Blog looking at the weather outlook for Europe over the next 7 days. Southern Europe typically hot throughout, northern Europe cooling down next week after warming up this weekend.
NW Europe saw fresher conditions sweep in from the northwest on Thursday behind an unseasonably deep low that crossed east over northern UK mid-week and has now merged with a low pressure complex over Scandinavia.The Atlantic cold front that brought in the fresher polar maritime air swept SE towards the Alps and eastern Europe overnight just ahead of a sharpening and amplifying shortwave trough moving SE across France. The strong lift of warm and humid air brought by the surface front and shortwave upper trough has brought some extremely heavy rain overnight across eastern France, Switzerland and southern Germany. This will eventually slide away across southern and eastern Europe into the weekend, while drying up from the west for much of central and western Europe, Italy and eastern Europe perhaps seeing some storms and Scandinavia and Scotland increasingly unsettled and cool.
Image courtesy of UK Met Office
Image courtesy of Weatheronline
Friday
The cold front discussed above will slow today over northern Italy and eastern Europe as the upper trough driving the front SE disrupts against a strong upper ridge to the east over SE Europe and by a lee area of surface low pressure developing on the southern side of the Alps. So further heavy downpours can be expected across northern Italy the Alps, eastern Germany and western Poland on Friday, with a risk of thunder. To the east, hot and dry conditions prevailing across eastern and southeastern Europe under high pressure, with Moscow seeing 27C, Rome 29C, Warsaw 31C, Bucharest 33C, Athens 35C. To the west, warming up again across western Europe, as the Azores high extends east. Temperature reaching 24C in London and Paris, 29C in Nice, 32C in Malaga.
European temperatures courtesy of Weatheronline
Weekend
Drying up across the Alps and central Europe as the waving cold front bringing the downpours sinks southeast across central and southern Italy, The Balkans and further east from eastern Poland, Czech and Slovak Republics into western Russia and Ukraine. So away from these areas, much of central and western Europe along with the far SE of Europe will be fine and dry over the weekend. Hot inland across Spain and Portugal – where it will reach the high 30s, coastal areas reaching high 20s or low 30s. Central and southern France reaching 30-31C, even Paris could reach 29C. Much of Italy and SE Europe reaching the low 30s where there’s sunshine. Rome, Naples, Athens and Bucharest as high as 35C. Less heat across northern Europe, with temperatures in the low to mid 20s, but mostly settled, away from Scotland and much of Scandinavia which will be cool, windy and unsettled with temperatures in the teens to low 20s at best.
European temperatures for Saturday and Sunday - courtesy of Weatheronline
Next week
After an uptick in temperatures and humidity over the weekend, as high pressure builds in from the SW, a noticeable change for much of northern Europe as we head through early next week. A deep Atlantic depression for early August moving NE between Scotland and Iceland on Sunday draws a colder, fresher and showery northwesterly flow of polar origin deep into northern Europe in its wake as it arrives over Scandinavia. So daytime temperatures taking a tumble by 3-4C from Monday’s figures by Wednesday. The UK and Ireland, northern France, Benelux, northern Germany, Denmark and Scandinavia, perhaps reaching highs of 19-21C at best on Wednesday, Scotland and northern Scandinavia perhaps struggling to get to the mid teens at best.
Alps, southern Germany and eastern Europe perhaps reaching mid to high 20s early to mid-week. Southern Europe hanging on to hot conditions, as upper ridging remains mostly intact, temperatures typically in the high 20s to low 30s for northern Iberia, southern France, northern Italy. Low to mid 30s for southern Iberia, central and southern Italy, Balkans, Greece and Turkey.
Towards the end of the week, the deep trough digging deep into central and eastern Europe mid-week looks to edge away to allow the Azores high to ridge back in from the west, bringing warmth back to northwest Europe including the UK and France. Hottest part of Europe likely to be Spain and Portugal - where temperatures could reach the mid to high 30s.
