will be spells of sunshine too but don't rely on it lasting. Next week also looks on the chilly side compared to the warmth of this autumn so far, temperatures close to where they should be during early / mid october with the northwest of the uk a little below average and the south / southeast a little above. The overall theme of t
    4 points
  9. Really no change in the output, traditional autumn weather at last from both ecm and gfs......
    3 points
  10. Wow... what an image, shows the cold front clearing the east coast now... look out to the atlantic though...polar maritime against tropical maritme (cold versus warm) love the way it shows exactly where the jet stream is flowing , ( the little gap between low and high) where the two collide will make it very wet and windy , Ireland and West coast regions look likely targets, the gfs is showing a pretty potent front developing from sunday into monday for the uk , a very wet and windy scenario.
    3 points
  11. This is what I like about early / mid october...the Gfs 06z op run shows cold 528 dam thicknesses pushing south towards scotland and we also have the warm 564 dam pushing north towards southern england, so on the one hand the far north could have snow showers on high ground and the south of england could end up having a mid october BBQ. There is a nice end to this run but overall the high res is very unsettled with lots of strong winds and rain, especially for the north then turning colder in the north with night frosts and a risk of snow on the highest hills / mountains of scotland.
    3 points
  12. Some very strong south to south easterly winds moving in to the west during the early hours of Monday morning with gusts around 60-70mph and perhaps even higher for the Western Isles with a risk of storm force winds, accompanied by some heavy rainfall.
    3 points
  13. Morning all, GFS & ECMWF Continue the cool/wet and unsettled theme through-out the run, With Lows driving in of the Atlantic on a pretty strong Jet Stream over, Or just South of the UK.
    3 points
  14. Night time lapse of approach of front from west Manchester
    3 points
  15. I would think public opinion will upgrade from supporting action to "Go and eradicate them and do whatever is necessary!"
    2 points
  16. Are we in Hell Yet? By Benedikt Jóhannesson October 04, 2014 10:45 Updated: October 04, 2014 10:45 A night photo by taken by a drone camera. Photo: Ragnar Th. Sigurðsson On August 26 CBS posted a news item called: Iceland prepares for “Volcano from Hellâ€. Of course Icelanders (and others) have heard the stories about volcanoes being the gateway to hell before. Hekla, Iceland’s most famous volcano, was thought to house demons that danced around the crater and at Askja, just north of the current eruption, tourists bathe in a crater called Víti, which really means Hell. At the ti
    2 points
  17. Tonight's Ecm 12z op run is very unsettled throughout, especially further north, just a weak flat atlantic ridge pushing across the south at the end of next week bringing brief respite before more low pressure piles in from the atlantic, an atlantic which is cranking up during next week. It's a very autumnal pattern with wet & windy spells and occasionally brighter with blustery showers, temperatures much closer to the seasonal average, ranging between just below average in the north / nw and just above in the SE at times. The PFJ is sometimes digging much further south but is then forced
    2 points
  18. Women for Independence Conference in Perth versus Lib Dem Conference in Glasgow.
    2 points
  19. Apologies if this has been already posted, but thought it was pretty spectacular. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2779647/GoPro-goes-furnace-Drone-fitted-camera-captures-stunning-footage-volcano-erupting-doesn-t-survive-heat.html
    2 points
  20. it feels like a big event cos we've had bland rubbish for weeks
    2 points
  21. 2 points
  22. Ensemble means from GFS,ECM and GEM looking very seasonal as we head towards mid-October with the Atlantic trough running the show,so bouts of wind and rain likely with temperatures around average.
    2 points
  23. Yes quite a change for the coming week PM,underway now even in the south as the cold front and rain comes through today. Much cooler air following so feeling a lot different down here compared to recent weeks. A look at the fax out towards mid-week shows the cyclonic pattern over us. it looks like we are now sliding towards a much more seasonal Atlantic profile with bands of rain and showers for the next week and beyond with temperatures much closer to normal.
    2 points
  24. just a brief digression as this chart reminds me of the joy of being on Weather Station Julliet at 52.30n, 20.00 west.
    2 points
  25. Predictably, Alan Henning has been killed, by the IS scum. I personally think he was as good as dead, as soon as he was captured, if we couldn't rescue him. These nihilistic barbarians need to be pulverised to dust imo. and I'd be personally very glad if every 'Brit' who has gone to the Middle East to fight for their 'cause' would be swiftly despatched from above - every last one.
