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From earlier. This is about as good as I got due to it being daytime

Another one approaching me. https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/19845-/

As a 32 Year old, When I see storms heading for me, I'm like a child running between windows , up and downstairs, checking the radars. Grabbing the camera, running again up an downstairs. Jumping up and down like a girl at a Justin Beiber concert.

Been lurking in these forums for a while and finally have something to post! Looking south over the mendips! Moving north west, just on the edge of this monster now. :-) trim.B749B5D4-E588-464C-805C-93D831D52B0B.MOV

A picture from one of the cells in the big bunch in Wales! Credit to twitter

perhaps we should start a Non-Convection thread for those that do nothing but moan in here! (actually we have the no-storms club thread, so better off posting there) great to see so many places in the west getting their thundery fix just to add, the vast majority of today's storms are from elevated thunderstorms caused by a destabilizing plume of moisture rich theta e air, and this pattern will continue overnight and into tomorrow.....Surface conditions in these circumstances are pretty much irrelevant (apart from any surface based convection).....also SST's, how far one lives from the coast etc etc will bare little relevance for the same reasons, it's the conditions in the 850hpa - 500 hpa boundaries that are of real interest

Today's lightning count so far - 4846.

Taken just to the southwest of me a few moments ago ..

Cropped from iPod video...

Florida?... No it's Peterhead, Scotland. What a great pic!

If you wished me luck earlier then thanks im a happy bunny Heres a couple bolts, second ones better. Apologies for the weird noise I make, it was a bit exciting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nMnrQc2rYo&feature=youtu.be https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ONlxyNH_ws&feature=youtu.be

To those central areas (north midlands/northern england) that have missed out on the action today, we are in the prime location for some good storms tommorow Lots of Cape on offer, high enough temperatures and a trough pushes through in the afternoon which will create a hell of a lot of forcing in the atmosphere, with thunderstorms quite elevated and becoming more organised .

omg omg omg first proper thunder storm heading for me since 2011!!! bring it! booming every 20 seconds or so YEEEEESHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!! MAN

I'm astonished there are no warnings out for this. What are the Met Office thinking?!

Today Its a little bit complicated to forecast whats going to happen over the next few days. Looking at a forecast SkewT for today a couple of things show up. Firstly that low level moisture is not that deep which means instability (CAPE) is probably over stated on the charts. Secondly that top level lapse rates (no chart for this) are not that great, which means cloud tops may be a little limited. So not that impressed with storm opportunities today. Overnight we have a cold front approaching ( looking at UKMO Fax charts) swinging into the south of the UK. Ahead of this is just a suggestion of a trough. This might suggest some elevated storms ahead of this overnight. Forecast SkewT's suggest rather meagre instability which will be elevated rather than surface based. There is also the possibility that the front becomes convective itself especially into tomorrow where it would tend to effect areas further north. Tomorrow I rather like the look of the storm potential tomorrow, but I think cloud cover may play a part. Looking at a forecast SkewT then we can note that instability is not so much reliant on shallow low level moisture. Upper level lapse rates are high meaning cloud tops can reach quite high. The Uk comes under the nose of a high level jet streak, with a little divergence aloft. There seems to me just enough wind speed shear through the mid levels for some updraft downdraft seperation. Low level winds are light and although there is not much wind speed shear between the surface and cloud bases winds might be light enough for any storm to develop its own winds. Weak directional shear and low level shear could limit severity. Over All I am still not convinced about tomorrow and am worried about cloud cover. Its still too early to really forecast at the moment so its just initial thoughts at the moment.

Never underestimate the ability of Godzilla to turn into nothing more than a gecko by the time it reaches our shores!

The BBC look really stupid now.

There's more to things than just how high pressure is though, you need to look at the overall pattern. To me, it looks like we're going to be in a high pressure sandwich with the mean trough over the UK bringing unsettled weather for the next week or so. The main body of the heat looks to be over Eastern Europe and Russia with the last of the cold pushing eastwards from the Svalbard area as a weak high pushes into Greenland. The Azores high looks stuck in its traditional place for now. The jet looks pretty weak so its going to be a stagnant pattern for a while: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn12014.gif An unsettled 5-7 days with above average temperatures (more especially by night) and frequent heavy showers or thunderstorms looks most likely.

