High pressure bringing a fine Thursday, rain in the west Friday, affecting more areas on Saturday, though becoming warm in the southeast for a time.
A much quieter day today after the heavy showers across England and Wales yesterday and even snow across parts of Scotland. A ridge of high pressure builds in today, bringing a dry and bright day for most. The east hangs on to dry weather on Friday and feeling warm in the sunshine, but low pressure nudging in from the Atlantic will bring rain in across northern and western areas. Changeable into the weekend, with rain moving north across England and Wales on Saturday, showers in the northwest, the southeast perhaps staying sunny and warm. Coud and rain spreading in across the southeast into Sunday, before pushing west across southern parts, sunshine and scattered showers for northern areas.
For now, it’s a cold start for many, particularly across northern and western areas – where temperatures have fallen close to or below freezing – bringing a frosty and icy start. For many it’s dry and sunny this morning, so it will gradually warm up after the chilly start and for most it will be a dry day with sunny spells. The exception will be across northern and western Scotland – where we will see scattered showers, though these will ease later in the day.
Because of the cold start, temperatures will struggle to 8-10C across Scotland and Northern Ireland, 10-12C across England and Wales. Winds generally light and variable, though a southerly wind strengthening across the far west.
A frontal system moving in off the Atlantic will bring cloud and rain in across Ireland and Northern Ireland initially this evening and into the night, heavy in places, before spreading east across western Scotland and west Wales by dawn, accompanied by a strengthening southerly wind. Dry with long clear spells further east.
Cloudy and breezy with outbreaks of rain at times pushing north across Scotland, NW England, Northern Ireland, Wales, Devon and Cornwall. Further east staying dry with some warm sunshine in the southerly breeze, though cloud increasing across NE England, Midlands and the West Country. Temperatures perhaps reaching 15-16C across SE England and East Anglia, elsewhere across England, Wales and Northern Ireland reaching 11-13C, across Scotland 7-10C.
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A little uncertainty over detail as we head into the weekend. But it looks like Scotland and Northern Ireland will be mostly dry and bright on Saturday, though some showers across the NW of Scotland. Further south, an area of rain, perhaps locally heavy, will push north along a wriggling stationary cold front across parts of England and Wales, reaching southern Scotland in the evening. SE England and East Anglia staying sunny and warm to the east of the front, temperatures perhaps reaching 16-17C. Cooler to the west of the front, temperatures reaching 10-13C.
Warm air moving north on near continent clipping SE England on Saturday
Then on Sunday, not quite so warm in the southeast, but temperatures reaching 10-14C generally across the UK. Rain clearing NE Scotland first thing, then sunny spells and a few scattered showers developing for northern Britain. Cloud and rain pushing in across SE England in the morning, before spreading west across southern areas of England and Wales, after dry and bright start.
High pressure looks like building to the north early next week, before perhaps drifting east into Scandinavia, so drier and more settled conditions for northern Scotland initially, low pressure sliding southeast across the far south will bring cloudier skies with showers across England, Wales and perhaps southern Scotland. Drier conditions perhaps extending further south through the week, though cloudier towards the east coast where it will feel chilly in the easterly wind off a cold North Sea.
