Stormy Start To October, But Improving Through The Week
We begin October with a particularly autumnal flavour of wind and rain today spreading from the west followed by sunshine and blustery showers on Monday accompanied by gales or even severe gales in the north during the morning. The stormy weather is being fuelled by the remnants of ex-hurricanes Lee and Maria which have been swallowed up by Atlantic systems, the upside is we will see some tropical air today making it feel humid.
However, despite the stormy start to the week, the weather should settle down from Tuesday for the rest of the week as high pressure builds in across the south. Though wet and windy weather returns Wednesday for a time on Wednesday in the north. It will turn slightly colder through the week too, as winds veer westerly then northwesterly.
For now, it’s a rather grey and murky start for many, but it is rather mild across England and Wales with the tropical air, temperatures already 16C along the south coast of England at 7am. In contrast, clear skies and cooler air across northeast Scotland overnight have allowed the temperature to drop close to freezing, in fact the coldest night of the autumn so far, with -1.8C recorded at Braemar.
The cold and bright or sunny start across northeast Scotland will not last long, as cloud and heavy rain already across southern and western Scotland moves in from the west across all of Scotland this morning. The heavy rain band is also spreading east across northern England, with more patchy rain spreading across the rest of England and Wales through the morning. Staying cloudy and damp for many through the afternoon, with further outbreaks of rain, heavy across northern areas. However, we will see drier and brighter conditions moving in across the far west later this afternoon and early evening. Breezy for many and becoming increasingly windy in the west, with gales arriving in the northwest this evening.
A mild day though, particularly in the south – where it will feel humid. Temperatures reaching 15C in Glasgow, 16C in Newcastle, 17C in Belfast, Manchester and Cardiff, 18C in Norwich and 19C in London.
The feed of tropical air bringing cloud and outbreaks of rain today will eventually clear off east across the North Sea and near continent later this evening, leaving cooler but mainly dry conditions with clear spells across the south, there will be scattering of blustery showers across the north – blown in by an increasingly strong westerly wind which will reach gale force, with severe gales possible for western Scotland by the end of the night.
So, we start Monday morning on a stormy note across the north, with particularly strong winds for the morning commute, with gusts of 50-60mph common across Scotland, N. Ireland and northern England, while we could see gusts of 60-70mph across western Scotland and through the central belt. Such strong winds may cause some travel disruption and interruption to power supplies.
Further blustery showers throughout the day across Scotland, N. Ireland and northern England with risk of gales continuing. Windy for the south too, but mostly dry and sunny for Wales, central and southern England. A cooler feel compared to today, temperatures reaching 13-14C in the north, 15-18C in the south.
The low pressure remnants of ex-hurricane Maria will brush southern counties of England with outbreaks of rain Monday night, before clearing into the near continent by dawn. Then generally calmer on Tuesday, as high pressure begins to build in from the southwest, with most places seeing a dry and bright day other than a few showers in the far northwest.
Rest of the week
Wednesday turning wet and windy across Scotland and N. Ireland, then northern England by evening. Dry and bright but breezy further south. Patchy light rain clearing southeast from southern areas first thing Thursday to leave a mostly dry and bright day, though showers in the northwest. Friday again perhaps mostly dry and bright, though showers possible in the northeast. Chilly at night as skies clear.