High pressure this weekend means dry, fine weather with warmth and sunshine. Even the cloudy northwest will see a short improvement. Next week brings July heat and a move into the 30s Celsius.
The fine, often sunny and warm weather continues into this weekend. It is only western or the far north of Scotland seeing any rain and a brisk westerly wind continues here today.
Temperatures will be moving up into the twenties Celsius for more of England, central and eastern Scotland, eastern Wales and then Northern Ireland by Sunday. Monday looks very warm for most of the UK. Next week temperatures will move into the thirties Celsius for south-eastern England, even across south-eastern UK.
There will be happiness from many people at the prospect of fine, dry and warm weather. (Scotland will be waiting for the wind to ease down but Sunday looks drier for all parts.) However, for those travelling or commuting, working or with underlying health issues, heat can add an extra layer of stress. That might just be sweaty irritation or can be an added level of strain to people’s bodies, perhaps medicated to just cope with their usual routine and environment.
One niche forecast from the Met Office is the Heat-Health Alert Service forecast. The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) use it from June – Sept to assist the health sector through periods of extreme temperature, an early warning system for healthcare professionals in England.
There are four levels and yesterday it rose to level two for southeast Britain for next Monday to Friday. Health services should then be “alert” and have “readiness” for the upcoming hot weather and any extra demands. People can also begin to think about their plans for next week and if any adaptations will be needed.
“There is high confidence for temperatures to rise significantly through the second half of this week into the weekend, becoming hot or very hot in southeastern areas from next Monday. Daytime maxima likely to reach into the low 30s of Celsius across large parts of southeast England with warm nights in between. There remains uncertainty in regards to the extent of the hot weather with regions surrounding the southeast possibly at risk … There also remains uncertainty in maximum temperatures into the following weekend, with the possibility of hot (high) temperatures continuing. “ Met Office
With daytime temperatures moving up into the mid/high 20s for more of the UK on Monday and then this intense heat developing over SE half of Britain there will be some sultry nights, particularly for London, making it more difficult to cool down and sleep, even just rest.
The grass pollen season continues mixed with nettle and tree pollen. The UV index shows the strength of the UV radiation from the sun. Reaching level 7 is exceptional and 8 is rare in the UK.
There is a balance going on next week with fresher conditions from the northwest and this spread of heat from Spain to France and then the UK and more of mainland Europe. High pressure moves over the UK at the weekend but then carries on eastwards early next week. The Azores high will build our way in the middle of next week but the Atlantic could throw in a frontal band with rain and cloud on Tuesday. The ECM model shows more later in the week but often they affect north-western parts of the UK but don’t make it across to the south-eastern half.
The swaying back and forth of the heat over southern and south-eastern England, to more of England and Wales varies next week and brings uncertainty. Also, the progress of the fresher Atlantic air over Northern Ireland, Scotland into northwest England and NW Wales.