    2 points
  26. The anomalies tonight are all evolving towards a low pressure dominant Atlantic albeit with a fairly slack pattern. The HP in the west perhaps slipping a tad south. The main difference is the GFS shows little sign of any influence from the HP to the E and SE whereas the ECM certainly pushes it further west so still leaving the door ajar, This perhaps suggested by the different orientation of the jet as the GFS has it much stronger and further south than the ECM. This really still up in the air as at the moment it could resolve into quite a wet unsettled pattern ( probably favourite) or a d
    2 points
  27. I'll be moving into a property tomorrow where the heating bills are included in the rent, so as soon as it gets a bit nippy it's going on
    2 points
  28. Hello FU Berlin site, long time no see...
    2 points
  29. I'm hoping the atlantic isn't so grumpy this autumn and we get more northerlies and eventually easterlies!! :cold:
    1 point
  30. Feels pretty chilly this evening... a nice crisp change after that monster deluge. Airmass RGB from Satellite image depicts the colder air pouring in, some places down below freezing overnight too. Jet painting a nice picture too in tonight's GFS run.
    1 point
  31. Yeah me too, they survived 1946/47 just after the war with rationing still in effect so we could too in this day and age.
    1 point
  32. On a sidenote for interesting weather.. As the next system on Sun/Mon moves away, cold ELT's move in behind- perhaps cold enough for hail production, so Mon night in to Tues could see some thunder & lightning around the west country and southern counties.
    1 point
  33. The met office have issued early warnings. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1412550000
    1 point
  34. Nothing special down here. Bit of rain and breeze overnight and earlier this morning and now clearing up from the west. Big hype over nothing really.
    1 point
  35. It's a pity the UK government hasn't given a thought to a coherent energy policy for years let alone viability. It's pointless blaming WWF when the blame lie elsewhere. Anyway regarding viability. Scotland's renewable energy targets: 100% electricity demand equivalent from renewables by 2020 Interim target of 50% electricity demand equivalent from renewables by 2015 11% heat demand from renewables by 2020 At least 30% overall energy demand from renewables by 2020 500 MW community and locally-owned renewable energy by 2020 The Scottish Government has an ambitious renewable energy pol
    1 point
  36. There are various waves running along it. This isn't your typical CF I don't think. If this develops a squall it could be very noteworthy in some places.
    1 point
  37. To be honest SS, given the complete distrust for the Westminster leaders to stand up for Scotland's interests, why did we still vote No to keep them in charge? Confused.com
    1 point
  38. This year North America is certainly demonstrating it has a wide variety of weather in September as it moves from summer to winter. This year from early month cold to record breaking heat in the plains on 25th/26th September and finally the start of winter cold descending on the Rockies at the end of the month. Here's a wonderful photo of Vail on 30th Sept 2014 showing the colours of Autumn and early season snowfall:
    1 point
  39. Worth a read: http://danieldwilliam.livejournal.com/111197.html "In the wake of #IndyRef I’ve seen many suggestions that Scottish Labour are dead and that the SNP will win a majority of seats of Westminster seats in the 2015 General Election. I don’t think the end has come for Scottish Labour. I think Scottish Labour is in long term decline with an existential threat. Nothing that is acceptable to them will repair their situation. The end is nigh-ish. . . . ."
    1 point
  40. ...ECM also now similar to GFS in not modelling the LP at D10. This morning's run: Tonight: So some continuity between the main two models for a quieter period after D5 for some. After D10 the GEFS for London show continued uncertainty and more runs needed: The forecast AO moves from negative towards neutral during this slack period but appears to go negative again straight away so a further attack from the NW looking likely around D12 and where the UK falls within that pattern is what the GEFS are struggling with:
    1 point
  41. That's actually a real headline article.
    1 point
  42. You can now have your say to the Smith Commission on further powers to the Scottish Parliament: http://www.smith-commission.scot/news/say-submitting-ideas-views-proposals-commission-03-october-2014/ In the attached guidelines it asks those submitting their views on further powers to consider: You can submit your views by email or in writing at present, website states that you will also be able to do so through the website from Monday 13th October.
    1 point
  43. Such a shame that we were forced to give it back. The people of Hong Kong are paying the price for our decline.
    1 point
  44. Late Breaking News people. as long as the reanalysis charts are Available on Nov 30th I will be releasing a forecast for Winter. In terms of the OPI it will be covered. These legends are KEY to remember. Junior AO months are winter months with an average index -1.0 Super AO months are Winter months with an average index -2.0 This Winter is going to be a STRONG Negative QBO Winter & relating to that based on the OPI graph we find the following. with an OPI index or -0.4 or Above there is nearly a 100% chance you will not see a Winter with a Junior or Super AO. with an
    1 point
  45. Of course. If you cripple their power sources, their water distribution ect.. then you have far more chance of complete victory.
    1 point
  46. Careful not to say that too often in the coming months. That's verging on pitchfork mob territory!
    1 point
  47. What is an Al Gore type 'project'? And for 4wd to talk of smear campaigns definitely ends any chance of the return of satire.
    1 point
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