UK Weather: Hotting Up - Could We See August Bank Holiday Temperature Record Broken?
There will be some rain around across the north and west today, but the general theme as we end the week and head through the Bank Holiday Weekend, is one of warming up and drying up as high pressure builds. Across southern and eastern areas it will become hot over the long weekend, with temperatures perhaps hitting 30-32C, so the alltime highest temperature for the late August Bank Holiday Weekend of 31.5C recorded back in 2001 could be broken.
For now, a frontal boundary lies across northern England, Wales and Ireland this morning bringing a broad swathe of cloudier skies and some rain. The rain generally light and patchy across Wales and mostly over the hills. While a band of more persistent and heavier rain lies across the far north of England and over Ireland and the southern part of N. Ireland for the morning commute. Some scattered showers to north across western Scotland, mostly dry and sunny across southern England and East Anglia.
The frontal boundary will gradually lift north through the day, so rain will ease and become more showery across northern England, though longer spells possible across Cumbria, while showers across Wales ease to drier and more brighter conditions this afternoon. A heavier pulse of rain looks to spread from the west across N. Ireland, southern and western Scotland along the front as it moves north this afternoon and into the evening. Southern England, The Midlands and East Anglia mostly dry and bright or sunny for much of the day. Temperatures this afternoon reaching 17-19C across Scotland, N. Ireland and the far west further south. Much of England inland and towards the east seeing temperatures reaching 22-24C.
Rain across Scotland and N. Ireland this evening will continue to spread north, rain becoming mostly confined to western Scotland – where it will be heavy and persistent overnight, bringing some high rainfall totals over western slopes. Further south, much of England and east Wales will stay dry with clear spells, thicker cloud over west Wales may bring some patchy drizzle. A mild night, temperatures falling no lower than 12-15C.
Some rain to start the day across NW Scotland, but this should clear north through the morning to a drier and brighter afternoon, though rain will affect the Northern Isles through the afternoon. Otherwise, much of the UK will have a dry day with sunny spells, best of the sunshine towards southern and eastern England. With high pressure building on the near continent and more of southerly flow developing – it will be rather warm towards the southeast, temperatures reaching 26C in London, 24C in Manchester and Birmingham, 23C in Cardiff. Further north, 22C in Newcastle, 21C in Belfast and Aberdeen.
Over the weekend, high pressure will be close by to the east, so many places will stay dry, sunny and warm, hot across much central, southern and eastern Britain, as we continue to suck in warm air from the south, but with little in the way of wind. Saturday will be dry for all, away from the far west where there will be a weather front bringing more in the way of cloud and some showery rain to the west of N. Ireland along with the Western Isles. This front edging further east across western areas on Sunday, but weakening, bringing more in the way of cloud to Scotland, western areas of England and Wales, perhaps bringing the odd shower in the northwest. Temperatures reaching the mid to high twenties centigrade across much of England and Wales both days, perhaps as high as 30-32C across central, southern and eastern England on Sunday.
Bank Holiday Monday
Bank Holiday continuing the dry, sunny and very warm theme across much of England and Wales along with eastern Scotland, with high pressure in control, perhaps not as hot as Sunday. A weather front approaching the northwest will bring thicker cloud and some rain to western Scotland and perhaps Northern Ireland.