A wet, windy Sunday followed by more mild, unsettled weather to start next week
We have some stormy weather today, revolving around a depression to the West of Scotland. Gales will be severe in South and South West, where gusts in excess of 70mph are likely in exposed areas. We also have warnings of heavy rain in the South and South-East and this accompanied by a spring tide, will cause coastal flooding.
It's a particularly wet start across the Home Counties, the South East, East Anglia, the East Midlands and parts of Lincolnshire. Here we'll have some heavy rain for a time this morning, some of it torrential, before it clears away into the North Sea by the afternoon.
Elsewhere there'll be bands of blustery showers some heavy and lengthy moving from West to East across the country, with sunny intervals mostly at a premium. We also have outbreaks of rain some heavy over parts of Northern Ireland, that'll probably work their way into southern and central parts of Scotland for a time.
A blustery South to South West wind could give gusts to gale force almost anywhere in the more squally showers, with the strongest winds along the South coast. Here a severe gale may give gusts in excess of 70mph in the English Channel and across the Isle of Wight, with the Channel Islands and the Isles of Scilly also likely to see some damaging gusts. Although perhaps not feeling so in the North and West it'll be very mild especially in the South East at first, with temperatures mostly between 9 and 11C in the North and West and 12 to 14C, locally 15C in the South East.
It remains changeable and blustery after dark particularly in the South, where a South West wind may give further gusts of up to 55 to 60mph along the South coast into the evening before moderating a little. There'll be a few clear intervals in sheltered eastern areas, but further blustery showers some heavy mostly in the West and North. It may also feel a little chilly, but temperatures generally shouldn't fall below 6 to 9C.
Monday brings somewhat of an improvement, as a weak transient ridge crosses all parts. There'll continue to be a few showers mainly in the West and a fair amount of cloud at times, but most parts see a drier interval giving a few sunny spells. It won't be long though before yet another Atlantic system moves in, bringing further rain to Northern Ireland, much of Wales and the West before dusk. A still quite blustery West to South West then southerly wind gives another mild day although it probably won't feel so, with top temperatures mostly between 9 and 13C.
Some eastern areas and in North of Scotland may start dry, but most parts see some rain during the evening. There'll be heavier bursts especially over Scotland and Northern Ireland, before the rain becomes lighter and more intermittent. In the South it could even become mainly dry later apart from a litle drizzle here and there, perhaps with a few breaks in the cloud sheet towards dawn. A South to South West wind will freshen again with renewed gales in the North and West but it'll feel very mild even quite balmy by morning, when temperatures should be in the range 8 to 13C.
Turning briefly colder later in the week
The mild, unsettled often windy weather continues well into the new working week, although there are signs of a change by Thursday to much colder weather. Some frost and perhaps patchy fog is likely for time, before more rain possibly preceded by snow on hill returns from the West over next weekend to perhaps give us our first taste of the winter to come.