I can't believe there are still no Met Office warnings out for parts of Wales. Road conditions must be terrible.

I go like that still and I am 54!

From the storm in Dolgellau, NW Wales. Looks like some flash flooding up there. A lot of surface water at least

Yep those cells developed over my area, heres the panaromatic photo I took as they looked beautiful!

You could have made a similar comment last November about snow and look how that turned out! The last 4 years have been really poor for some parts for the thunder. I sort of can understand a degree of cynicism and pessimism on prospects. And even more so if you miss out in the next a couple of days!

for a daytime storm, that is a stunning capture! One for the NetWeather gallery me thinks!

Much taller deeper grey cloud currently rolling through. Very gusty but a warm wind. This is all coming up from the south.

Cannont believe this thunder. Never had anything like it here, still no break in it.

Timelapse of shower that passed through this morning

Morning guys Took a photo of the cloud building up over Hereford/Wales this morning, this is looking due west from the Malverns:

THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST Synopsis A deep upper trough over the E Atlantic extends south from Iceland towards NW Iberia during the forecast period, with a blocking high pressure system over NW Russia/Scandinavia. Warm Air Advection (WAA) ahead of the trough to the west continues to spread relatively warm and moist air north across western Europe including mainland UK, with a gradual destabilisation across the north and west today, ahead of cold front lying across western Scotland and south through the Irish Sea/east coast of EIRE/N Ireland. ... SW ENGLAND, WALES, N MIDLANDS, N ENGLAND, SCOTLAND ... Plume of relatively warm/moist air noted at 850mb on midnight radiosonde ascents spreading north across mainland UK has destabilised this morning across on western edge of the plume, with elevated storms in last 3-4 hrs across SW England, Wales, N England and E Scotland, as increasingly colder air between 500-300mb overspreads from the west in association with upper trough to the west. These storms may continue to bring a risk of localised flooding and cloud-to-ground lightning across parts of northern and western Wales, IoM, east coast of N Ireland and NE Scotland over next few hours before gradually clearing away north and easing. Airmass is then expected to stabilise later this morning and through the early this afternoon, before destabilising later again from the SW, as upper flow increases and heights/surface pressure begin to fall, increasing ascent of warm moist plume, so there will be a risk of further heavy showers and some isolated elevated storms breaking out across the far SW England and Wales by the evening ... also isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms may break out across the southern uplands of Scotland and over the Pennines, in response to surface heating and upslope ascent of easterly flow. ... S ENGLAND and WALES Monday night ... Some elevated thunderstorms may push up from N France into the above areas in the early hours of Tuesday morning, as forced ascent increases with approach of a shortwave trough in the upper flow moving north and arriving across SW/S England overnight and cold front moves in from the SW Tues morning. With increasingly strong upper flow and deep-layer vertical shear - any storms may organise into mulitcell structures bring a risk of flash-flooding, hail, gusty winds and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. Full forecast can be found here: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=

I've had a quick look at the GFS and fax charts this morning and feel there is little point in attempting any detail for the end of the week and the weekend. Suffice it to say the area of low pressure over the UK persists with a series of troughs circulating and the where and type of rain is going to be dependent on their position. However taking an overview one can't help wondering how much the strange behaviour of the jet stream, already the cause of some very weird weather in the US, and the extreme heat to the east which appears likely to effect the Arctic is aiding and abetting the models struggle to get to grips with our own fairly unusual synoptic set up. With the emergence of late spring, high temperature anomalies typically cool in the Arctic as polar amplification seasonally fades. However, the two Jet Stream weaknesses have continued to provide heat transport and push Arctic temperatures above normal and into ice-threatening ranges. Now, a third hot ridge, this one over Western Russia and Eastern Europe, has emerged and strengthened to provide yet one more Arctic heat delivery engine

