Staying unsettled for the foreseeable future, with more rain on the way, heavy and persistent at times in the north and west, same areas affected by flooding. Often windy too, with gales possible.
There’s more rain in the forecast for the coming days unfortunately, which is not good news for those areas struggling to cope with flooding. The culprit for continued unsettled weather bringing further wet and often windy weather at times is the persistent strong jet stream aimed at the UK and Ireland, which acts as a conveyor belt of low pressure systems rolling through. Today will be windy with a band of squally rain sliding southeast across all parts, followed by colder and brighter but showery conditions. Wet tomorrow in the north and it will be windy for all, with gales across the north. Windy and unsettled through the weekend with showers or longer spells rain affecting many areas. The weather models are all indicating an intense depression tracking northeast close to northern Scotland on Monday, so this could potentially be the next named storm, bringing severe gales to the north.
The omnipresent powerful jet stream aimed at NW Europe will continue to fire lows at the UK, bringing yet more rain misery
For now, a wet morning commute across the north and west, with a band of heavy and persistent rain moving in from the west overnight, yellow warnings for rain in force across SW Scotland, NW England, parts of north and south Wales – where an additional 70-100mm may fall over higher ground by the end of the warning at 2pm today, which could raise river levels again. Currently there are six Severe Flood Warnings in western England for rivers Severn, Wye and Lugg.
Brighter and colder conditions with wintry showers are now moving in across northern and western Scotland. Central, southern and eastern England is generally dry but cloudy, though there is some patchy drizzle across southern counties. Windy across England and Wales – with gales across Wales, it is mild though away from the far north, with temperatures widely reaching 10C already across England and Wales.
The southwest-northeast aligned band of heavy and squally rain along a cold front across the north and west to start the morning will continue to slide east across England and Wales through the morning, reaching SE England and East Anglia early afternoon, before clearing here late afternoon. The rain will briefly intense as it passes through, with hail mixed in and perhaps the odd rumble of thunder too, winds will gust quite strong with this rain band, with gusts of 40-50mph locally, more in the west and over hills. It will brighten up and turn colder behind the rain band clearing east across northern, central and western areas, with sunny spells, but also blustery wintry showers towards the west, falling as snow over northern hills. Strong westerly and cold wind developing across the north, with gales across northern and western Scotland, which could bring blizzard conditions in any snow falling from showers over the hills.
Mild ahead of the rain band, with temperatures around 10C, but falling away behind the cold front clearing east, with afternoon highs of 4-7C at best.
Staying windy with plenty of wintry showers packing in across Scotland, N. Ireland and the far north of England during this evening and into the first half of the night, before wintry showers turn to longer spells of rain in the early hours with temperatures rising here. Further south across England and Wales it will become mostly dry and chilly as skies clear, with temperatures falling into low single figures, perhaps low enough for a touch of frost in rural areas.
Another frontal system moving in across the north for Friday will bring rain here and it will be windy across the board. Met Office Yellow Warnings are in force for rain across an area of western Scotland and an area of Yorkshire – where there is potential for 60-80mm in a few places over higher ground. There is also a Yellow Warning for wind across SE Scotland and NE England – where gusts of 55-65mph are possible. There will be a north-south divide across the breadth of Britain – outbreaks of rain piling in across Scotland, N. Ireland, north Wales and northern England through much of the day, heavy and persistent rain over western hills. Rain turning more showery later in the day. South Wales, central and southern England mostly dry with some bright or sunny spells towards the east, western hills cloudier with patchy drizzle or light rain. Despite the wind and rain, will be a mild day, temperatures reaching 9-12C.
No real improvement in the weather for the weekend. Cold front clears southern England Saturday morning so all parts into a colder polar maritime flow, but with lots of isobars on the synoptic charts it will be a windy day, with plenty of wintry showers packing in across the north, with snow over hills, well-scattered rain showers in the south, some bright or sunny spells too. Sunday looks to see a frontal wave track east across England and Wales, bringing a spell of persistent and locally heavy rain, so not helping river levels drop in flood-hit areas. Could be some hill snow in the north on the northern edge of the rain. Scotland brighter and colder with wintry showers in the west.
Models indicating a deep low tracking northeast close to or perhaps over northern Scotland, bringing a spell heavy rain preceded by hill snow and gales or severe gales across the north. Could be the next named storm on the list – which is Storm Ellen. Remaining unsettled and often windy next week, with showers or longer spells of rain at times, cold at times too, with showers wintry in the north.