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  2. The de-built ecm ens shows some stonkers in there with some getting below the -10 threshold with the op at the bottom of the pack too temps/dew points 15daagse Midden - Weerpluim ECMWF-EXPERT | Weerplaza.nl WWW.WEERPLAZA.NL Bekijk de 15 daagse trend Europees weermodel voor regio Midden. Weergave van de ECMWF-EXPERT pluim met de lange termijn verwachting van Weerplaza. the 6-10/8-14 day cpc 500mb outlook shows a strong block into Greenland and N Canada,vortex lobe across Siberia ext into Scandinavia,azures high ridging later on from the SW Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook ORIGIN.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV Hovmoller plots show blocking to our NE,hummm! CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Atmospheric Blocking WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV a wee look at the jma 10/30 hpa strat graphs(NH) shows an uptick(slight warming),will it progress further. Climate System Monitoring / TCC DS.DATA.JMA.GO.JP Climate System Monitoring / TCC it's been a great day in here today as well as some fantastic post's too,lets hope this cold snap/spell materializes as we get closer,it's been a while since we have had a cold spell early.
  3. Sorry but I don’t get this ? This isn’t a day 10 chart or am I missing something here ?
  4. Personally I am more interested in day 6 to 9... If you are of a cold/snow persuasion it is nice to see a chance of a seasonal start to Winter...especially after the abysmal December last year. Great to see the thread buzzing like an old fridge...just like in Summer when the hot/sunny charts appeared at day 6 to 9. Have a good night and thanks to every single member in here for a great read today - from all sides of weather preference/unbiased model summaries.
  5. Seems odd that we have decent cold charts at day5/6 on ec op and yet some seem as interested in the post day 7 charts that simply won’t verify ....... my take on that 12z ec suite is that it needs to dig further south but it isn’t far away from delivering ..... just waiting for knocker to post the 9/14 day ens mean
  6. LATE AUTUMN-EARLY WINTER RACING COMPETITION SAT.23rd NOV. HAYDOCK https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/23/haydock/2019-11-23/743291/ 1.50 https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/23/haydock/2019-11-23/742313 2.25 https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/23/haydock/2019-11-23/743292 3.40 ASCOT https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/2/ascot/2019-11-23/743284/ 2.05 https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/2/ascot/2019-11-23/742311 3.20 - LEG 2 (Ascot, Haydock, Navan Trixie).
  7. I don’t know about anyone else but this season is feeling very different. It’s only 21st November and I haven’t recorded double figures for 16 days.
  8. Manchester Airport reported 20 days of falling sleet/snow that month. The reason why it should have been notable and more memorable to me is that it had been so long since such a cold month, It was the coldest month since February 1969, so you would have thought it would have stood out and been a bit of a shock after such a long time. No one really mentions it.
  9. End of Jan 77 saw the Blizzard in Buffalo with Snow depths of 2.5m Blizzard of 1977 - Wikipedia EN.M.WIKIPEDIA.ORG
  10. Folks it`s only Nov 21st and we are looking/hoping at day 10 charts already, this is a little hard to take. Yes a zonal onslaught isn`t the form horse but... Sorry mods.
  11. Despite all the rain and unsettled weather, it is remarkable how quiet this autumn has been. The word "gale" has been conspicuous by its absence.
  12. Yes, feet firmly on the floor for a while yet.
  13. December 1976 is the forgotten cold one. Never hear about this despite having a CET of 2.0C
  14. EC would be just amazing, not because of snow potential, because it would be a lovely clean cold Arctic flow for the beginning of Dec.
  15. If I’ve learnt one thing following the models over many winters, the model that shows the worst outcome is normally correct when it comes to getting cold to our shores Proceed with caution. I looked at the ECM 120 chart and was pretty gobsmacked, a Greenland high of sorts at just day 5, would love to see how it evolves between day 5-7 with more detail like you can on the GFS.
  16. ECM snow depth @ day 10 for any newbies we know these charts exaggerate snow depths and we expect there is a fault whereby all snow falling is accumulated, but it gives a good indication of where snow will at least fall ...according to that ECM det run
  17. Don't worry about the op being a cold outlier, the 240 mean offers hope, remember you won't see frigid runs until a few frames after that, hopefully you will get many London max's below 3c on the graph later.
  18. Rest in pieces 2019! Also rest in pieces 2000s! Also rest in pieces 2010s! 12C Last sub 0C, last sub 1C, last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 4C December all in 2010. 200mm of Atlantic garbage
  19. ECM mean was several degrees above 0C just the the other day... Now we are seeing close to several degrees below!!!! Ohhhh lalalalal!! Just imagine after all those LRF forecasts of a very mild Wstly December, what it would be like in here, if it completely went the other way!! Xmas could come early this year folks.... Absolutely fab posts all day from you guys...
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