hi all tonight http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ warm and looks dry there is a slim chance a shower may hit the far south of our region overnight but only slim ------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow a warm southerly flow rainfall prediction at 8am showers should effect the far south and west of our region (there is a doubt on how far east these showers will get) these showers look to head north east so some areas of the south east will miss these totally (they do weaken as the head north east) at 2pm showers effecting areas north of the region around this time will be patchy however locally the odd rumble may happen but not over convinced on this by 8pm a better chance of a rumble or 2 with some heavy showers but looks restricted to the far north of our region temps 22-23 degrees locally ie west london heathrow or central 25-26 degrees will start to feel more humid as the day progressives -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- the best chance in my eyes for something more widespread is tuesday just before breakfast south of our region then by 12 starts to effect areas south east and north west of our region later in afternoon effecting east and north east of our region temps anywhere from 18 degrees to 24 degrees and the higher looks norfolk - suffolk areas overnight still a warm southerly flow rainfall looks to be widespread heavy rain however my call is localised heavy showers and more likely north of our region temps 12-15 degrees cape there looks potential for some thundery showers overnight but to me it looks like north and north east of our region looks favourite i am not ruling thundery showers elsewhere but dont bank on them the best advice is watch the radar and see what happens also wednesday late looks wet thursday looks wet friday starts wet then heavy rain moving in for lunchtime on friday night looks like heavy rain saturday looks warm and another thundery risk day it may be worth keeping an eye on rainfall totals again as flooding could start becoming a bit of an issue as we get towards next weekend hope your all well regards john

That's Godzilla over France http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

Hey all, been a while since this happened. Cant catch up on all posts as on mobile but am currently on a hill just west of Glasgow awaiting what looks like a belter. Hope it holds together, wish me luck folks! An of course, good luck to you all too x

nice juicy storms over mid/north Wales now, and new storms firing over Dartmoor as the midlevels become more conducive.....For here in central southern England, bands of Ac Cas are developing in the southern skies indicative of a re-destabalizing plume, and eyes are drawn to north west France and the English Channel as elevated convection and associated showers are breaking out......exciting times!

IS THAT WHEN SHE GETS HOME!!!!!!!!!!!

Pretty insane atm with a really active cell just to the east, CG lightening & really loud thunder only 5-10secs apart! LOVING IT

It's incredible that the Met Office have not issued one severe weather warning for Wales?! I remember when the Met Office dishing out warnings right left and centre. Has the policy changed?

Got it now two storms, cg ,ic, rotating scud inflow and loud thunder , heaven !!

As we head into the next 48 hours of much promise I feel this video is apt:

An area of interest for later (inside the skilfully drawn red lines) running the loop shows that developing rapidly!

Huge crack of thunder

Lots of this over central London now... *seems* to be getting more bubbling up too.

Ive only heard thunder like this personally in Florida. For the past 20 minutes there has not been a break in the thunder.

Some lovely cells around wales now. ( Realtime lightning display ) http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime?lang=en

Skies have cleared of the milkyness, up to 21℃ now. Here's something to wet your appetites until later.

Nuuuu, leave it where it is, very warm outside, great cloudscape, cool glass of wine, reading awesome book on my kindle, sat in garden watching my dog roll around getting dirty after have a bath grrrr lol If it thunders, bonus, if it dont, i will drink more wine

Always difficult to forecast storms in the UK compared to other parts of the world, though I do think warnings of supercells and tornadoes maybe going a little far based on current charts and analysis, storms coming up from the south across the west and tonight across the south/southwest UK will be mostly elevated - so will not pose a severe threat other than localised flooding/CG lightning ... storms may pop up this afternoon, but not widespread as suggested by GFS CAPE charts, they appear most likely to form over the higher ground of the Pennines/southern uplands Scotland this afternoon - which may bring some flash flooding problems given fast run-off ... though not say there won't be a few isolated storms popping up elsewhere with the heat of the day.

Pretty exciting stuff from Estofex this morning: A level 1 was issued for parts of UK mainly for excessive rain and an isolated tornado/large hail event. For UK: Scattered and early CI is forecast. Initial storms may produce a few large hail events, strong wind gust and an isolated tornado. Betimes, clustering storms may cause heavy to isolated excessive rain due to PWs of more than 20 mm and slow storm motions. Thunderstorms continue during the night next to the synoptic front over W-France. Elevated and weakening clusters however may spread all the way to Benelux until 06Z. www.estofex.org

Thunder galore here at the moment