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Winter Forecast - Not A Repeat Of 1947

Winter Forecast - 2013/2014

By Ed O'Toole
This forecast is based on certain solar, atmospheric and sea state conditions that are already in place or likely to be in place for the winter and each of these can be looked at in turn on the in depth version of the winter forecast.

However, the forecast headlines are:
  • Average to slightly colder than average temperatures.
  • Drier than average - notably December.
  • Weak high pressure anomaly, especially towards the north of the UK as the jet stream is deflected south.
  • Main risk of significant cold later in winter, but this is considered low risk presently.
  • Possible cold start to winter.
European Winter Temperature Anomaly
European Winter Temperature Anomaly

European Winter Precipitation Anomaly
European Winter Precipitation Anomaly

European Winter Surface Pressure Anomaly
European Winter Surface Pressure Anomaly

December to February Jet Stream
December to February Jet Stream


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