High pressure will be in charge for the rest of the week, bringing dry & mostly sunny days, but frosty & locally foggy nights. Change back to more unsettled but milder conditions at the weekend.
After one of the wettest Octobers on record, for the UK the month ranks as 5th wettest since records began in 1862, a respite of drier and calmer weather for the rest of this week will be welcomed by many. High pressure building over the UK from the west across southern Britain over the next few days will ensure most places will remain dry with some late autumn sunshine on offer, but with the flow coming from the northwest, it will be cool by day and turning cold at night under clear skies, with a risk of frost and fog patches. It looks to remain dry and settled into the first half of the weekend, but it looks to turn unsettled across most areas on Sunday, as high pressure retreats and low pressure moves in from the southwest, but with winds turning southerly, it will turn milder too.
For now, it’s a cold and bright start for most, the first widespread frost this autumn across much of England and Wales. Across central and southern parts of England temperatures at dawn fell as low as -3C overnight, even in Bournemouth on the south coast falling to -2C, temperatures widely in low single figures elsewhere. Though breezier and less cold across the far north and northwest, with a few coastal showers around coasts in the northwest too.
It will stay mostly dry with plenty of sunshine across most of England and Wales for the rest of the day, though a few coastal showers in the west. But after a bright morning, we’ll see more in the way of cloud spread southeast during the afternoon across Scotland and N. Ireland, breezier here too, with rain arriving across the far north and northwest of Scotland by early evening. A chilly day, temperatures this afternoon reaching 10-12C for most, perhaps 13C in the southwest.
Into this evening and overnight, dry with clear skies and turning cold with frost forming across England and Wales, fog will become more of an issue though in places, particularly across central and southern areas. Mostly cloudy, breezy and less cold for Scotland and N. Ireland, some patchy rain spreading southeast across Scotland.
Most mist and fog across England and Wales first thing generally clearing during the morning to another fine and dry day with plenty of sunshine away from northern England – where it will turn cloudier form the north. However, fog may linger into the afternoon in places, particularly across central and southern areas – where it does, temperatures will struggle. Cloudy for Scotland, N. Ireland, but staying generally dry. It will be milder in the north than the south generally, temperatures in the north reaching 11-15C, while across central, southern and eastern England reaching 9-10C at best.
High pressure still be in charge on Friday, so another dry but cold start with a frost across southern parts along with some fog patches too, not just across England and Wales, perhaps Scotland and N. Ireland too. Otherwise, a dry day for most with sunshine developing widely across most parts. More breezy than recent days, so subsequently it will be a little milder too, temperatures reaching 9-13C.
High pressure retreats eastwards over the weekend, allowing low pressure to the southwest close to Iberia to move north towards southern Ireland by the end of Sunday. So winds will turn southerly dragging in milder air, with temperatures reaching the mid-teens in the south on Sunday.
Saturday looks to remain mostly dry, with sunny spells, best of the sunshine in northern and eastern areas, turning cloudier across the southwest and later south, with showers perhaps arriving across the far southwest by evening. Sunday cloudier, with showery rain spreading north across most parts, perhaps drier and brighter conditions following from the south across southern areas.
Early next week is looking generally more unsettled, with spells of rain or showers at times, but with the wind from the south it will likely be quite mild and frost-free.